Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Runoffs All About Enthusiasm, GOTV

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, ...

2009-10-02T05:51:36.705-04:00

酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店經紀,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店工作,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
菲
梵,

艾葳酒店經紀公司提供專業的酒店經紀, 飯局小姐,領檯人員,領台,傳播妹,或者想要到台北酒店、林森北路...

2009-08-28T02:53:20.074-04:00

艾葳酒店經紀公司提供專業的酒店經紀, 飯局小姐,領檯人員,領台,傳播妹,或者想要到台北酒店、林森北路酒店,私人招待所,或者八大行業當酒店PT,酒店公關,酒店兼職,想去酒店上班, 日式酒店,制服酒店,ktv酒店,禮服店,整天穿得水水漂漂的禮服酒店,鋼琴酒吧當酒店領檯,酒店小姐,公關小姐??,還是想去制服店當上班小姐,水水們如果想要擁有打工工作、晚上兼差工作、兼差打工、假日兼職、兼職工作、學生兼差、兼差、打工兼差、日領工作、晚上兼差工作、酒店工作、酒店上班、酒店打工、兼職、兼差、兼差工作、酒店上班等,想了解酒店相關工作和特種行業內容,想找打工、假日兼職、兼差打工、或晚班兼職想擁有快速賺錢又有保障的工作嗎???又可以現領請找專業又有保障的艾葳酒店經紀公司!

艾葳酒店經紀是合法的公司工作環境高雅時尚，無業績壓力，無脫秀無喝酒壓力，高層次會員制客源，工作輕鬆，可日領、現領。
一般的酒店經紀只會在水水們第一次上班和領薪水時出現而已，對水水們的上班安全一點保障都沒有！艾葳酒店經紀公司的水水們上班時全程媽咪作陪，不需擔心！只提供最優質的酒店打工,酒店上班,酒店打工環境、上班條件給水水們。

水水們妳有缺現金、有卡債、缺錢卡奴的煩腦嗎?想到日本留學日本打工嗎?妳是工讀生找工作??想要擁有高時薪又輕鬆的夜間兼職工作,打工機會和,假日打工,兼職工作日領假日打工的機會嗎??想實現夢想卻又缺錢沒錢嗎!??整天還在煩腦如何賺錢有什麼賺錢方法,和賺錢最快方法!?,想要打工,日領工作,短期打工,兼差工作,打工兼差工作嗎!?,
請加入我們艾葳酒店經紀公司工作單純輕鬆”高時薪”又可日領徵想要當傳播妹,上班小姐,酒店兼差,酒店兼職,歡迎學生打工,!!!
加入我們實現夢想就從現在開始^__^

外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇外遇 ...

2009-04-16T04:44:00.000-04:00

^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T21:54:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T21:54:00.000-04:00

徵信社, 感情挽回, 挽回感情, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 捉姦, 徵信公司, ...

2009-02-08T23:59:00.000-05:00

情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...

2009-02-08T21:44:00.000-05:00

"...absolutely zero ambiguity..." existence = some...

2008-11-20T15:47:00.000-05:00

"...absolutely zero ambiguity..."

existence = something
zero = nothing
therefore: zero does not exist.
therefore:"...absolute ambiguity..."

wv: reprosil. Reprosil, reprosil, let your hair down.

I volunteered for Jim Martin's campaign in the for...

2008-11-16T16:15:00.000-05:00

I volunteered for Jim Martin's campaign in the former Obama, now "Georgia for Change" office in Atlanta. They seemed pretty busy, organized, and motivated. No sign of slacking off. I called people and they all sounded enthusiastic about the run-off as well.

When y'all come to Georgia, are you just going to be in Atlanta or are you going to go to some other places? I recommend Athens, because that's where I live :)

Old thread now. No one will ever read this. But ...

