Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Obama's Organizers in Georgia, But Not Obama

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2009-08-28T02:41:00.207-04:00

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2009-04-16T04:03:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T22:28:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T22:28:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T00:50:00.000-05:00

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2009-02-08T04:36:00.000-05:00

y'all seem to forget that there are a lot of guns ...

2008-12-02T02:07:00.000-05:00

y'all seem to forget that there are a lot of guns and haters in Georgia. I think Obama is wise to stay away.

@Observer
Thanks for mentioning all the evil Bush legerdemain. Came across this: play and get the list at the same time:
http://www.sendbushpacking.com/

I hate to sound completely pathetic, but I actuall...

2008-12-01T22:55:00.000-05:00

I hate to sound completely pathetic, but I actually used "I volunteered for Obama" as a pick up line today. Does this make me sleazy?

"At the human level, there is almost a wistful, gr...

2008-12-01T22:25:00.000-05:00

"At the human level, there is almost a wistful, gravitational pull for many of these organizers in returning to a race. To work on the Obama campaign, these folks had to disconnect from their previous lives. Friendships, relationships, and other plans all took a backseat to the single-minded mission to elect Barack Obama. Plugging back into the world, especially when job plans for most of these twenty-somethings are uncertain, is a difficult task. While the pride is evident, conversations with many of these organizers reveals a strange sense of feeling lost, untethered from an all-consuming routine. So when organizers hear other organizers are coming to Georgia, it's a form of therapeutic reunion for many, much like a reunion of military veterans. Unless you've been through it, it's hard to explain."

Sean Quinn, you are a poet who somehow knows how to articulate my every thought and emotion.

Just wanted to let everyone know that tonight I wa...

2008-12-01T21:57:00.000-05:00

Just wanted to let everyone know that tonight I was called by a combination of Martin/Obama/Independent groups all reminding me to get out and vote tomorrow! I could even hear MANY MANY people in the background working out of a volunteer call center somewhere. Glad to know that the ground operation is hitting the ground running.

Also, tomorrow could you give any kind of comment on the Public Service Commission race. It has been getting an unusual amount of attention because of SOS Karen Handel attempting to remove the Democrat from the ballot. Thanks.

-POLS Student at UGA, former student of Josh Putnam.

Whatever the outcome of the Senate race tomorrow, ...

2008-12-01T20:31:00.000-05:00

Whatever the outcome of the Senate race tomorrow, it is good to see the GOP in GA beginning to fracture into several unhappy constituent groups. Saxby may be able to hold them together this year, but his 49% two weeks ago was less than impressive for a Georgia Republican. There were inroads apparent in that race that Democrats should take note of. A sharp Democrat in GA can knock out Isakson in 2010, with any luck. (Who? Johnny Isakson. The majority of Georgians couldn't pick him out of a lineup, but, yes, he's their Senator.) Chambliss would be no great loss for the United States Senate. I hope my native state does the right thing tomorrow

Barack is very wise to stay out of Georgia. He lo...

2008-12-01T16:33:00.000-05:00

Barack is very wise to stay out of Georgia. He lost decisively there, and a campaigning visit could do Jim Martin more harm than good.

Whether we like it or not, racism is still strong in places like Georgia. An Obama visit would only stir up more opposition. I agree with Obama's decision to stay out.

Animal! Smash!

2008-12-01T16:17:00.000-05:00

Animal! Smash!

statler, off the topic buthow big a fan of the Mup...

2008-12-01T15:59:00.000-05:00

statler, off the topic but

how big a fan of the Muppets are you? Or did your name come from somewhere else?

Marion, I wish you the best of everything. I hope ...

2008-12-01T15:43:00.000-05:00

Marion, I wish you the best of everything. I hope Martin wins, even if it is a squeaker. If nothing else, we can tell them were they can stick that fork :)

Fuck Saxby Chambliss. Georgia voters will set American free from religious right wing extremists that spread nothing but hate and greed across this beautiful country. Let's show them the South can be tolerant and just too.

Peace, Y'all!

The Martin folks were out knocking on doors in the...

2008-12-01T14:24:00.000-05:00

The Martin folks were out knocking on doors in the rain on Saturday, and now I have a new "Change" sign next to the "Obama" sign on my lawn. They obviously weren't just knocking on doors with Obama signs — there's a "Change" sign across the street where there was no sign before. I'm rallying the folks (well, the Democrats, anyway...) in my office to get out and vote tomorrow, and I've warned them that I'm taking names and expect to see "I voted" stickers on Wednesday morning. It'll be a squeaker.

If you live in Georgia, vote. If you don't, pray...

Obama is right not to campaign for Martin. Surely,...

2008-12-01T14:23:00.000-05:00

Obama is right not to campaign for Martin. Surely, it's disappointing for Martin, but it would be different if Obama had won in Georgia, but he didn't and his presence would only detract from his work managing the transition. Now is not the time to appear overtly political.

Statler, if you worked for the Obama campaign and ...

2008-12-01T13:59:00.000-05:00

Statler, if you worked for the Obama campaign and donated money with the idea that you were electing a God who can swing senatorial elections in the deep south just by showing up and giving speeches, you made a big mistake.

The Coalitions of the Screwed Over by Bush has other issues with which to contend, issues where Obama's work can actually make a difference. I strongly prefer that Obama spend his precious time on those issues instead of campaigning for Jim Martin.

