Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: The Obama Effect Considered

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2009-11-16T23:56:56.134-05:00

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2009-10-12T04:00:40.923-04:00

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酒店經紀人,
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梵,

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2009-09-06T03:34:42.879-04:00

艾葳酒店經紀公司提供專業的酒店經紀, 飯局小姐,領檯人員,領台,傳播妹,或者想要到台北酒店、林森北路酒店,私人招待所,或者八大行業當酒店PT,酒店公關,酒店兼職,想去酒店上班, 日式酒店,制服酒店,ktv酒店,禮服店,整天穿得水水漂漂的禮服酒店,鋼琴酒吧當酒店領檯,酒店小姐,公關小姐??,還是想去制服店當上班小姐,水水們如果想要擁有打工工作、晚上兼差工作、兼差打工、假日兼職、兼職工作、學生兼差、兼差、打工兼差、日領工作、晚上兼差工作、酒店工作、酒店上班、酒店打工、兼職、兼差、兼差工作、酒店上班等,想了解酒店相關工作和特種行業內容,想找打工、假日兼職、兼差打工、或晚班兼職想擁有快速賺錢又有保障的工作嗎???又可以現領請找專業又有保障的艾葳酒店經紀公司!

艾葳酒店經紀是合法的公司工作環境高雅時尚，無業績壓力，無脫秀無喝酒壓力，高層次會員制客源，工作輕鬆，可日領、現領。
一般的酒店經紀只會在水水們第一次上班和領薪水時出現而已，對水水們的上班安全一點保障都沒有！艾葳酒店經紀公司的水水們上班時全程媽咪作陪，不需擔心！只提供最優質的酒店打工,酒店上班,酒店打工環境、上班條件給水水們。心動嗎!? 趕快來填寫你的酒店上班履歷表

水水們妳有缺現金、有卡債、缺錢卡奴的煩腦嗎?想到日本留學日本打工嗎?妳是工讀生找工作??想要擁有高時薪又輕鬆的夜間兼職工作,打工機會和,假日打工,兼職工作日領假日打工的機會嗎??想實現夢想卻又缺錢沒錢嗎!??整天還在煩腦如何賺錢有什麼賺錢方法,和賺錢最快方法!?,想要打工,日領工作,短期打工,兼差工作,打工兼差工作嗎!?,
請加入我們艾葳酒店經紀公司工作單純輕鬆”高時薪”又可日領徵想要當傳播妹,上班小姐,酒店兼差,酒店兼職,歡迎學生打工,!!!
加入我們實現夢想就從現在開始^__^

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2009-07-22T03:44:23.524-04:00

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2009-07-22T03:10:16.097-04:00

キャッシング
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I don't know what people expected of Obama's FP, t...

2009-07-20T11:34:34.833-04:00

I don't know what people expected of Obama's FP, that it would somehow instantaneously get us out of Iraq and Afghanistan. The biggest hcnage has been what this pole reflects: we have begun to open dialogues with countries that Bush shut us off to.

Pragmatus, was just posting a wiki article re: Buc...

2009-07-18T01:43:57.834-04:00

Pragmatus, was just posting a wiki article re: Buchanan because I knew historians generally had agreed that his presidency was probably the worst of all time.

You're obviously more of an expert on him than I, although my dad was a Civil War buff/expert which is the reason for my interest in that war also.

Made a post a couple mos. ago here quoting Thomas Ricks saying cheney/bush's decision to attack Iraq unprovoked was the worst military decision in the history of mankind. Someone responded that Hitler and Napoleon had made worst military decisions than cheney lol and I replied Hitler and Napoleon did not have the advantage of the modern information age ie cheney/bush should have known the long Iraqi history of Sunni/Shiite conflicts ie those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it.

ie:

"680: Hussein, son of Ali, marches against the superior army of the caliph at Karbala in Iraq. He is defeated, his army massacred, and he is beheaded. The split between Shia and Sunnis deepens. Shia consider Ali as their first Imam, Hussein as the third Imam." etc. etc.

Indeed cheney as Bush 41's Sec. of Defense agreed that the military should not go to Baghdad and engage Saddam Hussein at the end of Desert Storm.

Both Bush 41 and General Scowcroft knew getting rid of Hussien, Rummy's buddy ;) had no end game.

Bottom line, it will be fun watching cheney/bush apologists try to rationalize and prop up one of the worst administrations in the history of America. Good luck w/that, eh.

As I have said many times here and elsewhere, just like the Vietnam war will forever be a Dem war so will cheney/bush's Iraq war forever be the Rep's war. And "we" will know in 30/40 years if the surge has worked. We already do know the war was a major mistake in the first place, whether anything can be salvaged from the mess is still to be determined many, many years from now.