2008-11-15T15:33:00.000-05:00

Old thread now. No one will ever read this. But came back and saw susan's comments and wanted to say:

1) Bailout or no bailout, and regardless of whose "fault" it is, does the senior management of a public company get a bonus in a year when the stock price goes from $70 to $2? No. A lot more to say on current probs with exec comp and risk/reward but this judgment stands.
2) Does the help desk guy who did an excellent job get at least a reduced bonus? Maybe. On the one hand, if any one gets a bonus, he does. On the other hand, when times are tough in the auto industry the guy on the line takes the hit as much as anyone.
3) Has compensation been skewed unreasonably to the top end? Yes. It doesn't have to be that skewed. It all worked fine when less skewed.
4) Is minimum wage ridiculously low? Yes. It's enough to live at home with parents but it's not a living adult wage.
5) Given the real current tax structure (and not the tax fantasy spun out toward the end of the thread) is it reasonable to return upper tax brackets to Reagan levels? Yes (as I said above). It's not just humane, it's decent economics. In spite of whining by WSJ, IBD, etc. But don't get me started.
6) Where I do agree with MR is that everyone should have a reasonable baseline standard of living. This would include 1) solid social infrastructure -- universal health care, a great education, social security, unemployment benefits, etc., 2) truly reasonable baseline (minimum) wages. Also, no point in taxing income that's below the baseline standard.
7) I didn't argue about what's a reasonable baseline. In contrast to MR I'd make it solidly middle class. Nose above the poverty line is not enough. Part of this is just plain fairness and humane-ness, but it's good economics too. We're a knowledge economy. You are handicapping the whole country as well as individuals if you don't include a home computer with internet access, for example, in your idea of a baseline living standard. Note that good social infrastructure (e.g., universal healthcare, hell, what about universal connectivity?) takes pressure off the baseline wage requirement and thus helps individuals and businesses alike.
8) "Confiscatory" sounds harsh. I like the idea of 1) a truly reasonable baseline, and 2) a very simple and equal tax that can't be gamed. I don't have the desire to make billions of dollars myself, but I also don't care if that's what others do as long as a decent baseline for everyone is the top priority. The one thing I would say, however: if the economy does well, we've all participated, and the baseline standard of living should rise.

End scene.

Savannah, GA. Any registered voter can vote in the...

2008-11-15T14:06:00.000-05:00

Savannah, GA. Any registered voter can vote in the runoff. Our lawyers did their stuff and we have 5 days of early voting starting Tuesday, November 18.

We have 25 volunteers out knocking on doors today. We have 400 volunteers working phones and databases. Labor has another 200 people canvassing. We stuck labels with early voting dates and times on 4,500 door hangers today. Collected $250 for GOTV from odd people who stopped by to hear Martin, Powell, and Barrow speak.

Martin and Powell are in town shaking hands at the Children's Book Festival, Democratic HQ, etc.

We're going to win this thing in a walk.

So, executives using bailout ("rescue") funds to p...

2008-11-14T21:23:00.000-05:00

So, executives using bailout ("rescue") funds to pay their inflated salaries and bonuses is fine. Executive salaries up to 400 times lowest wage is fine. But minimum wage should not increase to a living wage so these guys can go on getting more and more every year.

Personally, I'm radical enough to feel that there *should* be confiscatory taxes above the second million, but it ain't gonna happen. All they are talking about is increasing the top level (those who can easily afford it) 4%, to what it used to be, and trying to get the lowest batch to be able to afford food, housing, necessities, on their very small wages.

I think you should try to live for a month on minimum wage and then see how you feel.

Another topic. I hope Obama does not go to Georgia. More confirmation about plots to kill him:
"One of the most popular white supremacist Web sites got more than 2,000 new members the day after the election, compared with 91 new members on Election Day, according to an AP count."
http://my.earthlink.net/article/top?guid=20081114/491d05d0_3ca6_1552620081114128879007

Sick but altogether too likely. People busy buying assault guns like there's no tomorrow.

predn: predation

Somewhere and "think"?Or drink?That's what I recom...

2008-11-14T17:27:00.000-05:00

Somewhere and "think"?

Or drink?

