Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Road to 270: South Carolina

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2009-10-07T07:24:50.966-04:00

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2009-10-03T05:39:16.827-04:00

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2009-01-17T05:51:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-17T05:34:00.000-05:00

petekent, those guys you name-checked are all cont...

2008-10-27T01:53:00.000-04:00

petekent, those guys you name-checked are all controlled by one Sean 'Obamabot' Quinn. Blame him!

phati

Greetings from suburban Philadephia !Back in the s...

2008-10-26T20:15:00.000-04:00

Greetings from suburban Philadephia !

Back in the spring of '06, the Republicans had controlled both houses of the Pennsylvania legislature for 11 years, and the governorship for 8 of those years.

One might think they had a possible candidate who could say "We point with pride to our accomplishments ...". instead of picking Mr. Swann.

Despite his great personal qualities, his platform basically was "It wasn't my fault, I wasn't there, and half the time I didn't even vote..."

Whatever their chances of succeeding against Rendell's personal popularity, that might have produced a more successful campaign, and been more in keeping with the Republican "party of personal responsibility" philosophy.

and...

GO PHILLIES!

Sean, I like these state-by-state posts. Really, ...

2008-10-26T17:31:00.000-04:00

Sean, I like these state-by-state posts. Really, I do. But can someone please tell me what it means for a state's electoral votes to be either "eneagled" or "superstantial"? Is this another 538 inside joke?

He said by a point or two. It's probably the a poi...

2008-10-26T11:42:00.000-04:00

He said by a point or two. It's probably the a point. lol.

The guy from Gallup was just on MSNBC talking abou...

2008-10-26T11:02:00.000-04:00

The guy from Gallup was just on MSNBC talking about the latest poll. The latest poll is 7 points in favor fo Obama, but he revealed the upcoming poll that will get released at 1PM will show a tightening of the race by a point or two, so it will probably state that Obama is up by 5. He was up about 11 this time last week.

Really, the only ones who say "You can't believe t...

2008-10-26T10:58:00.000-04:00

Really, the only ones who say "You can't believe the polls" are the losers. They were really only wrong once, in 1948, so that is a fairly good track record. Even then, they wetn back & found out that it wasn't really a case of the polls being wrong, they just conducted them wrong, but they have improved the methodology since then.

The link that real joe shared...The Sarah Palin pi...

2008-10-26T10:43:00.000-04:00

The link that real joe shared...

The Sarah Palin pick and his
reactions to the financial crisis
is absolutely telling for John McCain
as a leader. Not very good.
Indeed a maverick, but a leader of
men, NO!. He simply doesn't have it. It was probably apparent in
2000 but in 2008 the Republican
party took a second look and
thought maybe there are some
improvements, but surprisingly,
there aren't any.

Another Conservative Endorses ObamaLink

2008-10-26T10:30:00.000-04:00

Another Conservative Endorses Obama

Link

lat--You could very well be right, but my personal...

2008-10-26T10:28:00.000-04:00

lat--

You could very well be right, but my personal sense is that it was a matter of efficiency related to the push-button nature of the automated call. I don't know if Rasmussen has studied the patience of callers who answer questions and then hang up when they get bored. If one were to list all the main issues and ask people to press button #5 or button #15, the call would take forever.

One of my favorite jokes from SNL last night:Accor...

2008-10-26T10:27:00.000-04:00

One of my favorite jokes from SNL last night:

According to expense reports, Sarah Palin charged the State of Alaska over $21,000 for her children to travel with her on official business. In fairness to Gov. Palin, when she leaves them home alone, they get pregnant.

Hillary Clinton making 3 stops in NH on Tuesday

2008-10-26T10:26:00.000-04:00

Hillary Clinton making 3 stops in NH on Tuesday

Could McCain lose his home state? Looks like word ...

2008-10-26T10:25:00.000-04:00

Could McCain lose his home state? Looks like word is going to get around now that Obama is closing in AZ

http://news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20081026/pl_politico/14942;_ylt=ApNs.sLxPnbVCDfIKegmDbpsnwcF

New thread.

2008-10-26T10:24:00.000-04:00

New thread.

VA: Obama 52, McCain 43 (PPP-10/21-23)

2008-10-26T10:23:00.000-04:00

VA: Obama 52, McCain 43 (PPP-10/21-23)

PA John said... "McCain said he's been hearte...

2008-10-26T10:20:00.001-04:00

PA John said...

"McCain said he's been heartened by the size of the crowds and the level of enthusiasm at his events."

Did he REALLY say that?

Well, if he got the crowds and enthusiasm he deserved, he'd be speaking to audiences of three, of whom two would be asleep. Since he's actually drawing tens and some of them stay until the end, he's doing better than he has any right to expect. And that's GREAT NEWS!!!! for JOHN MCCAIN!!!!1!

@mysticBrokaw is using his own words against him a...

2008-10-26T10:20:00.000-04:00

@mystic

Brokaw is using his own words against him about Bush's tax cuts and how he was against them and how when you reach a "comfortable level" you should pay more, it's great!

"McCain said he's been heartened by the size of th...

2008-10-26T10:19:00.001-04:00

"McCain said he's been heartened by the size of the crowds and the level of enthusiasm at his events."

Yeah, tell that to the folks in NM. 45,000 to 2,000. He's really got the enthusiasm and crowds. LMAO

aidan--thanks for clearing that up but I must say,...

2008-10-26T10:19:00.000-04:00

aidan--thanks for clearing that up but I must say, again, as a social scientist who works with surveys that the fact that they provide you with specific examples says a lot. They are telling you what the issues are and even if you don't think it affects your answer it does. This is why Rass cannot be trusted to do unbiased polls because his questions, giving issues that are important as being economic/social etc, taints the way you answer. From what I have seen other pollsters do not give you these specific examples. Or at least not that I have seen. They just say economic, foreign policy, terrorism

@the game...I'm looking forward to it. T minus 13 ...

2008-10-26T10:18:00.000-04:00

@the game...

I'm looking forward to it. T minus 13 minutes :)

petekent, actually, 10 million have already voted....

2008-10-26T10:17:00.001-04:00

petekent, actually, 10 million have already voted.

McLame sounds terrible on MTP. Brokaw is actually ...

2008-10-26T10:17:00.000-04:00

McLame sounds terrible on MTP. Brokaw is actually tearing him apart in my opionion and he is really squirming.