And the past 30 years of but, but, but Carter/Clinton by the shrinking Whig er Rep party has now been replaced w/but, but, but cheney/bush for the next (30) years by all rational Americans.

The ying and yang of turd blossom's permanent majority, again I digress.

take care, blessings

p.s. And I won't even discuss the financial mess dubya/darth have left the country in or Katrina, harriet myers, political corruption ie abramoff etc., scooter libby, constitutional violations ie illegal wiretaps, misuse of the CIA, port security embarrassment etc. etc.

btw, did we ever find bin Laden or who was responsible for the anthrax attack, hmm

I'll give the fools a pass on 9/11 because I blame the Military/FBI/CIA more than them despite the fact of their own incompetence and ignoring intelligence briefings. How embarrasing having a hijacked commercial airliner fly into the frickin' pentagon, the frickin' pentagon! Talk about getting caught w/your pants down. Being a USN veteran 9/11 really pissed me off to say the least.

OK, enough, I made my point!

ciao

James Buchanan was a bad president, but he was nei...

2009-07-17T21:03:17.850-04:00

James Buchanan was a bad president, but he was neither venal nor otherwise corrupt. His main failing was weakness and a misplaced sympathy for the South, which Southerners used to force him to make more and more concessions to their demands. Buchanan was helped along by a cabinet composed of a preponderance of Southerners until the last few months of his administration. The departure of John Floyd, the Virginian who was Secretary of War, and the addition of Joseph Holt, reversed the sentiment of the cabinet and stiffened Buchanan’s Union resolve, and where previously he might have surrendered Fort Sumter simply to avoid conflict, by March 1861 he had made it clear that he would surrender no Federal property to states that has claimed to have seceded.

For all Buchanan’s vacillating and superciliousness, at least he thought about the issues and tried, however ineffectually, to do the right thing.

My first Google blog post: Tuesday, January 1, 20...

2009-07-17T20:12:10.010-04:00

My first Google blog post:

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

H.L. Mencken 1920 quote ...
"As democracy is perfected, the office of president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron."
~~~~~~~~~~
Mencken
Snopes
~~~~~~~~~~
So Mencken predicted George W. Bush being "appointed" president (80) years before it happened ~ Oh the humanity!

Bush is the perfect example of the Peter Principle ~ "You rise to your level of incompetence!"
~~~~~~~~~~
James Buchanan's opinion was that secession was illegal, but that going to war to stop it was also illegal; hence he remained inactive. By the time he left office, popular opinion had turned against him and the Democratic Party had split in two. His handling of the crisis preceding the Civil War has led to his consistent ranking by historians as one of the worst Presidents in American history. ~ wiki

take care, blessings

Mule Rider, I am not entirely convinced I would co...

2009-07-17T19:45:48.554-04:00

Mule Rider, I am not entirely convinced I would consider Dubya to be the worst President in US History, but I certainly there is a case to be made. Sure he didn't leave a legacy of the Civil War or the Depression or the Vietnam War. But he did leave a foreign war, quite possibly illegally started, over questionable causes, without much of a strategy for post victory. And he left as dangerous an economic position as any American President since Hoover. Both of those things were avoidable, possibly connected and in the end as bad a legacy as any US President at least since Nixon or LBJ, and without the successes that you can credit to either Johnson or Nixon.

I am not sure that puts Bush below Buchanan or Hoover say, but its a pretty bad indictment on his 2 terms in office. I certainly think you can make a very strong case to say he was the worst President to have served 2 complete terms.

Bush’s presidency… There have been some real tur...

2009-07-17T19:39:31.832-04:00

Bush’s presidency…

There have been some real turkeys in the White House, but no one with the lack of qualifications, intelligence or common sense that Bush displayed. His was a perfect trifecta of incompetence.

For instance, it is highly likely at some point during his campaigns and two administrations someone must have told him that the word “nuclear” is not pronounced “nookyoular”. If so, then that very simple thought could not penetrate his head, because he still mispronounces it. However if nobody ever said anything to him on the subject, it means they knew beforehand that trying to educate Bush on even so minor a point was hopeless. Or they kept their mouths shut out of fear of being ridiculed by him. The great refuge of the willfully ignorant is mockery of brains and learning, and Bush was quick to show his sword whenever either topic came up, and surrounded himself with the kind of folks who were all to happy to share his japes at knowledge and intelligence.

No one who committed the gaffes Bush did, then displayed such unconcern about them, can boast even a minimum of intelligence. He got to Yale because of family connections, then squeaked to a just-barely-made-it finish. His greatest accomplishment there apparently was making it as a cheerleader.

When confronted with decisions Bush was happy to toss them to someone else, or else have them intercepted by a greedy Cheney before they even got to him. Bush made no complaint, in fact his entire administration was run by people looking out for their own interests, grabbing and raiding willy-nilly, with him merely rubber-stamping everything he was told to rubber-stamp. He was even more of a figurehead than Queen Elizabeth II.

All of the above are indicators of a lousy president. I personally believe Bush is the worst president to date, but if someone else were to name, oh, I don’t know, Ronald Reagan as the worst I wouldn’t object.

@Chris Of Rights Only weaklings are afraid of bei...

2009-07-17T18:12:01.630-04:00

@Chris Of Rights

Only weaklings are afraid of being called a wimp. GWB was a wimp and a failure. Hell, Cheney was an evil bastard, but I have more respect for him than for Bush because at least he understood what he was doing. (I.E. making a war so that Haliburton could profiteer from it)

So do you want a 'strong' America that is just a bully and using it's military to get it's way?

Or do you want a truly strong America that gets real results?

Obama is inspiring people across the world to stand up for their rights. That moves us toward us the democracy we want. Greater results must mean that Obama has more strength than Bush.

Or to put it another way:

Who is stronger: the man with a fist full of dynamite? or the man with a blue-print, a bulldozer and a lot of friends?

PeteKent said... Obama the Liar Those wh...

2009-07-17T18:10:31.942-04:00

PeteKent said...

Obama the Liar

Those who lie and mislead the world about their actions often do not remain popular for long.

Obama's own words prove he is lying about the economy and the stimu-u-less bill. He lied then and he continues to lie now.

I am glad he is failing!
~~~~~~~~~~
And, PS,

