Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Road to 270: Ohio

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2009-10-02T08:06:40.969-04:00

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2009-09-26T07:22:40.167-04:00

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2009-04-06T13:04:00.000-04:00

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^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T21:39:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T21:39:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-08T22:50:00.000-05:00

No matter what happens today, at least I won't hav...

2008-11-04T07:50:00.000-05:00

No matter what happens today, at least I won't have to see that picture of Dayton anymore.

Two things:1. The first picture (of the bent I-70...

2008-11-03T19:06:00.000-05:00

Two things:

1. The first picture (of the bent I-70 exit sign) lacks all context and is insulting. It's in the middle of a huge construction zone (in Dayton, thus the planes on the overpass support). By focusing on the smashed-up sign, it reinforces the idea that Ohio is a dying state.

2. I read somewhere about a year ago that while more people voted in Ohio in '04, and many were Evangelicals trying to pass the "Defense of Marriage" Act, that those "extra" voters were split between the candidates at about the same rate as those who voted in '00. In other words, there were lots of extra Kerry voters too, and many of them also voted against the "DoM" Act.

In Ohio Look for this Holmes, Stark, and Delaware ...

2008-11-03T18:50:00.000-05:00

In Ohio Look for this
Holmes, Stark, and Delaware CO’s if McCain is fewer than 60 percent in Holmes and Obama is up 8 or more in Stark and if Delaware is a split Obama wins.

My Condolences to the Obama Family “May your faith give us faith my your strength give us strength

Just noticed that IBD/TIPP has O+5. Yesterday was ...

2008-11-03T18:18:00.000-05:00

Just noticed that IBD/TIPP has O+5. Yesterday was O+2 IIRC. Finger on the scale?

Hehehe, anyone else noticed that on intrade.com Mc...

2008-11-03T18:17:00.000-05:00

Hehehe, anyone else noticed that on intrade.com McCain has moved into single digits??

Change is coming guys.

Thanks for visiting us Governor and supporting Sen...

2008-11-03T18:09:00.000-05:00

Thanks for visiting us Governor and supporting Senator Obama. If I were still living in Virginia, you'd have my vote.

Now, any chance we can get you to Georgia to support Jim Martin if there's a runoff? You make a great messenger for the party in purpling southern states.

Transition 1000 wordsThe real issue is not how wel...

2008-11-03T18:05:00.000-05:00

Transition 1000 words

The real issue is not how well Obama or McCain might do state-by-state, but that we shouldn't have battleground states and spectator states in the first place. Every vote in every state should be politically relevant and equal.

The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted by states possessing a majority of the electoral vote (270 of 538). All the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the candidate with the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).

The National Popular Vote bill has been approved by 21 legislative chambers (one house in CO, AR, ME, NC, and WA, and two houses in MD, IL, HI, CA, MA, NJ, RI, and VT). It has been enacted into law in Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These states have 50 (19%) of the 270 electoral votes needed.

See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

Real Joe is Nate, Brett and Sean.Mulerider is corr...

2008-11-03T18:00:00.000-05:00

Real Joe is Nate, Brett and Sean.

Mulerider is correct about wingnuts on the right AND the left- remember, PUMAs are(were?) democrats, and they are spewing some of the craziest, vilest BS about Obama on the interwebs. That said, nobody should look at FR or point anyone their way- after tomorrow, the echo-chamber effect is going to go past 11 there and at other extremist sites.

My heart goes out to the Obamas for their loss- that said, I'm going to be so supremely happy for all Americans Wednesday- even the freeptards!

Viva Obama! Viva 538! GOTV mofos!

@ masonEnglish. Our local taxes at the moment nat...

2008-11-03T17:59:00.000-05:00

@ mason

English. Our local taxes at the moment nationally are all property taxes (set locally, in bands, based on the estimated value of your house in, I think, 1992). Very regressive form of taxation. Some of us want to switch to a form of local income tax. For some reason, rich people don't want us to do it.

JMIMLC-But but but... They have some funny shit on...

2008-11-03T17:58:00.000-05:00

JMIMLC-
But but but... They have some funny shit on there.

Like... Did you know that Obama is black? I mean, come on. That's far out.

He's a muslin, too.

new thread and polling update - McCain win% down t...

2008-11-03T17:57:00.000-05:00

new thread and polling update - McCain win% down to 1.9!!!

1.9%!!!!!!!satenexe: beelzebub's wife after the di...

2008-11-03T17:56:00.000-05:00

1.9%!!!!!!!

satenexe: beelzebub's wife after the divorce

Samule and others...I would strongly encourage you...

2008-11-03T17:54:00.000-05:00

Samule and others...

I would strongly encourage you to stop being so outraged at FreeRepublic and its ilk.

This is not news -- paranoid, petty fear-mongers have existed in many times and many places.

Instead, may I suggest that you do not read there? I am all for confronting "evil" where it appears, but it has never seemed like a worthwhile allocation of resources, emotional or otherwise, to deliberately court it. For similar reasons, I do not read along on KKK messageboards, nor am I obsessed with all the latest happenings in the Jihadi blogosphere. You have a choice, exercise it.

Or seeing as you're English/Irish/Welsh/Scottish, ...

2008-11-03T17:52:00.000-05:00

Or seeing as you're English/Irish/Welsh/Scottish, you might not know.

New Hampshire has no income/sales taxes. Therefore my in-laws were, at one point, paying 3x as much in property tax on a crappy 1.5 bedroom ski-condo in NH as they were paying on their 4 bedroom house outside of Boston.

What is with you people and real joe's surprise? H...

2008-11-03T17:51:00.001-05:00

What is with you people and real joe's surprise? He's just waiting to see if Obama flips Montana (or something comparable) and then he'll come on and say, "Surprise!"

WTF?

Mrs. B,I am prepared, as ever, for disappointment....

2008-11-03T17:51:00.000-05:00

Mrs. B,

I am prepared, as ever, for disappointment.

Now if only I could bail on my students tomorrow, instead of them bailing on me...

what I read on freerepublic makes me sick, I'm loo...

2008-11-03T17:50:00.000-05:00

what I read on freerepublic makes me sick, I'm loosing all my faith in any kind of decency coming from these people. I really hope someone will talk about this in the media. We should copy the whole thread and send it to all the newspapers we can think of...

just thought - maybe Real Joe's surprise is that t...

2008-11-03T17:49:00.002-05:00

just thought - maybe Real Joe's surprise is that there isn't one!

sorry, posting way too much in my excitement. Will go and get a nice cup of tea.

Long-time lurker, first-time poster. The wife and...

2008-11-03T17:49:00.001-05:00

Long-time lurker, first-time poster. The wife and I will be getting the vote out in Philly tomorrow. We've never volunteered for a campaign before, never even thought about it. I just don't see that enthusiasm in the McCain voters I know. I think I have more emotional energy invested in this election than in anything for a long time. I'm a high school teacher and I'm sick to my stomach of having to explain to my students that bin Laden and Saddam are not the same person and that Iraq did not destroy the WTC.

We've waited this long and come this far. Get down to your local Obama office and volunteer tomorrow. We cannot let this slip away.

So sad to hear about Toot. I'd like to think she died knowing he would be President.