tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post8356590154426937385..comments2009-03-12T04:37:23.906-04:00Nate Silverhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08334852368748204318noreply@blogger.comBlogger57125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-42155637879412115892008-10-22T18:31:27.506-04:002008-10-22T18:31:27.506-04:00My home state, I love you so. I&#39;m never prouder of you than at moments like this. :`)<BR/><BR/>... except for that gay marriage thing. Guys, &quot;FOURTH&quot; sounds totally lame-o. You totally dropped the ball there. &gt;:cNistellehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12555067214764532040noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-7530037246598841762008-10-22T16:58:23.783-04:002008-10-22T16:58:23.783-04:00Just saw the "rates were..." video...wow.<BR/><BR/>Although it did seem like he was considering saying "continued." It's sort of like how you can pick a hidden word out of telling someone to "finish it," or how during lipstickgate people would still have been offended if Obama had said "you can't polish a turd."Trevorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14843901042763389827noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-37920905858565549392008-10-22T16:50:30.884-04:002008-10-22T16:50:30.884-04:00The other thing re: the Catholic vote mentioned earlier is that they may not be particularly monolitically Democratic nationwide by themselves, but there is a correlation in individual states (the highest Catholic states are places like Massachusetts and Rhode Island...notice a pattern?)Trevorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14843901042763389827noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-52871242627901151122008-10-22T16:11:59.375-04:002008-10-22T16:11:59.375-04:00<I>McCain mistakenly says "cunt" at campaign event today - watch Cindy's face</I><BR/><BR/>I'm surprised she flinched--it's not like she hasn't heard it before.Another Mikehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14259903922051886824noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-10092596453464034122008-10-22T16:09:43.393-04:002008-10-22T16:09:43.393-04:00MuleRider: You are being offensive. Please don't forget that 10 year old children and 70 year old grandmothers read these comments.MsMikehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01989573398999416943noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-7677861981304754392008-10-22T15:42:54.072-04:002008-10-22T15:42:54.072-04:00<B><BR/><BR/>McCain Campaign Buys Air Time In Indiana<BR/><BR/>13 days before the election, the McCain campaign has decided to spend several hundred thousands dollars on a last-minute television buy in the state of Indiana.<BR/><BR/>This is the first time in a month that the campaign has spent its own money on television in the Hoosier state.<BR/><BR/>The RNC's independent expenditure committee has been saturating the state for weeks, but the McCain campaign resisted, until now.<BR/><BR/>A spokesperson did not immediately respond to an e-mail seeking comment.<BR/><BR/>In July, McCain had yet to open a field office in the state.<BR/><BR/>McCain advisers believe that habitual Republican voters will overwhelm Democratic surge voters in the state.<BR/><BR/>President Bush won Indiana by 21 points in 2004.<BR/><BR/></B>Real Joehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13313572022681322361noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-36589653115597140312008-10-22T15:34:29.781-04:002008-10-22T15:34:29.781-04:00There are no bogus polls.<BR/><BR/>AP is not a bogus poll.<BR/><BR/>It is a data point.InkStainhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06618485429377500642noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-25429797295128675592008-10-22T15:29:34.961-04:002008-10-22T15:29:34.961-04:00HARVARD INST OF POLITICS: <BR/>O-56; M-30 among youth.<BR/><BR/>http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/10/youth_voters_want_political_en.html#more<BR/><BR/>Or you can believe the AP.KMartDadhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02317257418676307115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-84864170990282618332008-10-22T15:23:51.715-04:002008-10-22T15:23:51.715-04:00If AP is going to put out such a bogus poll, they shouldn't allow access to the details as it just makes it too easy to determine the genesis of their deception. And to "the it prof": While I have tremendous respect for Nate's analytical ability, we don't need his expertise to shoot holes in this pile of crap.KMartDadhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02317257418676307115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-69124457705533686662008-10-22T15:17:12.844-04:002008-10-22T15:17:12.844-04:00MR,<BR/><BR/>Fortunately for me here in San Francisco, I am surrounded by fellow paranoid anti-American socialists. So while I may die in the next year, there's no chance it will be lonely and unhappy, what with all the drug-fueled debauchery and hot gay sex I have lined up.