However you slice and dice it over at Rasmussen (Nate's favorite pollster) Obama’s approval ratings have plummeted by more than 30 points since he took office. THIRTY POINTS!

The whole thing is smelling like one long, one term to me!

Your boy is goin’ down!
~~~~~~~~~~
Yeah, "fey wanker" absolutely!
~~~~~~~~~~
Libs must be very dispirited. They are all moping and not posting.

They, too, kno Obama is failing!
~~~~~~~~~~
Off topic: Celebrating the Moon Landing
~~~~~~~~~~
Again as a casual observer, PK, please, I beseech you ;) chill brother. Obama will be president for the next 3 1/2 er (8) years!

Pace yourself dude, don't want you to fall thru the cracks of America's chaotic medical system, I kid!

As to why Dems/Libs/Progressives don't post 24/7 at Nate's site anymore. Again "we" won! 'nuf said and rubbing it in gets old in a hurry, eh. Was at a site the past (4) years where a disingenuously smug, self-loathing gay Rep constantly mentioned the Dems had lost (7) of the past (10) presidential elections. Coincidentally after Obama & the Dems cleaned the Rep's clocks on Nov. 4th this "hoity-toity" sore loser, sorry grape, bitter scumbag no longer posts in the political forum at said site, I digress ...

Did I mention the Dems won and succeeded beyond their wildest dreams ie a frickin' comedian beat an incumbent Rep senator in MN!

Thanx cheney/bush as Peggy Noonan said, for destroying the Rep party! And turd blossom, how's that permanent Rep majority working out for ya' ...

Hey PK, at least you stayed at a progressive site for further abuse lol. Is one a masochist! :)

And as you are determined to continue to post, please again I beseech you, try a different line of attack every now and then, eh ie Obama's/Dem's is/are a loser and he and the party are going down ~ Voter's are running out of patience ~ the polls don't look good etc. etc.

Yea, we heard you the first 100/200 posts recently when you said the same thing. Is it too much to ask for a little variety in your totally negative/Party of No!, the sky is falling, Obama is a loser/liar/wanker posts.

C'mon you can do it dude, a little originality to keep the site fresh and stimulated, I crack myself up!

So let's recap, chill dude! it's always darkest before your world turns totally black! ;) try to enjoy your indefinite stay in the wilderness. As a liberal independent who voted for McGovern in '72, the voter age being changed to (18) in 1971, again I digress, and having all the Rep/Con yahoos telling us liberals to love America or leave it! Sorry libs never go away, it must be our DNA! Yea, as someone who is used to being in the minority, a little friendly advice, Reps get used to it as older, white, fixednoise, Rep/Con voters continue to pass away and Hispanics continue to grow in population etc. etc.

The truth will set you free!

p.s. As an Ohioan ie Glenn/Armstrong, Wilbur/Orville, Eddie Rickenbacker etc. and more astronauts than other state, I too am looking forward to the 40th anniversary of an Ohioan first stepping foot on the moon!

