Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: On the Road: Bloomington, Indiana

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2009-09-25T07:18:26.172-04:00

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2009-03-12T04:17:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T04:17:00.000-04:00

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2009-01-18T05:43:00.000-05:00

This article discusses amazement of the success of...

2008-10-08T21:30:00.000-04:00

This article discusses amazement of the success of registering thousands of new voters through Obama's campaign. This is however, is not a new phenomenon. Across the country similar stories have been playing out for several months. Not only are young people showing up to vote, but those unable to vote are showing up to help out every way they can. I am an intern at my local Obama office and I am constantly amazed at the amount of energy behind the campaign, especially with young people. Nearly every day young people, either first time voters or high school students who cannot vote, come in to volunteer in any way they can.
The Obama campaign has been successful in opening its arms to young voters, and young people in general. While this seems an obvious thing to do, the Democratic Party has lost elections before because they were not able to open up to a new group of people. At the 1968 Democratic convention the party was unable to welcome a new voting bloc into the convention, African Americans. Instead of seating the Freedom Party at the convention in voting positions, Humphrey and other leaders offered them an offhanded compromise, disenfranchising the African American vote for years to come. With young people by his side Obama has brought a new wave of excited to not only politics, but in particularly, the Democratic party.

"[Nate] McCain's winning the Terry vote!"Hey... wa...

2008-10-08T14:50:00.000-04:00

"[Nate] McCain's winning the Terry vote!"

Hey... wait a second. Did you see Terry (the former Chief Petty Officer who McCain patted on the shoulder) as Obama responded to the same question after McCain?

As Obama talked about his proposed policy to pursue democracy BEFORE war, Terry was seen repeatedly nodding his head in seeming agreement. It certainly SEEMED to this viewer that Terry liked what he heard from Obama -- even though I thought the question *might* have been framed in such a way as to expose Obama's supposed 'weakness' on defense.

So, based on those two interactions, I was not at all sure that McCain won the "Terry vote" on that one.

It's one vote... but each vote counts.

No McCain office in Lafayette? Unless they've got...

2008-10-07T19:46:00.000-04:00

No McCain office in Lafayette? Unless they've got one in West Lafayette, that means there's no office for Purdue students (40,000+ enrollment) to plug into. That doesn't sound good for Republicans at all.

How about "Obama wins IN, wins election" simulatio...

2008-10-07T14:10:00.000-04:00

How about "Obama wins IN, wins election" simulation?

Indiana polls close at 6 pm ET. You could practically project him the winner of the entire election if he takes Indiana. This may be the initial state to watch on election day.

This post today was very moving. I don't know if m...

2008-10-07T14:01:00.000-04:00

This post today was very moving. I don't know if maybe I am feeling more emotional than normal, but this post nearly brought me to tears. It is so inspiring to hear about how much people will sacrifice in order to secure a better future. We all have that little glimmer of hope in us. Some of us act on it and some of us don't. I really wanted to go out and register new voters, canvas my neighborhood and phone bank, but I am so busy trying to make ends meet. The financial struggles in many families across the country is real. I may not have time to work pro-actively on this campaign, but my children and family members do. I ordered a yard-long sign for the campaign and affixed it to my fence in front of my house. Someone ripped it off and tried to rip it. I cleaned it up and hung it back up. My fence is in a high traffic area and right across the street from the public Library. My 7 year old and I hand painted a 50 foot sign reminding people to register to vote. We continue to passively support Obama through our signs and through donations. I talk to friends and neighbors in an unofficial way. I have had extensive meetings with my boss who is a hard core Repub. and he has recently switched his stance on many issues: McCain’s failure to look like a leader during this economic downturn being the main turning point.

Thanks for sharing these kinds of stories.

Is it possible to predict the effect of McCain's u...

2008-10-07T12:34:00.000-04:00

Is it possible to predict the effect of McCain's unrelenting negativity going forward to November 4?

Are you seeing any changes in the last few days since the McCain camp has pulled the gloves off and descended into this ugliness?

I am really worried that all these great leads will be eroded by the utter filth and negativity generated by the McCain campaign.

It all makes me sick.

I note that(as of 10/7 AM) Real Clear (?) Politic...

2008-10-07T12:10:00.000-04:00

I note that(as of 10/7 AM) Real Clear (?) Politics showed Obama dropping from 10% to 5.3% in one day - the same day 538 notes the largest gain day for Obama; unlike 538, RCP does not explain itself...

I just want to thank you for these from the field ...

2008-10-07T11:56:00.000-04:00

I just want to thank you for these from the field reports. I definitely appreciate them.

This was a very inspiring post!! What AMAZING peo...

2008-10-07T10:57:00.000-04:00

This was a very inspiring post!! What AMAZING people these teens are!

Sean-Sorry to be so late to this thread, but...Pol...

