Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Sean = PocketNines

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2009-10-09T03:55:15.246-04:00

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2009-09-09T03:11:27.781-04:00

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^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社...

2009-03-11T04:37:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! thanks a lot! ^^徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵信...

2009-03-11T04:37:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-12T00:11:00.000-05:00

Thanks for the race/gender link!Gary

2008-06-04T22:30:00.000-04:00

Thanks for the race/gender link!
Gary

poblano/pocketnines '08!

2008-06-04T08:51:00.000-04:00

poblano/pocketnines '08!

ThatPoshGirl put together a chart of race and gend...

2008-06-04T02:49:00.000-04:00

ThatPoshGirl put together a chart of race and gender voters: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/16/115851/934/738/516909

Going by the exit poll data, we can estimate that Clinton gained a net over Obama of millions of votes from those who considered race or gender an important factor.

I doubt we will get an analysis of this here, and I understand why, but the persistent claims by Clinton supporters that Obama's nomination is due to sexism and his being black have been and continue to be very damaging. Especially since Clinton has encouraged these claims.

Sounds great. I've got an idea for something I hav...

2008-06-04T00:45:00.000-04:00

Sounds great. I've got an idea for something I haven't seen looked at that would be interesting (forgive me if I missed it).

Racism and sexism undoubtedly were evident in campaign/media rhetoric during the primaries. I've seen a smattering of exit poll data on people voting based on race or gender, but has anyone looked at this comprehensively?

I'd be curious to know if there are any clues as to whether more people voting admitted to decisions influenced by race or by gender. It might be surprising or interesting in all sorts of directions...
Best,Gary

Poblano AND PocketNines together? Talk about yer d...

2008-06-04T00:38:00.001-04:00

Poblano AND PocketNines together? Talk about yer dream tickets...

Sean (or 9s, as I knew you before),Welcome. I lov...

2008-06-04T00:38:00.000-04:00

Sean (or 9s, as I knew you before),

Welcome. I loved the diaries on Kos. This is a really great site.

SeanWhy? I was just curious. I play poker also, ho...

2008-06-03T23:26:00.000-04:00

Sean

Why? I was just curious. I play poker also, hold'em at the Montreal Casino and in some private poker rooms. And I'm political junkie -- so I felt it was natural to play on betfair and on intrade on the political markets -- for every primaries seemed like a new card on the board, a new round of betting...

now we know that olbermann reads 538...he used you...

2008-06-03T23:01:00.000-04:00

now we know that olbermann reads 538...he used your language almost exactly...

Good that you've both come out of the anonymous Ko...

2008-06-03T22:29:00.000-04:00

Good that you've both come out of the anonymous Kossian closet, as it were. Enjoyed both your posts there immensely. This is excellent statistical work.

Everyone - thanks.Philippe - no. I've looked at i...

2008-06-03T21:30:00.000-04:00

Everyone - thanks.

Philippe - no. I've looked at intrade, never been to betfair. Why?

Any election-related action I need happens at the poker table. I get crazy people trying to give me money. Two nights ago, a guy insisted that Obama would lose because he could not overcome the electoral losses of Florida and New York. New York. I shitteth you not. I even worked him to make sure he didn't mean New Jersey. Nope. New York. These people have thousands of dollars on the table and are defended around their opinions. I don't need intrade.

Herodotus - Nate and I have never played poker. He doesn't know this yet, but when I win the main event this year I'm gonna immediately bail on him. Of course, this year they actually play the final table 4 months after they whittle the field down to me and my 8 friends. So maybe I'll throw Nate a bone and hang til then.

PocketNines,Do you play on the intrade and betfair...

2008-06-03T20:59:00.000-04:00

PocketNines,

Do you play on the intrade and betfair political markets?

Looking forward to your thoughts on the main match...

2008-06-03T20:50:00.000-04:00

Looking forward to your thoughts on the main match.

Thanks Sean. This site has quickly made my top 3 ...

2008-06-03T20:47:00.000-04:00

Thanks Sean. This site has quickly made my top 3 political blogs. Bravo for the quality here. I sense big things in the future...

From Anon-MI:Uh-oh, we've got two poker players bl...

2008-06-03T20:37:00.000-04:00

From Anon-MI:

Uh-oh, we've got two poker players blogging on this site now. That should make for some interesting odds-making down the line.

Thanks, Sean, for joining up and giving us the benefit of your experience and insights.

Hi, I hear Nate is also a big poker guy; do you tw...

2008-06-03T20:36:00.001-04:00

Hi, I hear Nate is also a big poker guy; do you two ever play each other?

Welcome, very nice introduction. Look like S.Dakot...

2008-06-03T20:36:00.000-04:00

Welcome, very nice introduction. Look like S.Dakota is going for Clinton. No suprise there.

Sweet, welcome Sean. Love your diaries at DKos.Now...

2008-06-03T20:29:00.000-04:00

Sweet, welcome Sean. Love your diaries at DKos.

Now what's up with South Dakota?