That's what I recommend. And what I'm going to do here very shortly.

President: Green MonkeyVice-President: Mule Rider...

2008-11-14T17:13:00.000-05:00

President: Green Monkey
Vice-President: Mule Rider??

Oh my god ... I ... need to go somewhere and think ...

I already find green monkey as someone I respect o...

2008-11-14T17:08:00.000-05:00

I already find green monkey as someone I respect on here.

@masonSorry to cause confusion. People throw aroun...

2008-11-14T17:05:00.000-05:00

@mason

Sorry to cause confusion. People throw around "flat tax" as a shorthand for the solution where you tax every dollar the same.

We have a progressive tax that at core is really just a set of stepped brackets. The tax within each bracket is flat.

So the proposal is a two-step progressive tax:

0% on the first $X earned
Y% on every dollar earned above $X

Our core tax system is just like this except with multiple increasing brackets.

So you can look at this as EITHER a simple progressive tax with one paying bracket, OR as a flat tax which only applies above a certain threshold. Your choice of language, but both are good descriptions.

In 2020:President: Mule RiderVice-President: Mason...

2008-11-14T16:58:00.000-05:00

In 2020:

President: Mule Rider
Vice-President: Mason

Pretty much agree with MR. There's been plenty of ...

2008-11-14T16:57:00.000-05:00

Pretty much agree with MR. There's been plenty of living high, but it's no more useful to villify the rich boor than to find and villify the welfare abuser as an argument against welfare.

Obama has talked a lot about creating jobs -- a more direct bottom-up economics, as opposed for waiting for job-creation to trickle down. His rhetoric includes a lot about jobs, work, service, and infrastructure building. That's the real substance of his plan. It's been in the interest of the right to emphasize anything that sounds like class warfare, but that's not what he's proposing.

People spend money on crack -- welfare recipients ...

2008-11-14T16:52:00.000-05:00

People spend money on crack -- welfare recipients and stock brokers alike.

Whitney Houston would disagree.

First, you may be surprised that I agree about the ultra-simple progressive tax plan that stutter proposed. People spend their income on 1) basic necessities, 2) luxury items, and 3) investing. I would figure out some reasonable value X for 1) and only tax above that at a flat rate. No need to argue about the specific value of $X. Make it $1MM or $30K per person. In principle I absolutely agree.

Woah.... Flat tax? By definition that's not a progressive tax (adb: a tax where tax rate increases as taxable income increases). I guess it depends on the size of your inital exemption ($X), right? That would be a fight.

green monkey,As long as reward is a linear functio...

2008-11-14T16:49:00.000-05:00

green monkey,

As long as reward is a linear function of work/effort, I would support any tax.
I am a strong supporter of alcohol and cigarette taxes because they are voluntary and do not tax one's work.

As for my "McCrackpipe" reference, it was an immediate, deliberate ovvereaction to your characterization of upper-income spending habits. I agree, their are wrong-doers on the top AND bottom of the class structure.

Charity, in my opinion, is a voluntary act. I feel a sense of resentment when I see my tax dollars going to those who expect handouts rather than examining themselves thoroughly as to how they can improve their lives on their own.

It is not just a political attack, IMO, to wonder why Joe Biden considers paying more taxes is "patriotic" when he himself gives a mere pittance in charity. To me, that's awful. To demand by force more money from those who he judges can afford to dole out more, while he doesn't give nearly anything ON HIS OWN to people in need.
At least practice what you preach, other than with money that is not yours.

Here's what I believe:People should have access to...

2008-11-14T16:48:00.000-05:00

Here's what I believe:

People should have access to affordable housing, health care, a vehicle, food, utilities, and clothing.

As for housing, it may not be a house at all. It may be an apartment. But people should be able to afford basic and respectable furniture to fill it up with.

Health care. Enough said. For everybody, but don't write the doctors a blank check. There has to be a better way to provide universal coverage, but that's not the point of my rant.

The vehicle. It should be dependable but not necessarily new. Enough to get back and forth to work and run a few errands here and there.

