Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: The Next Next President

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2009-03-12T01:37:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T01:36:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T22:44:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-07T03:47:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-07T03:44:00.000-05:00

You forgot Huckabee.And who are the last 3?

2008-10-13T03:03:00.000-04:00

You forgot Huckabee.

And who are the last 3?

GOP will cook up some kind of shock attack on the ...

2008-09-06T15:43:00.000-04:00

GOP will cook up some kind of shock attack on the US so it will be Jebb Bush.

I find it very interesting to see what impact the ...

2008-09-05T07:55:00.000-04:00

I find it very interesting to see what impact the candidate speeches have on the polls.
I use a widget to keep track of the progression of polls. The widget shows the election polls by strength of states.
In addition to other different graphical visualizations of data, this one displays the progression of votes over time.

It gives a great overview and it is updated as the polls come in!

http://www.youcalc.com/apps/1218019592041

... and its easy to put on your blog!

Make a difference, keep on voting!

Ha, post of the year:"Gallup has the score Giants ...

2008-09-04T21:01:00.000-04:00

Ha, post of the year:

"Gallup has the score Giants 20, Redskins 6. Rasmussen has them ahead 14-7. But Zogby Interactive has it Redskins 11, Giants 5."

What this poll might have looked like in September...

2008-09-04T20:00:00.000-04:00

What this poll might have looked like in September 2000 asking who will be 44?

Al Gore - 32%
George W Bush - 18%
Jeb Bush - 11%
John McCain - 10%
John Kerry - 8%
Hillary Clinton - 8%
Dick Cheney - 6%
Joe Lieberman -6%
Frankenstein-revived Ulysses S Grant - 1%
A black guy named Barack Hussein Obama who was elected to the Illinois State Senate 4 years ago - 0%

"Schweitzer: He doesn't seem very presidential"Tel...

2008-09-04T18:13:00.000-04:00

"Schweitzer: He doesn't seem very presidential"

Tell that to Jimmy Carter. And does George W. Bush seem presidential to you?

May have been said already, but... if Obama loses ...

2008-09-04T17:48:00.000-04:00

May have been said already, but... if Obama loses I see no chance the Democrats won't say "Gee, the only nominees we've won with in the last half-century were Southerners... Mark Warner, step right up!"

MPM - My caller ID would indicate I get at least 2...

2008-09-04T17:21:00.000-04:00

MPM -
My caller ID would indicate I get at least 2 calls per day to particiapte in polling. Sometimes the same outfit tries multiple times.

I NEVER participate - I want to know who I am helping, and I hate all the stupid questions.

* Clinton: Will be too old* Romney: Possible conte...

2008-09-04T17:20:00.000-04:00

* Clinton: Will be too old
* Romney: Possible contender, but if wasn't the right man this year, will he really be the president of the future?

How can Clinton be too old in 2016, but not Romney, when Romney is nearly eight months older, and women live considerably longer?

Here's an interesting scenarioObama wins in 2008. ...

2008-09-04T16:56:00.000-04:00

Here's an interesting scenario

Obama wins in 2008. In 2012 he runs with a new VP (maybe Schweitzer or another new face) to prepare him/her for 2016

In 2016, that VP as the incumbent could have the advantage (assuming nation doing ok) over any republican.

Nate/Sean - 2016!!Seriously, so much depends on th...

2008-09-04T16:41:00.000-04:00

Nate/Sean - 2016!!

Seriously, so much depends on the current election outcome. If McCain wins, he's likely to have a heart attack or resign in the next 8 years and then Palin becomes the 45th president. However, McCain isn't currently favored to win.

If Obama wins, he'll likely be in office for 8 years. By then the race will be wide open to new contenders. So if Obama wins this year, in 2016:

* Palin: Will be nothing more than an anecdote.
* Biden: Will be too old
* Clinton: Will be too old
* Romney: Possible contender, but if wasn't the right man this year, will he really be the president of the future?
* Jindal: Maybe. He's gotten off to a bumpy start in Louisiana though.
* Warner: Maybe, and my most likely. He seems like he's prepping himself for some future primary.
* Schweitzer: He doesn't seem very presidential.

My gut says nobody on the list will be the 45th. The nation, the parties, the issues and the players will have changed by then. Back in 2000, who could have guessed that Obama and Palin would have been involved in the race this year?

Sorry, my snark detector is off.You should get tha...

2008-09-04T16:29:00.000-04:00

Sorry, my snark detector is off.

You should get that fixed. Surfing without a snark detector is like skiing naked.

Mason-Sorry, my snark detector is off. But Agnew d...

2008-09-04T16:26:00.002-04:00

Mason-

Sorry, my snark detector is off. But Agnew did become Vice President and played hatchet man very well.

Virginia Conservative said... Elitist isn't racia...

2008-09-04T16:26:00.001-04:00

Virginia Conservative said...
Elitist isn't racial. We called Kerry and Dukakis elitist, too.

Right. It's Arrogant that means the same thing as Uppity.

Unless it's used on Sarah Palin. Then it's sexist.

VC-That was a joke.

2008-09-04T16:26:00.000-04:00

VC-
That was a joke.

"What ever became of him?"He had to resign for rea...

2008-09-04T16:24:00.001-04:00

"
What ever became of him?"

He had to resign for reasons of corruption and was later convicted on all kinds of shady stuff. He used to take illegal $1,000 cash kickbacks (this is in late 60s dollars, mind you) as Governor of Maryland and bitch that it wasn't enough!

Is Palin going to forget to pay her taxes? Maybe ...

2008-09-04T16:24:00.000-04:00

Is Palin going to forget to pay her taxes? Maybe she already has! OOOOooooo....

VC-No, Palin is not Nixon. Shes a female Spiro Agn...

2008-09-04T16:23:00.000-04:00

VC-
No, Palin is not Nixon. Shes a female Spiro Agnew.

What ever became of him?

I figured both Clinton and Biden would not be inte...

2008-09-04T16:20:00.000-04:00

I figured both Clinton and Biden would not be interested in 2016 as they will be too old. I picked Schweitzer.

But if Clinton was interested, I would vote for her.

No, Palin is not Nixon. Shes a female Spiro Agnew....

2008-09-04T16:18:00.000-04:00

No, Palin is not Nixon. Shes a female Spiro Agnew.