Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: McCain's 10-Day Plan

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2009-09-25T08:08:34.583-04:00

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*Should The top management of the Public listed co...

2008-10-27T09:23:00.000-04:00

*

Should The top management of the Public listed company be responsible for the company performance, eg company nearly get wind up?

http://bailoutmovie.blogspot.com/

Are you a Partisan?

Should they give their view......? If any party did not give their views, send it to their supporter to question them....

New NH poll by a highly-rated pollster (ranked 5th...

2008-10-26T10:40:00.000-04:00

New NH poll by a highly-rated pollster (ranked 5th by 538) gives Obama a +15 lead, after having McCain +2 in September.

And he had a crowd of 3 men and a dog in NM yesterday...

So much for point 2 of your McCain strategy, Nate! Back to the drawing board....

This is an outstanding analysis and in line with m...

2008-10-26T07:02:00.000-04:00

This is an outstanding analysis and in line with my analysis on my blog.

You know what's been bugging me lately? Sarah Pali...

2008-10-26T04:17:00.000-04:00

You know what's been bugging me lately? Sarah Palin's first dood, Todd has been a member of the AIP (Alaska Independence Party). Now, Alaska was purchased in a legitimate real estate deal by the soon to be president McKinley. Alaskans have been the recipients of government subsidies for energy and for just being plain Alaskans. To want to secede from the union is theft of property. As a supporter of secession, do you know what that makes you?

A DOMESTIC TERRORIST!

What the hell planet am I on?

@unfortunate ScnitzielYou really shouldn't text wh...

2008-10-26T03:54:00.000-04:00

@unfortunate Scnitziel

You really shouldn't text while you're drunk.

Nate SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHSH!Let them waste their tim...

2008-10-26T03:20:00.000-04:00

Nate SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHSH!

Let them waste their time in PA.

You just gave McCain a much better strategy than his campaign staff has given him in months.

love the stuff Nate, but I imagine you're a perfec...

2008-10-26T02:14:00.000-04:00

love the stuff Nate, but I imagine you're a perfectionist. You misspelled "Virginia." Keep it up, and I'll keep telling people about your site.

New York Post? Didn't NYP endorse McCain?

2008-10-25T23:09:00.000-04:00

New York Post? Didn't NYP endorse McCain?

Can you look at 2004 exit poll data to estimate si...

2008-10-25T23:04:00.000-04:00

Can you look at 2004 exit poll data to estimate size of the Viguerie vote. This group is likely missing, in the hang-up category, in most polls. Conventional wisdom was that their numbers accounted for a 3.5M vote gain for Bush from 2000 to 2004. In what states would this "hidden" Palin-philic group likely skew current data.

Your strategy gets McCain to 283. McCain can't af...

2008-10-25T22:55:00.000-04:00

Your strategy gets McCain to 283. McCain can't afford to try for a cushion right now.

DUMP VIRGINIA!!! Obama's ground game there is too good. Take NH and NM!!!

Gotta defend a little in IN, with Big-O's ground game there. Chance MO? Boy, that's a gamble.

Got to agree with you on FL though. If the election looks close, FL redneck cops will have a "checkpoint" outside every poll with at least 10 african americans.

However, even with this stategy, McC will lose. However, it's all he can do.

I vote for Obama and I vote yes for prop 8. They a...

2008-10-25T22:32:00.000-04:00

I vote for Obama and I vote yes for prop 8. They are not excluded each other.

When the Republican party introduced Sarah Palin t...

2008-10-25T21:15:00.000-04:00

When the Republican party introduced Sarah Palin to the world, the whole party jumped the shark.

Donelson: "PALIN is running for HER FUTURE now, sh...

2008-10-25T21:07:00.000-04:00

Donelson: "PALIN is running for HER FUTURE now, she cares not for sad old McCain.

She has her eyes on 2012 and the looney Republican “base”."

And she'll have about as much success with that as when Katherine Harris of FL tried to run for Bill Nelson's senate seat. Couldn't even make it to the Republican primary.

Of course Nate should write wherever he likes. Any...

2008-10-25T20:54:00.000-04:00

Of course Nate should write wherever he likes. Anyway, the conclusions of the article follow directly from the numbers on this well-known website: specifically, that McCain can't win without a large national shift in his favor, and that if this materializes, he has a better shot in CO, NV, NM, and NH (the N-state strategy?) than in PA or the upper midwest.

The McCain campaign already has a surefire endgame...

2008-10-25T20:39:00.000-04:00

The McCain campaign already has a surefire endgame strategy:

Phase 1: Collect underpants.
Phase 2: ?
Phase 3: Victory!

Pete and Mule, don't you two have anything remotel...

2008-10-25T20:27:00.000-04:00

Pete and Mule, don't you two have anything remotely resembling lives? You guys are beyond annoying; you're pathetic. No self-respecting troll needs to try this hard.

