Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Carne Asada con Obama

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2009-10-09T03:18:37.055-04:00

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2009-09-09T23:40:30.547-04:00

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2009-03-11T04:52:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-11T04:52:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-11T22:49:00.000-05:00

If you think the tortas at La Pasadita are good, y...

2008-06-13T13:49:00.000-04:00

If you think the tortas at La Pasadita are good, you desperately (desperately) need to try the cemitas at Cemitas Puebla, on North near Central Park. Go. GO.

Spent many a drunk night buying burritos at La Pas...

2008-06-13T09:17:00.000-04:00

Spent many a drunk night buying burritos at La Pasadita. Lived next door to Cut Rate -- came home from work one day to hear about a stabbing/murder there -- two 70 something guys got into it over a woman.

"However, on a side note Las Pasadita's has the be...

2008-06-13T04:24:00.000-04:00

"However, on a side note Las Pasadita's has the best torta in town."

These are the last words I expected to see when I came to this site tonight, but none are truer.

I passed by La Pasadita tonight on the way to my rehearsal space, and now I regret not stopping by for a torta.

Then again, I'm sure my girlfriend is happy I didn't ;-D

I would definitely hit up a 538 Chi-town meet up. Gold Star is on my way home from the space, and we rehearse on Monday nights.

Looks like I may go home a little later than usual next monday!

Too bad I´m approx. 4250 miles too far away from t...

2008-06-13T02:43:00.000-04:00

Too bad I´m approx. 4250 miles too far away from the Pasadita to try it, but what I saw on the Burrito Bracket looked really good.

Not that it means much empirically, but I did find...

2008-06-13T01:47:00.000-04:00

Not that it means much empirically, but I did find it interesting that the McCain campaign is already spending campaign $$ trying to shore up that Cubano vote in FL.

Michael & PT: check the archives on this, but originally there were no maps here, only the cartograms; but Nate had trouble getting a functional one that was also legible...

I'm in Logan Square too, and my wife and I both vo...

2008-06-13T01:42:00.000-04:00

I'm in Logan Square too, and my wife and I both voted Obama! Go Chicago...

>>@"then again, it's chicago so it's not like obam...

2008-06-12T19:34:00.000-04:00

>>@"then again, it's chicago so it's not like obama was ever lacking in latino support."

Not completely true. I made a really half-assed map of the primary results within each of Chicago's wards:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/seaworthy/2246957518/

There are two big chunks of the map that are pink (representing wards that Clinton won): the one at the top is composed mostly of white working-class Chicagoans, and the one in the middle is largely Latino (including Pilsen, Little Village, etc.).

Hey, what about a 538 meetup at Gold Star? All dr...

2008-06-12T19:27:00.000-04:00

Hey, what about a 538 meetup at Gold Star? All drafts are half off on Mondays.

Commenting on some comments...gleam - you're absol...

2008-06-12T18:12:00.000-04:00

Commenting on some comments...

gleam - you're absolutely right, the east side Pasadita has the clearly superior carne asada. That said, the southwest Pasadita is worth checking out for the fabulous steak chachos (basically a really good nacho platter with a bunch of carne asada dumped on top). I'll go to that one, order the chachos, then run across the street for tacos and/or burritos while they're putting it together....

michael taylor - Nate actually had cartograms up when he was still doing the Obama/Clinton matchup comparisons, but seems to have dropped them now (too cluttered?). I agree, they're a nice way to get a realistic perspective.

anonymous 3:43 (long-time reader): Nate's numbers aren't based on simply assigning each state to McCain or Obama - he's running simulations that generate many different scenarios, and the EV numbers he's reporting are averages over all the sims (probably better explained in the FAQ).

Don't lose the respect Anon 4:10. I am sure Nate ...

2008-06-12T17:30:00.000-04:00

Don't lose the respect Anon 4:10. I am sure Nate donates to the Obama campaign, and every time you click that ad McCain sends money to Nate. Its even better than if McCain put an ad on the bottom of the ocean. No one here is swayed by that ad. It could only be better if Nate set up an automatic transfer.

Actually, I wouldn't mind another non-political add or two on the site (to help cover Nate's costs) if it meant an arrow pointing to the McCain ad saying "make McaCain donate to BHO... click here".

Well maybe you should learn from them and have an ...