<BR/><BR/>Cheers!Kurthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00782819499565237427noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-77938050901706132942008-10-22T15:12:30.982-04:002008-10-22T15:12:30.982-04:00Hey everyone,<BR/><BR/>With Florida showing McCain+1 or +2 and Virginia Obama+2, anyone thinking the race is National+5 or more is deluding themselves.<BR/><BR/>All of the battlegrounds are tracking near even. That means a national race that is near even.<BR/><BR/>If you want to say currently it is Obama+3, I would go along. If the ground game is so good, you have nothing to worry about.Jack-be-nimblehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12718914387541292235noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-51794851248518629392008-10-22T15:10:51.643-04:002008-10-22T15:10:51.643-04:00NamVet,<BR/>Mule is just upset he can't have me. But alas, I made a strict rule a while ago to never date another turd again. So far so good.Alyssahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17229579649134997704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-2927154376547638992008-10-22T15:10:36.073-04:002008-10-22T15:10:36.073-04:00Um, the biggest campaign action in New York would have to be the Obama campaign's absolutely TITANIC phonebanking, "drive to PA," etc., operations. Maybe you should drop by the offices? You might see some things not on SNL or Jon Stewart....Timothyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11299182792485353979noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-61421005404595503082008-10-22T15:09:27.244-04:002008-10-22T15:09:27.244-04:00RepubliCONs pretending the AP poll is 1 pint. RCP goes along. The AP poll is 48-38 Obama up 10. They have a likely voter model that takes out 300 of the 1100 voters to get the number down to 44-43. This is totally absurd nonsense. How exactly do you determine that 30% of your poll is not going to vote and they're 70% for Obama. That makes very little sense.Erichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16370146018177862041noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-90116851402104338832008-10-22T15:07:56.434-04:002008-10-22T15:07:56.434-04:00Sean,<BR/><BR/>Will you guys be in NJ soon?Joeyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02137072572897740832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-20112241253843321302008-10-22T15:05:39.470-04:002008-10-22T15:05:39.470-04:00I was wondering when you were gonna do my state.<BR/><BR/>I live in the metro NYC area, in the suburbs to the north of the city. Not much interesting to report....lots of Obama bumper stickers. Not a lot of yard signs for anyone (probably because this is the kind of area where people wouldn't dream of ruining their landscaped lawns with signs). <BR/><BR/>I know two people who are voting for John McCain. Everyone else is either too embarrassed to admit that they are, or nobody else is.<BR/><BR/>Nobody likes Palin or jives with her Joe Six Pack crap--it's not meant for us, I guess, but I know those folksy references go right over my Jewish New York suburban head.<BR/><BR/>When I was a kid, I thought this country was half Jewish, half Catholic and that everyone was a Democrat. That's the kind of place southern NY is. Not interesting demographically, but a good old chunk of votes for Dems.<BR/><BR/>More than once, I've wished I lived in Ohio or somewhere "swingy" so that I'd get to be part of an "exciting" election state. I met Barack, but had to drive six hours to NH to do so, stood in the heat for five hours, six months pregnant, heard him talk. One of the best days of my life.<BR/><BR/>NY Republican Party is never all that hopping; it's a blue, blue state. The Democratic Party isn't hopping, either, mostly because it's an inevitability that Dems usually sweep these areas. Probably differs slightly upstate, but this is downstate for you.pinkakanehttp://openid.aol.com/pinkakanenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-49897511901484349632008-10-22T15:05:22.020-04:002008-10-22T15:05:22.020-04:00Michael said... <BR/>Eric:<BR/><BR/>I've followed Orrin Hatch's career. He's solidly right-wing, of course, but unless you can cite specific obviously racist remarks (and actually, even if you can cite a few), I believe you're severely assassinating his character. No way is he an unreconstructed segregationist and supporter of terrorism against blacks like Strom Thurmond and George Wallace were. And for all his right-wing bloviation, he is friends with Edward Kennedy and has co-sponsored some bipartisan legislation. So as much as his usual propaganda campaign annoys me, I think that for a Senator from Utah, you could do far worse.