As much as I hate to say it, Martin really has no ...

2008-12-01T13:20:00.000-05:00

As much as I hate to say it, Martin really has no chance in this election. The high turnout in support of Obama is probably what kept Chambliss below 50% on Nov. 4, and that enthusiasm won’t be there for Martin. I don’t live in Georgia so I may be way off in my assessment, but from the other side of the country this looks less like a vote for Jim Martin than a vote against Chambliss. Kinda how Begich was the anti-Stevens vote, and it took a felony conviction for the people to turn against Stevens. Not saying that there needs to be some huge scandal for Martin to win (although maybe that IS what it would take), but the fact is Chambliss was barely below 50% on Nov. 4 and all you need is 50% plus one to be the winner. The final poll shows him up 53-46. Martin has way more ground to make up with less support. If it were a two man race to begin with, Chambliss would have gone over 50%. Democrats really have nothing to lose in this election, so there is probably a complacency factor that will keep some of them home. They already got there win. The Republicans, however, are looking desperately to stop the bleeding and consider this a huge election. I just don’t see a filibuster proof majority as being incentive to get people to vote for Martin, but it will be a sizeable incentive for the Republican side to keep this seat out of Democratic control.

^Yeah, stick a fork in it. Because 7 point leads i...

2008-12-01T12:56:00.000-05:00

^Yeah, stick a fork in it. Because 7 point leads in polls are completely insurmountable, especially in a low turnout unpredictable run-off election.

You can ask Begich how his double digit lead in the polls turned out.

Final PPP poll has Chambliss up 53-46. Stick a fo...

2008-12-01T12:51:00.000-05:00

Final PPP poll has Chambliss up 53-46. Stick a fork in this one.

I think it's a good thing that Obama didn't waste a lot off effort on this race. Once it got to a runoff, it was going to be very difficult for Martin to get the same kind of enthusiasm and turnout. I really think it would have been better for the Democrats
to have Chambliss won outright on November 4.

Martin has no chance at winning but it won`t be a ...

2008-12-01T12:43:00.000-05:00

Martin has no chance at winning but it won`t be a blowout, probably 4-6 points if the dems can get a decent portion of the AA population to vote.
It`s hard to say, special elections are weird most people think Chambliss is going to win and may just pass on voting but the GOP is spending a fortune on negative ads demonizing Obama, it may stir up the klan vote to go to the polls.

Statler, I accept that Martin winning is a positiv...

2008-12-01T12:35:00.000-05:00

Statler, I accept that Martin winning is a positive for the Dems. The assertion is that he has virtually no chance of winning, even if Obama visits. If not for Georgia's weird 50% + 1 rule, Chambliss would already have been elected and by a clear margin.

I agree that Sean is way off in his claim that Obama is currently the de facto President, but that doesn't mean Obama's sitting on his couch in his bathrobe watching reruns of "Who's the Boss?" He has a LOT to do in a short amount of time, and he has to set priorities. While Martin winning would be a good thing, I don't think buying a lottery ticket for that remote possibility serves as a high priority.

If Obama's campaign has taught us one thing about him, it's that he's a shrewd decisionmaker and that he avoids battles that he can't win. This bodes well for him as President, I think.

Chambliss by 11%, total vote 1,960,000 is my guess...

2008-12-01T12:31:00.000-05:00

Chambliss by 11%, total vote 1,960,000 is my guess. It's too bad, but even if Obama had come, that would only make a couple points difference.

I was in GA for thanksgiving. Saxby ads outnumbere...

2008-12-01T12:08:00.000-05:00

I was in GA for thanksgiving. Saxby ads outnumbered Martin ads 3-2, and the National GOP Trust is running hard hitting ads linking Obama to Martin, so that Pac apparently thinks Obama is a net negative in GA, which is may be. GA was one of the states where Obama didn't perform that well with the white vote versus 2004. Remember, GA is a huge state with large small town, rural, farm votes outside of Atlanta; Obama isn't going to run well down there. In addition, Obama is weaker in the GA suburbs than he is in FL, NC, and VA suburbs.

Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Obama's Organizers in Georgia, But Not Obama

艾葳酒店經紀公司提供專業的酒店經紀, 飯局小姐,領檯人員,領台,傳播妹,或者想要到台北酒店、林森北路...

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^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

徵信社, 感情挽回, 挽回感情, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 捉姦, 徵信公司, ...

情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...

y'all seem to forget that there are a lot of guns ...

I hate to sound completely pathetic, but I actuall...

"At the human level, there is almost a wistful, gr...

Just wanted to let everyone know that tonight I wa...

Whatever the outcome of the Senate race tomorrow, ...

Barack is very wise to stay out of Georgia. He lo...

Animal! Smash!

statler, off the topic buthow big a fan of the Mup...

Marion, I wish you the best of everything. I hope ...

The Martin folks were out knocking on doors in the...

Obama is right not to campaign for Martin. Surely,...

Statler, if you worked for the Obama campaign and ...

As much as I hate to say it, Martin really has no ...

^Yeah, stick a fork in it. Because 7 point leads i...

Final PPP poll has Chambliss up 53-46. Stick a fo...

Martin has no chance at winning but it won`t be a ...

Statler, I accept that Martin winning is a positiv...

Chambliss by 11%, total vote 1,960,000 is my guess...

I was in GA for thanksgiving. Saxby ads outnumbere...

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