Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: The Wikipedian Candidate

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2009-10-07T08:27:03.035-04:00

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^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T04:44:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T04:44:00.000-04:00

I love/d New Coke. I remember asking my dad to buy...

2008-10-21T15:13:00.000-04:00

I love/d New Coke. I remember asking my dad to buy cases of it before it disappeared from stores.

Anyone know where I can still get some?

Airline food and the political process:I was serve...

2008-10-20T19:09:00.000-04:00

Airline food and the political process:

I was served boiled chicken wings and backs on a Soviet airline in the 80s. The connection may warrant further analysis, or at least an article on Wikipedia.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/20/opinion/...

2008-10-20T19:08:00.000-04:00

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/20/opinion/polls/main4533712.shtml?tag=topStory;topStoryHeadline

10/20 -- National (CBS News) -- O + 13 O54M...

2008-10-20T19:07:00.000-04:00

10/20 -- National (CBS News) -- O + 13
O54
M41 !!!

MysticLaker:I believe that she directly contribute...

2008-10-20T19:02:00.000-04:00

MysticLaker:

I believe that she directly contributed to the $150 million dollars that Obama got. I would say $50 million. No way to know, but that is my guess.

Obama's campaign donations surged right after her nomination. (That's when I started donating, too.) And once you prime the tap, it's easier to come back to that new donor for a little more.

I'm going to throw this out there because no man i...

2008-10-20T18:30:00.000-04:00

I'm going to throw this out there because no man is willing to admit it: the Palin phenomena was driven by the dick. Nate even revels himself when he says she's "photogenic (to say the least)."

Women were the first to be skeptical of Palin, and now that the blood has drained from the male puditocracy's crotches, they too are seeing Palin for who she is: a beauty queen with no substance.

On the other hand this -- least objectionable comp...

2008-10-20T18:23:00.000-04:00

On the other hand this -- least objectionable compromise between political titans -- is exactly how Abraham Lincoln was selected as the Repub nominee (according to ponderous but fascinating "Team of Rivals"). Palin = Lincoln = New Coke?

Now this is just fucking sick: Dead Bear Cub found...

2008-10-20T18:04:00.000-04:00

Now this is just fucking sick:

Dead Bear Cub found on WCU Campus with Obama Signs

Preach some more hate, you ignorant fuckers.

"rich, that sounds so wrong."Point taken. Because ...

2008-10-20T16:46:00.000-04:00

"rich, that sounds so wrong."

Point taken. Because of how awkward the correct English sounds -- I don't know anything about "word court" -- I think it's reasonable in spoken English to err. However, when writing for an important journalistic site and identifying yourself as an elite, obeying standard rules strikes me as mandatory.

To the 538 readership at large:Can someone explain...

2008-10-20T16:45:00.000-04:00

To the 538 readership at large:

Can someone explain to me how the individual state win% is calculated? Given a Point margin and a MOE, how does one calculate a win% ?

Thanks,
-Ziggy

On those Palin numbers, how do you explain that hu...

2008-10-20T16:11:00.000-04:00

On those Palin numbers, how do you explain that huge variance between _19 and +15?

Great post Nate. We have more on Palin and farcica...

2008-10-20T16:02:00.000-04:00

Great post Nate. We have more on Palin and farcical campaign at SuperCollide.com

When McCain runs out of money, maybe he can ask Ob...

2008-10-20T15:52:00.000-04:00

When McCain runs out of money, maybe he can ask Obama for a loan...

rich, that sounds so wrong. Word Court disagrees ...

2008-10-20T14:33:00.000-04:00

rich, that sounds so wrong. Word Court disagrees too.
I see where you're coming from, though.

That Suffolk Ohio poll is exciting; Suffolk's been in line with other polls in Ohio. McCain can't defend Virginia, Florida, North Carolina and Ohio at the same time.

NATE: "Certainly, I was looking very wrong for a p...

2008-10-20T13:49:00.000-04:00

NATE: "Certainly, I was looking very wrong for a period of two or three weeks, when Palin had a honeymoon period during and immediately after the GOP convention -- one which was buoyed in no small part by the skeptical reactions of elites like me."

Real elites know you should have written... "one which was buoyed in no small part by the skeptical reactions of elites (who are) like I."

I owe a debt of gratitude to Sarah Palin. She got...

2008-10-20T13:25:00.001-04:00

I owe a debt of gratitude to Sarah Palin. She got my parents (who supported Hillary and were deeply disappointed when she was not nominated) resolved to do something they swore they never would: vote for Obama. Woo hoo!!!

Eric: You're not trying hard enough (re: a candida...

2008-10-20T13:25:00.000-04:00

Eric: You're not trying hard enough (re: a candidate worse than Palin). The answer is easy - Michele Bachman (R-MN). You can't get much crazier than suggesting McCarthy trials to root out un-American House and Senate members. Even Pat Buchanan said he couldn't agree with her on that point. She was even cited by Powell as one of the reasons he endorsed Obama. That's a pretty big impact for a congresswoman from a small Minnesota district. Imagine what damage SHE could do as the VP candidate.

Here's a very interesting technical article on pol...

2008-10-20T13:20:00.000-04:00

Here's a very interesting technical article on polling:

http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=9230

He's basically saying that "stratified polling" is a very dicey proposition because there's no way to predict the turnout of radically different demographics like black vs white, young vs old, dem vs rep.

Any comments from the statisticians out there??

http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=9230

Nate:Near the end of the 2nd-to-last paragraph, "w...

2008-10-20T13:19:00.000-04:00

Nate:

Near the end of the 2nd-to-last paragraph, "who's calling card" should be "whose calling card." I hope you see this post or that someone brings your attention to this.

As a long-time contributor to Wikipedia (my accoun...

2008-10-20T12:57:00.001-04:00

As a long-time contributor to Wikipedia (my account there is under the same username I post here under), I found Nate's comments spot-on. Due to the internal pressures at play in the creation of a Wikipedia article, it's not possible to create one with a biography that would tell you enough about the person to make such a decision.

These pressures include such things as: dependence on secondary sources -- e.g., contributors are discouraged from performing original research; various individuals pushing their own interpretations into articles to advocate for their own benefit -- one example is the perpetual edit war over the George W. Bush article; & the increasingly arcane rules that govern the writing of Wikipedia articles -- I know the system inside & out, & I get frustrated trying to make edits.

Still, I believe that Wikipedia is an excellent place to start one's research. The trouble starts when a student goes no further.

Geoff

Earlier, RWD commented that College Station might ...

2008-10-20T12:57:00.000-04:00

Earlier, RWD commented that College Station might be the only college town to break for McCain.

Ha.

You're forgetting about the huge number of seminaries and other colleges throughout the South that attract conservative youth. Not all of us 18-20-something's are liberals.

Now some of my friends at A&M, back when the primaries were under way, said that if Huckabee didn't get the nod, they would be voting Obama. I bet they were lying, but I do have to ask them to follow up. :)

Damn speaking of +10 in VA.... it makes me want to...

2008-10-20T12:54:00.000-04:00

Damn speaking of +10 in VA.... it makes me want to skip around like a school girl all day! I called VA going blue beginning of Sept b/c of the huge demographic shifts since 2004... so happy to see it come true.

And the latest chatter on the interwebs is that this "real Virginia" business has even conservatives going ape shit in north VA.

Game. Set. Match = Fire