Also, people need to calm down about Nate writing for the NYP. As someone said, his blog is partisan, while his analysis most certainly is NOT. He isn't "helping" anyone; he's offering adviced based on non-partisan analysis, advice that will do McCain no good because it requires 1/3 of American voters to change their minds at a point and time when their vote decision is likely cemented in order for him to implement any significant steps. Not to mention the monumental task of reigning in his campaign, vice-presidential candidate, and his party.

In short: He's *bleep*ed

Nate, you should permanently replace Chuck Todd at...

2008-10-25T20:11:00.000-04:00

Nate, you should permanently replace Chuck Todd at MSNBC.

If McCain fails to win AZ, that would be so Al Gor...

2008-10-25T19:48:00.000-04:00

If McCain fails to win AZ, that would be so Al Gore.

Seretse said... markymark said...My point, inkstai...

2008-10-25T19:45:00.000-04:00

Seretse said...
markymark said...
My point, inkstain, is that the US was set up as a liberal bastion against a conservative world, and sometimes it seems like the right conveniently forgets that.

Markymark, John Adams, Alexander Hamilton by today's standards would most likely be considered conservative in my opinion.
*******
The 18th Century was called "The Age of Enlightenment"., also known as the "The age of Liberalism". At the time of the revolution, the conservatives would have been the tories, since they didn't want change. Though when you think of it, the Revolution wasn't fought for some idealistic principle, or fighting for democracy or freedom. It was fought, because one third of the country didn't want to pay taxes. England wanted to tax the colonies to help pay for the cost of maintaining and defending them, especially during the French and Indian War, which when you think about it, seems fair. However, the colonists, like many people today, didn't believe they should have to pay for their upkeep, and that they shouldn't continue paying for their infrastructure.
The colonists would have been free eventually, because we would have outgrown England, a point Franklin tried to make to the King. As muc has some people dog the French, we wouldn't have won the war without their assistance. Like I said, we would have eventually won our independence, but it wouldn't have occurred at that time, without France sticking their neck out for us. In the end, the King of France lost his head partly as a result of supporting us, because they ended up going bankrupt.

sfergus,do you have a link to that poll? thanks.

2008-10-25T19:37:00.001-04:00

sfergus,

do you have a link to that poll? thanks.

are you guys aware there is a new thread?

2008-10-25T19:37:00.000-04:00

are you guys aware there is a new thread?

PeteKent said "The election will be stolen for the...

2008-10-25T19:34:00.000-04:00

PeteKent said "The election will be stolen for the sake of democracy"

Do you not realize the complete stupidity of this statement? You would destroy this nation. You are on this blog inciting revolution. Your ideas match EXACTLY the strategy that Hitler used to assume totalitarian control of Germany prior to World War 2. And you seem to feel that this is a good thing. You have no business speaking the word "freedom."

By all rights, the FBI should take you away and *interview* you very carefully.

Nate,How do your strategy suggestions fit with the...

2008-10-25T19:32:00.001-04:00

Nate,

How do your strategy suggestions fit with the apparent unwillingness to give up the fear-based, divisive tactics the McCain-Palin team has been using over the last 3+ weeks?

Will that tactic play better in CO, NV, and NM than in PA, or is it just a matter of him starting so much farther behind in PA?

I mean, Colorado obviously has its share of right-wing douchenozzles, so maybe this bullshit actually plays better there than in PA. That wasn't my first hunch, though, so I'm wondering what you think about it.

By the way, I'm a little surprised that no one has pointed out the obvious about Ashley Todd: She's Exhibit A for why you DON'T STOKE RACISM AND FEAR. A solid 1-2% of the population is schizophrenic (as in paranoid delusions, megalomania, etc. -- not multiple personality disorder, which is something completely different). Therefore, when you have a crowd of, say, 5,000 people, you also have a solid 25 to 100 people who are out of their fucking minds, and they can come to some seriously fucked up conclusions when you deliberately provoke their fears (terrorist! traitor! socialist! communist!).

Eventually, one of these whackjobs is virtually guaranteed to do something DESPERATE AND VIOLENT.

Ashley Todd did.

And we're all really, really fucking lucky that she "merely" mutilated her own face instead of, say, making a bomb or getting a gun.

Actually, no -- we haven't been that lucky, have we? Let's ask the chairman of the Democratic Party in Arkansas.

So, McCain, are you a SOCIOPATH who actually wants this shit to happen? Or are you a COWARD who won't stand up for what's right?

It's one or the other, asshole. If you ever loved this country at all, you need to stop this shit RIGHT NOW. If not, then it's increasingly clear how you mean to "follow Bin Laden to the gates of Hell" -- you're going to be his roommate, you fucking traitor.

New Arizona poll:Myers researchLV - McCain 44 ...

2008-10-25T19:32:00.000-04:00

New Arizona poll:

Myers research

LV - McCain 44
Obama 40

Early voters - McCain 46
Obama 47