<BR/><BR/><BR/>Fair enough. I guess I'm throwing him in with Trent Lott and Jesse Helms as the 3 Senators to succeed Wallace and thurmond as obnoxious dumb good ol' boys that I can't stand. Almost my whole life, the Republicans have run things, poorly I might add. I'm just sick of it. Hearing Hatch, conrtinually interrupt Mitchell and act like the reason Obama is doing well is because the media has made it so, just pissed me off and reminded me of bad things. Hatch is not as bad as those other 4 Senators, as he's not from the South. He never was and I agree he's not as bad as Wallace, Helms, Thurmond, or Lott.Erichttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16370146018177862041noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-49628026485542051692008-10-22T15:04:26.867-04:002008-10-22T15:04:26.867-04:00Because I don't like feeding trolls.<BR/><BR/>While I'm almost certainly paranoid, that is not evidence of the absence of conspiracy.Kurthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00782819499565237427noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-66332286638768425572008-10-22T15:04:24.742-04:002008-10-22T15:04:24.742-04:00new postSeretsehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09277493196457434322noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-89119965810388707352008-10-22T15:01:11.304-04:002008-10-22T15:01:11.304-04:00Jeff---<BR/>With all due respect, I completely disagree, and I'm pretty closely into this (if you're involved, you'll recognize me by my first name ;) . Schools are now fulltime test prep zones, graduation rates remain flat, class sizes are the biggest in the country, social workers are a dissapearing breed in schools with populations of troubled kids and principals are mostly too scared to say 'boo' to Klein whose bureaucracy is made up of business people and not education people.<BR/><BR/>Cheers!vivianhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16236322789002173826noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-32471724934135415052008-10-22T14:59:58.939-04:002008-10-22T14:59:58.939-04:00Term limits were a GOP invention in the 1980s to drive Dems out of office.<BR/><BR/>The NYC ones were single-handedly backed by a wealthy GOP socialite (Ron Lauder).<BR/><BR/>They are anti-democratic, are destroying the legislative process (here in California the Speaker of the House usually has been in office 2 years, at most 4) and cause elected officials to be more, not less, responsive to lobbyists (because they are looking for their next jobs in business and/or financing for going into a new elected position.)<BR/><BR/>Irrespective of one's feelings about Bloomberg or any official, they should be eliminated across the board.sfergus483http://openid.aol.com/sfergus483noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-77079649347918220172008-10-22T14:59:52.107-04:002008-10-22T14:59:52.107-04:00mule rider:<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://www.addictinggames.com" REL="nofollow">http://www.addictinggames.com</A><BR/><BR/>There are plenty of ways to blow off steam without actively making the world a lesser place.histocrathttp://histocrat.livejournal.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-14990437400356129462008-10-22T14:58:37.049-04:002008-10-22T14:58:37.049-04:00http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R9Cq-KlvdXE<BR/><BR/>Everyone watch these if you haven't...Seriously, so effing funny..Called "McCain's Brain"<BR/><BR/>This is #5, #'s 1-4 are just as good....noiateericksonhttp://openid.aol.com/noiateericksonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-34216657530061221012008-10-22T14:58:31.212-04:002008-10-22T14:58:31.212-04:00WHAT CAN YOU DO TO PROTECT YOUR VOTE?<BR/>Spread the word, and carry this information with you when you go to vote: <BR/>If voter fraud or vote suppression is suspected: call the Election Protection Hotline at 1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683). Their Web site is www.866ourvote.org.MsMikehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01989573398999416943noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-91680751148716118142008-10-22T14:57:06.272-04:002008-10-22T14:57:06.272-04:00In my psychology research methods class when talking about sampling I usually say 'If your sample is not representative you might as well make up your data, they will be about as accurate...'Dave Brodbeckhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11047006438197726412noreply@blogger.com