Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Spears-Hilton Week Over, McCain's News Coverage Fa...

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2009-10-08T06:34:37.829-04:00

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2009-09-15T01:58:52.294-04:00

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2009-02-09T02:04:00.000-05:00

Inexperience+Got my bodyguard now (Bidenguard)+Ira...

2008-08-23T18:09:00.000-04:00

Inexperience+Got my bodyguard now (Bidenguard)+Iran+Iraq+Afghanistan+Russian unrest+Missle Deal with Poland+Falling Gas Prices=Less focus on ecomony and more focus on threat=lack of confidence in Obama=McCain takes win in November. Obama does not stand a chance. Even if he did, Biden will botch it up further for him. Sianara!

Brian Dell wrote:If that's so, why has McCain been...

2008-08-13T19:10:00.000-04:00

Brian Dell wrote:
If that's so, why has McCain been much more keen on head-to-heads than Obama?

McCain is "keen" on his Town Hall forums, where he can plant questioners to ask Obama about crucial issues such as "Why do you hate America so much?" and "Have you noticed you are black?".

Stephen C. Rose wrote:The Republican Convention is...

2008-08-13T19:03:00.000-04:00

Stephen C. Rose wrote:
The Republican Convention is shaping up to be a wonder of absenteeism and nobody is very excited by St. Paul or the expense of getting there.

I agree completely. There is no shortage of commenters advising us all to "wait until after the Conventions". Unless the police in St. Paul kill a few protesters, I think the RNC will be an immense snooze that fails to even engage the base, much less the nation at large. What specifically do people imagine will come out of the RNC that will change anything?

They are going to wave a million flags and talk about McCain's status as a war hero. They are going to brag about the "progress" in Iraq. They are going to promise to cut taxes. It's the same bloody stuff that they already say every day. Only now it's at a convention, so it's much more likely to influence the public. Really?

Obama's balanced POV on Russia-Georgia was apt, no...

2008-08-13T07:47:00.000-04:00

Obama's balanced POV on Russia-Georgia was apt, not cookie cutter. McCain's knee jerk reaction and Bush's initial reaction were political ploys. Anyone who knows the situation knows that Georgia's hands were not clean and that Russia is going for some respect big time. Better believe balanced makes the best sense.

Obama is going to show up in the debates and any l...

2008-08-13T07:26:00.000-04:00

Obama is going to show up in the debates and any low-information voter who watches him for 10 seconds is going to realize "this guy's really smart and he knows what he's talking about."

I wouldn't be so sure about that. If that's so, why has McCain been much more keen on head-to-heads than Obama?

Too many of Obama's statements have been cookie cutter. The Russia / Georgia situation is a case in point. Anti-communist leader and former Polish president, Lech Walesa, said back in February that recognizing Kosovo is going to be seized on by the Russians as an excuse for raising trouble, and sure enough it did. As soon as the Georgia crisis broke out, the Poles and eastern Europeans were unequivocal in strongly denouncing Moscow. They knew what the situation is. And McCain endorsed their statement almost immediately. Obama put out an even-handed, let's all behave responsibly statement that could have just as well come off an diplomat's shelf and been auto-applied to any conflict. The response wasn't tailored, until events on the ground moved Obama to tailor. That's called being behind the curve.

Leave the black bird troll alone. It's like pulli...

2008-08-13T00:45:00.000-04:00

Leave the black bird troll alone. It's like pulling a string on a doll: one of several prerecorded phrases will get uttered:

"It should be called Election Projection Done LEFT!"

"I'll be here on election night to brag!"

"I get excited about dead civilians, as long as they have brown skin!"

Just stop pulling the string. I guarantee the level of discourse will improve.

It's also interesting to note: The only McCain you...

2008-08-13T00:09:00.000-04:00

It's also interesting to note:

The only McCain youtube vids that get viewed a lot are the ones about...Obama.

The classic chicken-and-egg question. Is Obama in ...

2008-08-12T22:09:00.000-04:00

The classic chicken-and-egg question. Is Obama in control, requiring McCain to attack him to get attention, or do McCain's attacks shift the focus to Obama?

Given how steady Obama's coverage has been, it's hard to argue that McCain's stop-start attacks are responsible, as Sean notes. It's also hard to argue that Obama's campaign is responsible due to its "independent messaging", since Obama has been alternatively off the trail or in the eye of the storm since June. Why no bump during his foreign trip? Or in the week of the Iraq policy flap? Clearly Obama's message machine is not moving the dial either.

The only way the coverage of Obama could be so steady is if the people writing the stories consistently injected his name. Call it bias if you want, but it's simply a sign that the media views the election as an up or down vote on Obama.