2008-10-07T09:30:00.000-04:00

Sean-

Sorry to be so late to this thread, but...

Politico ran an interesting piece about Obama's outreach in African American neighborhoods that included this tidbit:

"The [Obama] campaign has, for example, a major initiative aimed at turning barbershops and beauty parlors into voter registration offices."

( http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14347.html )

Have you seen any evidence of this? How about including some voter reg. barber shops in your rounds next time you go to a black neighborhood?

Nate-Thanks for giving so much coverage on Indiana...

2008-10-07T08:43:00.000-04:00

Nate-

Thanks for giving so much coverage on Indiana. I truely believe that Indiana is going blue this cycle. I wish the national media would start mentioning Indiana with MO, NC, & VA. Maybe after this week's polls come out for the Hoosier State. I will be at the Obama rally in Indy tomorrow too and look forward to your coverage

We were going to vote Yes on 2 anyway, but when th...

2008-10-07T01:43:00.000-04:00

We were going to vote Yes on 2 anyway, but when the sign for it went up for it with our neighbors across the street, I contemplated going over and dickering.

"We'll vote yes on 2 if you'll vote no on 8." And we have 3 voters to their 2. Our eldest is 19. And their dogs, as much as they love them, can't vote.

California~I live in San Diego. Not as Republican ...

2008-10-07T01:27:00.000-04:00

California~

I live in San Diego. Not as Republican as Orange County, but not liberal by a long shot.

Personally, I'm not sanguine about Prop (h)8 being defeated. Tons of money and manpower coming from out of state for the Yes on (h)8 folks. Polls, which were comforting a couple weeks ago, are getting too tight.

If it were just us Californians taking a look at what we wanted our constitution to look like, putting our own time, thoughts, and money into the conversation, I'd be just a little less anxious. But boat-loads of money and Yes on (h)8 volunteers from out-of-state are our flooding our neighborhoods. Some Yes canvassers knocked on our door a few days ago, and they were lucky my very polite partner answered the door, because all he said (as gobsmacked as he was) was "I strongly oppose Proposition 8." I might have taken our family photo with me, him, and our two daughters off the wall and beat them about the head and shoulders with it. They were *really* lucky our 16 year old didn't answer the door. That child has a tongue like a scalpel.

Please read my letter to John McCain:http://oneang...

2008-10-07T01:19:00.000-04:00

Please read my letter to John McCain:

http://oneangrydwarf2008.blogspot.com/

I was so pissed off today that I actually sat down and mailed a letter to Senator McCain's office. I lost a crapload of money today in my retirement account, and all I heard about all day was Obama's a terrorist, and "kill him."

I despair the species if you know what I mean. Please everyone write a letter, send an e-mail do something to stop this Rovian politics of hate. Ugh...

Quick note of appreciation from the international ...

2008-10-07T00:51:00.000-04:00

Quick note of appreciation from the international section here- I'm in New Zealand, no American connections at all (if you don't count the occasional coffee at McDonalds)but fascinated by your elections and the insight I gain into them from this site -which includes of course from the comments.

robert, today's polls thread usually follows updat...

2008-10-07T00:44:00.000-04:00

robert, today's polls thread usually follows updated numbers by 20-30 minutes. So, expect new thread shortly.

Dear toronto, Don't come to OH! They dump chem-clo...

2008-10-07T00:41:00.001-04:00

Dear toronto, Don't come to OH! They dump chem-clouds on us all day long!!! it's not a pretty sight. North Carolina would be awesome at this time of year(or Virginia)
Although all of My work transforming the Trees in N-Eastern Oh is FABULOUS, I still wouldn't come here. The people are ignorant and prejudice, and the rest of us are flat-broke!!!
~Special council for the trees...

And I love that really, really tall blue line "Num...

2008-10-07T00:41:00.000-04:00

And I love that really, really tall blue line "Number of Simulations" in the Electoral Vote Distribution!

I heard Nate on KO tonight. I know this race will tighten. But, wow, what a beautiful map and beautiful EV number we have tonight.

Thank you for the update, Nate. I'm sure your day seems very long.

Sean, thanks to you and your wonderful photographer. Your stories are fascinating and the photos are exceptional.

Check out pollster.com's map too. They've added F...

2008-10-07T00:40:00.000-04:00

Check out pollster.com's map too. They've added FL to Lean Obama and now have 296 EVs for Obama and another 79 Toss Ups.

Sean,Is there someplace on your website where we c...

2008-10-07T00:37:00.000-04:00

Sean,
Is there someplace on your website where we can look at the map color history for different previous dates? (duh I guess history would imply previous dates...)

But anyway, that would be very cool if we could click on a previous calendar date to see the color of the map at that time.

SurveyUSA CA Poll released late:Obama 55McCain 39

2008-10-07T00:36:00.003-04:00

SurveyUSA CA Poll released late:

Obama 55
McCain 39