RIP Judy Resnick :(

take care, blessings

"When you find yourself in the majority, it's time to pause and reflect! ~ Mark Twain"

ciao

Blue Revolution - Blah, Blah, Blah, PeteKent01.....

2009-07-17T18:08:12.850-04:00

Blue Revolution -

Blah, Blah, Blah, PeteKent01...nobody puts much credibility into your often racist rants about the 44th President of the United States.

I hope that by "much" you meant "any".

A completely broken clock provides no information, because it always says the same thing, no matter what time of day it really is.

A clock that's always 12 hours off provides plenty of information.

But a completely broken clock is worthless.

Pete Kent does not declare "the opposite of reality" (which would be highly informative as long as you knew to believe the opposite of what he said). He just always says the same thing, regardless of reality.

PeteKent's output is thus 100% pure noise. There is no information.

There is a small terrier mix dog in my neighborhood who likes to sit and bark all day (a happy, healthy, and beloved companion, apparently). This dog is useless as a source of information, because he makes exactly the same amount and kind of noise, no matter what is happening. While I don't wish to insult the dog, I think it's a fairly good analogy.

Mule Rider said... He/she unequivocally stated ...

2009-07-17T17:45:22.342-04:00

Mule Rider said...

He/she unequivocally stated it was the worst and most disastrous in US history.
July 17, 2009 5:22 PM

*********
I am an "He"...not that "He"..I mean the marine's cook but a man.
plus FYI :
I just stated,"as far as I can remember",ok?

Mule Rider said...
If you trace that all the way back to independent governance, it covers 233 years, not 49.
July 17, 2009 5:22 PM
*************

Really 233 years ???
thanks to tell me...I was in NC last year ,I sleeped in a motel located in Boulevard Van Buren...and I didn't know He was an US's president...

Mule Rider said...

But if you want my opinion on the ones just since JFK, I still don't think W was the worst. The Vietname legacy and Watergate scar LBJ and Nixon, and I'd argue they were both worse than W. So there's 2 in the last 50 years worse than Bush.

July 17, 2009 5:22 PM

**********
I respect your opinion...and I'll keep mine.
:)
just let me tell you that back in 1960/70 people in US were a lot different from today,that made the difference.

good night.
:)

When you consider that the FY 2009 budget was sign...

2009-07-17T17:32:52.689-04:00

When you consider that the FY 2009 budget was signed by little shrub; and the FY 2009 budget is still in effect until September 30, 2009; and it was in the FY 2009 budget that the military and foreign aid budgets were established -

It is impossible to say that the military and foreign aid spending from January 20, 2009 to date are "Obama's". Yes, he has made a few changes, but the budget the federal government is operating under now until September 30, 2009, is little shrub's budget.

A President can make SOME changes in the budget after they enter office, but the area of foreign aid is one area that usually is not touched, or barely touched, except in EXTREMELY extenuating circumstances, such as a new, totally unexpected war, catastrophic natural event (tsunami, devastating earthquake, etc.), etc. Those types of circumstances have NOT occurred since January 20, 2009. Yes there was a very bad earthquake in Italy recently, but it was NOT a devastating event over a massive area.

To judge President Obama's impact on foreign aid, we need to look at the FY 2010 budget, which is just now being debated in Congress.

Mike in Maryland

My Blogger ID is http://www.blogger.com/profile/02848893412251095965

Off-topic comment: off-topic comments should be ba...

2009-07-17T17:15:32.752-04:00

Off-topic comment: off-topic comments should be banned. ;P

Mule Rider said... -the Civil War -the Great...

2009-07-17T16:54:47.673-04:00

Mule Rider said...

-the Civil War
-the Great Depression (the REAL one)
-the Vietnam Era

Please stop with the "Bush was worst in US history" crap.

July 17, 2009 11:52 AM

*********
@Muley,
IMHO (thanks to the guys whom explained me what IMHO means)

I can't remember the civil war,neither the great depression but from the Vietnam era on ,"yes I can remember" and believe me from JFK on, GWBush was the worst president...maybe Palin could go a little further than Him..but better you don't push Her that far.
:)

@Petey, very nice comment about landing on the moo...

2009-07-17T16:42:56.827-04:00

@Petey,
very nice comment about landing on the moon !
It's the first one I have ever read from you,congratulation.
And yes,I watched it,proudly and breathless.
Now is time for America to make the second landing:
Follow and support Obama's endeavour to get back to you all, your land of freedom and opportunities which Bush stole,I know that land is waiting somewhere out there...maybe over the rainbow...
:)

@mule rider I don't think Bush's legacy or placem...

