Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: On the Road: Minden, Nevada

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2009-10-08T04:03:38.730-04:00

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2009-09-23T01:24:18.520-04:00

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2009-03-12T01:50:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T01:50:00.000-04:00

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2009-01-19T09:59:00.000-05:00

From Sunday San Jose Mercury: http://www.mercuryn...

2008-09-14T21:32:00.000-04:00

From Sunday San Jose Mercury: http://www.mercurynews.com/news/ci_10458827?nclick_check=1

Ex-Californians could damage GOP's dominance in nearby states
ANOTHER FACTOR: HISPANIC GROWTH

It looks at structural changes in voter registrations of Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico from exodus of Californians and rise of Hispanic vote.

Sarah Palin could alter that in the short term, but the long term was already clear beginning in 2000.

Minden. nice name.

2008-09-14T03:20:00.000-04:00

Minden. nice name.

Since it's Sean's post why address 'Nate and Sean'...

2008-09-14T00:44:00.000-04:00

Since it's Sean's post why address 'Nate and Sean'? that's just as wrong. I doubt Nate ever reads Sean's posts, anyway.

Janey, it's very easy to tell Nate and Sean's post...

2008-09-14T00:42:00.000-04:00

Janey, it's very easy to tell Nate and Sean's posts apart. One is a wanker and the other is not, after all!

McCain '08!

I lived half my life in the Sierra...McCain/Palin ...

2008-09-13T20:45:00.000-04:00

I lived half my life in the Sierra...McCain/Palin will do well there, barring something unforseen. Vegas is a gimme for Obama.

The author of this particular post is Sean. "Nat...

2008-09-13T17:26:00.000-04:00

The author of this particular post is Sean.
"Nate, good job on listing links to both the Obama and McCain campaigns. A move away from the strong left commentary of a week ago.
September 13, 2008 1:26 PM"

Sean, I know we talked about this at Big Tent; it can be hard to figure out who is writing (as you both are similar) unless one reads the fine print.

PS
Nate and Sean, if your road trip takes you through Salt Lake, let me know.
Janey

I don't understand Michael's reference to the Rasm...

2008-09-13T16:38:00.000-04:00

I don't understand Michael's reference to the Rasmussen poll. There is no discussion there why McCain is seeing a bounce there, just a few more statistics whose importance all of us can argue over.

Maybe MacCain is seeing a surge based on Palin's appeal to her conservative base -- most of whom would have voted for him in any case. For those outside of that group, her attractiveness as a candidate is dulled with the softball interviews Charlie Gibson did. Which means starting next week we'll start seeing a drift away from MacCain, & hopefully towards Obama.

Geoff

Alan, Its illegal for the casinos to post odds on ...

2008-09-13T15:38:00.000-04:00

Alan, Its illegal for the casinos to post odds on the election.

The McCain campaign said 10,000 people showed up a...

2008-09-13T15:35:00.000-04:00

The McCain campaign said 10,000 people showed up at the Consol Energy Arena in Washington, Pennsylvania, home of the Washington Wild Things baseball team.

Problem is the stadium only hold 5,000. Did anyone know if they had people on the infield or something.

Another lie I bet. 10,000 is such a large round number--had to be phony.

@Darien

I voted for Bush Sr. in OH.
Clinton in GA.
Gore in IL.
Kerry in MA.

I will vote for the most honest campaign this year--likely Obama.

@AlanBlaming the Dem House for the housing bubble?...

2008-09-13T15:30:00.000-04:00

@Alan

Blaming the Dem House for the housing bubble? See the Wikipedia article on it. There's an inherent lag between lending and defaulting, especially for ARMs. So, while the bubble burst in Spring '07, its cause lies in the easy mooney of '02-'05. Guess who was in charge then.
I'm not a big fan of any recent Congress, but on Housing it has acted fast and appropriately.

NV & other : If this election holds to the current...

2008-09-13T15:28:00.000-04:00

NV & other : If this election holds to the current LV models then McCain has a fair chance. If under 30 excitement + Obama ground game work then he doesn't

"Mr. Fisher's estimate must be superior to that of...

2008-09-13T15:26:00.000-04:00

"Mr. Fisher's estimate must be superior to that of the event organizers."

If this were a trial, or a job interview, after the blatant factual contradictions the McCain campaign has made in the last few weeks, if they were saying "we're telling the truth this time," the response from the judge or interviewer would be "why should I believe you?"

Undecided voters have to ask this question of themselves. If this pattern continues, I am confident the answer of the majority of them will be....I shouldn't.

I see a pattern here.I don't think oct is going to...

2008-09-13T15:24:00.000-04:00

I see a pattern here.

I don't think oct is going to vote for McCain.

What state are you in oct?

@DarienLive is rosey little world and believe in t...

2008-09-13T15:22:00.000-04:00

@Darien

Live is rosey little world and believe in the lies. But truly no one is showing up at those events and Palin is campaigning in a solidly red NV.

Looks like a step back for McCain and the GOP this week.

I think it is appropriate to consider that when Mc...

2008-09-13T15:19:00.002-04:00

I think it is appropriate to consider that when McCain lies to boost Palin's resume that in fact McCain is the liar.

First--fail to vet her.
Second--shield her from media.
Third--lie about her accomplishments.
Fourth--lie about her appeal to the crowd and women votes.

I see a pattern here. Negligence, Distortion, and a lot of Lies.

In a story on Sept. 11 about Palin's attraction fo...

2008-09-13T15:19:00.001-04:00

In a story on Sept. 11 about Palin's attraction for some Virginia women voters, Washington Post reporter Marc Fisher estimated the crowd to be 8,000, not the 23,000 cited by the campaign.

Well, that proves it. Everyone knows journalists chose that profession for their math skills. Mr. Fisher's estimate must be superior to that of the event organizers.

oct said... @dariencrowPerhaps you don't comprehen...

2008-09-13T15:19:00.000-04:00

oct said...
@dariencrow

Perhaps you don't comprehend the issue.

McCain-Palin are LIARS.

No one cares about his meager campaign attendances. That is what we expect. Kind of like penis envy. Saying your is big--but it aint.

Great post oct. Obama is the real deal. Not only does he draw REAL crowds he also possess REAL size! You know what they say....

Politicians lie?OMG... I just don't know what to d...

2008-09-13T15:17:00.000-04:00

Politicians lie?

OMG... I just don't know what to do now.

You mean "THEY LIE"?

As in... not always tell the truth?

You mean like... "I can no more dis-own Reverand Wright than I can dis-own my own Grandmother"

You mean a LIE LIKE THAT?

I'm so shocked!

Yes, McCain crowds in swing states are paltry.Need...

2008-09-13T15:16:00.002-04:00

Yes, McCain crowds in swing states are paltry.

Needs more cowbell
more Greek Columns

http://www.denverpost.com/ci_10398419?source=rss

Here is another McCain-Palin Lie to consider:Palin...

2008-09-13T15:16:00.001-04:00

Here is another McCain-Palin Lie to consider:

Palin lies about going to Iraq--Washington Post