Just don't kid yourself that Obama is in control of the message.

Gallup published a poll this afternoon in which re...

2008-08-12T21:14:00.000-04:00

Gallup published a poll this afternoon in which respondents were asked to name their choice for president with no names supplied to them.

38% named McCain, 45% Obama.

Question of all you experts... does this sort of poll have more or less validity than one in whch respondents have the names provided to them?

Hay FLVoter,Eye did that on perpus you daralickEye...

2008-08-12T20:54:00.000-04:00

Hay FLVoter,

Eye did that on perpus you daralick

Eye just don't no what eye wood dew without all yer speling hep.

Perhaps u shood foller da conversashun than you wood not be so behind.

Just don't know what all us dumb Republicans would do without you people trying to correct us all the time. Don't you ever just want us to like you for who you are?

The McCain campaign has apparently figured out tha...

2008-08-12T20:06:00.000-04:00

The McCain campaign has apparently figured out that the only way they can get in the news is to look like asses.

I guess its effective because they have landed in the news with the celebrity stuff. I'm not sure it will get them any votes though. The people want their president to talk about real issues. All I'm hearing out of McCain's mouth is Brittany Spears and Taco Bell.

Running naked through a funeral will get you talked about too. Perhaps, McCain should try that next.

This is a strategy page. So I'm going to advise the McCain campaign.

If you are going to pull a gun and fire on somebody, you better make sure its not loaded with blanks.

If the McCain campaign can find a real issue to go negative on, they should do it. The fact that a Taco Bell sold a lot of tacos before an Obama rally....

Just wanted to add that this comparison is echoed ...

2008-08-12T20:05:00.000-04:00

Just wanted to add that this comparison is echoed in stuff I've been writing about the two conventions. The Republican Convention is shaping up to be a wonder of absenteeism and nobody is very excited by St. Paul or the expense of getting there.

McCain could have kept it interesting by not heeding his Rovian handlers and trying for some sustained common sense.

If the character of his support is what I have handily avoided reading here I would say his problems are not entirely his fault.

Darien:It's "promise" not "promice." Failed 6th G...

2008-08-12T20:01:00.000-04:00

Darien:

It's "promise" not "promice." Failed 6th Grade English, huh?

Darien -What makes you so sure that a candidate fr...

2008-08-12T19:51:00.000-04:00

Darien -

What makes you so sure that a candidate from the party who has an extremely unpopular incumbent in the White House, with whom he has voted almost 95% of the time, will defeat a charismatic young populist candidate from the opposition party?

Hey Ogre... fitting name... just pointing out that...

2008-08-12T19:41:00.000-04:00

Hey Ogre... fitting name... just pointing out that you called yourself that... not me.

You win the spelling bee dude! ... but you lose the election. I'll be here. I promice

It seems the McCain campaign chose to make this el...

2008-08-12T19:17:00.000-04:00

It seems the McCain campaign chose to make this election a referendum on Obama. They could have avoided it and made their own kind of narrative, with a little less media attention. Instead, they bought the attention for the price of losing message control. It´s all in Obama´s hands at the moment. If he doesn´t mess it up, McCain can´t win (it´s just what the polls show). The focus on Obama also serves as a decoy to hide the connections between McCain and Bush.
This strategy however is going to lose power over time. The more stature Obama gains, the less impact is any campaign error going to have. The more people actually know about Obama the less doubt can exist. So McCain could be forced to abruptly change his strategy. Maybe he should have put more focus on building his own message BEFORE he started attacking Obama.

It's interesting that the word "canceled" is so co...

2008-08-12T18:56:00.000-04:00

It's interesting that the word "canceled" is so common on McCain's campaign blog. Is this referring to his campaign events, or...?

For a brief moment of levity, may I suggest creati...

2008-08-12T18:54:00.000-04:00

For a brief moment of levity, may I suggest creating your own Wordle of prolific posters on this site. Pretty funny as some posters are quite adept at hitting the same words over and over again, regardless of the topic they are posting on.

http://wordle.net/create

I heard a story on NPR the other day and they ment...

2008-08-12T18:48:00.000-04:00

I heard a story on NPR the other day and they mentioned that McCain was giving a speech where he mentioned Obama less. They were contrasting it with earlier speeches, where most of the time was spent on Obama. Perhaps the McCain camp is learning: If all you do is talk about your opponent, you make them the story.

Darien, there's an old saw you'd profit by. It su...

2008-08-12T18:42:00.000-04:00

Darien, there's an old saw you'd profit by. It suggests that it's better to remain silent than to speak and remove the doubt that you're a complete fool.

Claiming divinity, but being incapable of spelling the word is pretty suggestive....