2009-07-17T15:36:53.651-04:00

@mule rider

I don't think Bush's legacy or placement as worst president ever can be fully judged until the full impact of his policies and actions have a time to unfold.

Your examples:

The Civil War- Arguably the country was worse off, but that could hardly be laid at the feet of Lincoln or even any one of his predecessors.

The Great Depression - Pinning that on Hoover is likewise not an equivalent excercise. He was almost an innocent bystander by comparison. You can argue that his position in the cabinet of a preceding president (Harding, I think) adds to his culpability, but I think it can be equally assigned to a variety of issues and multiple presidents.

Vietnam - I think our current situation is more dire than post-vietnam. The armed forces are arguably in a better state (due to lessons learned from VN) but we are certainly facing the possibility of not being able to pay for them, or much of anything else.

There were less effective presidents, but outside of two qualified supreme court nominations(and 1 near disastrous nominee), almost everyone Bush picked to run programs or departments was either 1) a bad choice or 2) driven out of public service.

The Teapot Dome crew has nothing on Wolfowitz, Cheney et al.

I don't think it is correct to say NOW Bush is the worst president in history, but he will certainly be eligible for consideration.

Semper Fi,
Terry

Using polls to govern a nation's foreign policy is...

2009-07-17T15:33:45.621-04:00

Using polls to govern a nation's foreign policy is even more foolish than dong so to govern domestic policy. At least domestic polling might include some voters.

Foreign policy is successful when it achieves national objectives. A policy that is popular with our rivals, but fails to achieve national objectives, is a failure.

Off topic, but this is what will stop Obama's agen...

2009-07-17T15:26:56.118-04:00

Off topic, but this is what will stop Obama's agenda - the CBO estimate of the deficit.

http://cboblog.cbo.gov/?p=328

Off topic: Celebrating the Moon Landing I look ...

2009-07-17T12:50:18.359-04:00

Off topic: Celebrating the Moon Landing

I look forward to Charles Krauthammer every Friday and today he did not disappoint. He wrote about the importance of space exploration, looking back to that historic human achievement 40 Years Ago. Something even an Italian like Matador can be proud of!

http://tinyurl.com/l6h6ym

The article brought nostalgic tears to my eyes, causing me to recollec that seminal event from my boyhood when in amazement I witnessed men landing and walking on the Moon!

It was the culmination of a decade long aspiration and it fueled within me and I think countless other Americans (and world citizens generally) the sense of the possibility and wonder at what man as a species could accomplish.

Imbued within that boy that I was lo those many years ago was a sense of invincibility and ability to do whatever I wanted because I was part of a culture that could do such things.

In the years since 1969 we have accomplished so much – perhaps not in terms of space technology and exploration but in other fields. Medicine and computers among the most prominent. Indeed with the advent of micro processing and the internet we have created a microcosm in miniature that seems to rival the universe itself at times.

But it would be the folly of man to think so. Indeed I wonder if all this navel gazing we have been doing has done us much good. We seem so focused on scarcity and of privation that we are losing sight of the essential genius of the human race and of the spirit of the United States and what made it a great nation in particular. In an era of hope, we seem focused on hopelessness.

This is America, people: We should lift our eyes to the stars!

petekent01 (on twitter)

"Boulder Liberal you are an idiot!" This incredib...

2009-07-17T12:19:08.991-04:00

"Boulder Liberal you are an idiot!"

This incredibly non idiotic comment brought to you by John.

In no way shape or form was this comment about a comment idiotic.

Chris Of Rights said... Of course he's well liked...

2009-07-17T11:13:00.629-04:00

Chris Of Rights said...
Of course he's well liked. The rest of the world doesn't want a strong America.

July 17, 2009 9:03 AM

You are soooo wrong.

“Allow the president to invade a neighbourhood nation, whenever he shall deem it necessary to repel an invasion, and you allow him to do so whenever he may choose to say he deems it necessary for such a purpose and you allow him to make war at pleasure.”
Signed: Abraham Lincoln.

Of course, Lincoln had both a brain and a heart, by which attributes modern GOP would classify him as weak, and a traitor.
GOP seems to view the Devil himself as too idealistic and weak.
Obama is willing to go down the path of diplomacy, by sitting down without preconditions with people who may be unscrupulous, but who do have power.
Peace and prosperity will dry up the drinking well of fundamentalists.
Or at least, I believe it will in my naïvité.
Anyway, my two cents worth, if it is that much.
I'am so glad US have a thinking president sitting in the Ovale office,again.

ciao.
:)