2008-06-12T17:10:00.001-04:00

Well maybe you should learn from them and have an elect an Obama ad on this site instead of a giant MCAIN ad.

I've lost my respect for this site.

In Manhattan, the Grey's Papaya (famous NYC hotdog...

2008-06-12T17:10:00.000-04:00

In Manhattan, the Grey's Papaya (famous NYC hotdogs, for those who don't know!) on 72nd and Broadway, on the Upper West Side, put up a massive poster covering the front of the store which says simply, "YES Senator Obama". I can't recall if they did it prior to the NY primary or after. But I heard some grumbling from Upper West Side residents (Hillary country!).

So this afternoon I ran a quick errand. Living he...

2008-06-12T17:08:00.000-04:00

So this afternoon I ran a quick errand. Living here in central PA, the local NPR station only plays classical music in the middle of the day so once in a while I poke over to see what blowhard Rush Limbaugh are grumbling about. Call it some opposition research, if you will. So what was he grumbling about today? How Obama was losing Hispanics. How the Dem. party wasn't unified. How Obama is a media created fake. And I thought to myself...I just read that Obama was crushing in the Hispanic polls, the party is unifying faster than anyone thought, and coming from 30 points down can't possibly be only media generated. Maybe someone needs to get good old Rush some new research assistants. Sounds like the ones he has are like the ones that Bush has...don't bring data he won't like!

Nate,In the spirit of fivethirtyeight's attempt to...

2008-06-12T17:04:00.000-04:00

Nate,

In the spirit of fivethirtyeight's attempt to forecast electoral outcomes in unconventional ways, have you considered altering the standard electoral map of the US.

The current red vs. blue with color variation map that is used highlights the large land area of the red states, but isn't really effective in showing the popular and electoral vote distributions. Would you consider replacing it with a US population cartogram, where states are sized not along geographic area but based upon either population or electoral vote?

Aggregating data from the various comments' sectio...

2008-06-12T16:55:00.000-04:00

Aggregating data from the various comments' sections, we may conclude that:

- many of 538's readers are computer scientists.
- many are from Chicago.
- not many are Hispanics.

(Serious: we had a fascinating commentary a little while ago about Chaldeans in Michigan, and here - so little commentary by Hispanics about their communities?)

Nate,Long time reader, first time commentator (lol...

2008-06-12T16:43:00.000-04:00

Nate,
Long time reader, first time commentator (lol, I've always wanted to type that), anyways I see you have it at 278-260, whereas it's 272-266 on realclearpolitics, which state/states are conflicting between the two websites?
Thanks.

Hey Nate, IL-4 is my district too! It is hard canv...

2008-06-12T16:37:00.000-04:00

Hey Nate,

IL-4 is my district too! It is hard canvassing and trying to recruit new supporters because most of my neighbors do not speak English. In fact, I find it a bit frustrating when I go to the ward meetings.

However, on a side note Las Pasadita's has the best torta in town.

Question: If Obama keeps on the same trend IE five point gains and McCain does not shore up his base or make gains in O's what is the likelihood of an O landslide. Specifically what is the percentage window.

(sorry, i can't resist)I log on and see a shoutout...

2008-06-12T16:30:00.000-04:00

(sorry, i can't resist)

I log on and see a shoutout to La Pasadita and Cut-Rate Rite Liquors!?!

Outstanding!

http://www.flickr.com/photos/kimballhoman/409245023/

If there's ever to be a secret meeting of Chicago fivethirtyeight.com devotees, I hope it's held there.

Pasadita's not bad; neither is the Gold Star. Aro...

2008-06-12T16:04:00.000-04:00

Pasadita's not bad; neither is the Gold Star. Around the corner on Division, Rite Liquors is the best slashie (liquor store-cum-bar) in the city.

I realize we're a self-selecting bunch, but what a shame so many posters here will be meaninglessly inflating Obama's margin of victory here in Illinois...

So, Nate, White Sox, Cubs, or neither?

i'm kind of amazed at the insane number of wicker ...

2008-06-12T15:53:00.000-04:00

i'm kind of amazed at the insane number of wicker park locals in this comment section. the only thing i like more than 538 is a nice steak taco from la pasadita. when i was still in law school, i'd have them for "breakfast" all the time on my way downtown.