Food. Affordable and a healthy mix that meets USDA/FDA guidelines...even if it's private label, very basic stuff.

Utilities. Access to electricity and running water and reasonable use of heating and cooling.

Clothing. Enough to stay warm, be cool, and present yourself at work or in public.

Notice I said nothing about everybody getting a 4 bed-3 bath-2 car garage pad in the nicest neighborhood in town.

Notice I said nothing about people leaning exclusively on someone else to take care of their health needs.

Notice I said people don't need to be getting a brand new BMW every two years.

Notice I said people can't just eat what they want all the time nor can they eat out or eat fancy all the time.

Notice I said nothing about Internet access, a cable/satellite package, having 4 cell phones, or anoter "amenity" that is an out and out luxury.

Notice I said nothing about designer clothes and/or expensive wear or new clothes.

Is anybody following? Do they see the difference in the two groups? This is where the struggle is and where the class warfare begins.

Hey, I'm all for making everyone one of those top items affordable and to where everybody has access to them.

But this incoming administration, and many of its supporters, seek to demonize, bastardize, and belittle anyone who enjoys many of the things from that second group of items.

"You drive a new car, have a nice house, and have the biggest cable package? You must not have worked for it. You must be exploiting all the rest of us. You need to share the wealth."

That's the mentality and it HAS TO STOP or we will be divided as a country worse than ever before.

Remeber: give a man a fish and you feed him for a day...teach him, and he's fed for a lifetime.

We need to focus our programs on our lower class getting OUT OF the gutter by their own volition with just a little help, but not by handing them everything by hypnotizing the masses to believe that anybody who has anything didn't do anything to deserve it.

The market is falling in anticipation of Obama?Now...

2008-11-14T16:40:00.000-05:00

The market is falling in anticipation of Obama?

Now that is stupid. Nether Obama nor McCain are economists. Both would get in specialist help.

The difference is that Obama always gets the best and listens very carefuly.

McCain on the other hand ignores his experts. As prime example - Palin. McCain had a vetting team but didn't use it.

What socialist policies Obama might have put in if things had been better is now more or less imaterial. This presidency will be all about America's survival.

bumens - iregular superlative of bummer.

stutter and mule rider:First, you may be surprised...

2008-11-14T16:38:00.000-05:00

stutter and mule rider:

First, you may be surprised that I agree about the ultra-simple progressive tax plan that stutter proposed. People spend their income on 1) basic necessities, 2) luxury items, and 3) investing. I would figure out some reasonable value X for 1) and only tax above that at a flat rate. No need to argue about the specific value of $X. Make it $1MM or $30K per person. In principle I absolutely agree.

About class warfare I am sorry if that's what it sounded like, and I'll assume the references to McCrackpipes etc were just the flippant flip side. People spend money on crack -- welfare recipients and stock brokers alike. It's a problem. But it's not a good reason to favor luxury spending by the rich over trying to get everyone able to afford their basic necessities.

So -- no one's going to propose the flat-tax-above-X plan yet. But guess what, it makes sense to bleeding-heart liberal Obama lovers such as myself. So there's hope yet.

STS-There's nothing "class warfare" at all about t...

2008-11-14T16:31:00.000-05:00

STS-
There's nothing "class warfare" at all about the term McMansion. They're generally middle or upper-middle class housing. The main problems with them are sprawl they cause when they're newly developed, bad lot/house ratio (too big in new dev., too small in infill), their ill-fit into establish neighborhoods (don't build the most expensive home on the block, dumbass), and their ubiquity.

(Has anyone else noticed that STS and MR tend to roll together? Odd.)

Mason,No. I don't blame Bill Clinton, although he ...

2008-11-14T16:24:00.000-05:00

Mason,

No. I don't blame Bill Clinton, although he and his policies may have had small hand in this.

I think he was a decent president. Not good, but decent. Of course, I'm probably giving him a hometown discount since we grew up not to far from one another...just in separate decades.