Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: 72-Hour Program?

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2009-10-03T03:12:40.987-04:00

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2009-04-06T13:28:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T04:58:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T04:58:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T02:27:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-17T03:12:00.000-05:00

@ eve:nickname, give us some more insight into wha...

2008-11-02T12:44:00.000-05:00

@ eve:

nickname, give us some more insight into what you see happening in McCain's ground game. What state are you in? Do you see more enthusiasm than 2004? Less? Same?

I am in a state that did not go for Bush in 2000 or 2004. The polls say it is very unlikely to go for McCain in 2008. However, in 2004, it was considered "in play," and in 2008 it is not, so we are seeing a lot less effort by the national campaign here this year -- which is actually quite liberating, because us old-timers know how to get out the vote and don't need a lot of campaign kiddies from out-of-state trying to tell us what to do.

The enthusiasm level among the volunteers is as high as in 2004, and higher than in 2000. We do have other races in our state that are closer than McCain-Obama and we know that our GOTV will help in those, even if Mr McCain does not win our state. I would say we probably have fewer volunteers than 2004 -- the number of hard-core-committed volunteers is probably the same, but we have fewer casual volunteers who only drop in for a few hours -- but we have way more volunteers than 2000. Unlike the Ds, we do not have that vast pool of union apparatchiks to draw from -- our GOTV effort here is 99 percent volunteer with 1 percent paid, while theirs is mostly paid SEIU minions.

(Sidebar observation from someone who has done this for a while: The support of the unions is much more central to the Democrats' political machine that the support of the evangelicals is to the Republicans'. But from press reports you would think it was the other way 'round. The evangelicals pick and choose which candidates they will support and work for, while the unions will get [by intimidation if necessary, say my union friends] their people out to work for the Democrats every time.)

Anyway, regarding the Saturday night thing: If you have to be working at 11:00 on a Saturday night, you have not planned your work very well.

That's funny Nancy D.McCain shouldn't spend a dime...

2008-11-02T12:18:00.000-05:00

That's funny Nancy D.

McCain shouldn't spend a dime in Calif. The majority of us are voting Obama. In my neighborhood your need a yard sign if you are voting McCain. No sign needed if you are voting Obama. ANd there are only a few McCain signs here and there. Ha! Love it.

In CO, went to the vote protection training yester...

2008-11-02T12:17:00.000-05:00

In CO, went to the vote protection training yesterday. It was the last session of 7 or so. The auditorium was packed, at least 400-450 people. All volunteers, many from out of state too. The campaign has teams set up to do voter comfort work, distribute food and drinks outside, to do vote protection outside (to get rid of fake INS agents, cops parked by polling sites, etc) and vote protection inside for using the wrong ID rules, improper challenges, etc and to monitor the machine calibration and counts at the start and the end. They are so well organized here, and even in my red county, our local Obama office is hopping all day and late into the night...every day. It is truly amazing. I checked out the mccain website, and there are NO events scheduled within 10 miles.
We know here that many of the mail in ballots didn't get sent out to voters, or were sent out too late (sequoya was the contractor all counties used to send them, and didn't get it done) so there will be heavy voting most likely, but, early voting has been remarkable here too. Hoping this helps with the lines, but it should be interesting tuesday none the less.

We got the Rev. Wright commercial last night (Satu...

2008-11-02T11:10:00.000-05:00

We got the Rev. Wright commercial last night (Saturday) in prime time.

In California.

If the McCain thinks spending their dwindling dollars on prime time advertising in CALIFORNIA is good stewardship of their OWN money, what are they going to do when they get their hands on tax dollars?

And Obama is the threat to tax payer's money?

The idea you are trying to promote may very well b...

2008-11-02T10:58:00.000-05:00

The idea you are trying to promote may very well be right, but don't base it on this photo. Come on -- do you even know where Santa Rosa Beach is? It's in the panhandle, in a strongly Republican and sparsely populated beachside community. I would hope McCain would be spending his limited funds in more profitable areas. Let's try to be a bit more unbiased.

Aside from all the PUMA bashing, perhaps it would ...

2008-11-02T10:37:00.000-05:00

Aside from all the PUMA bashing, perhaps it would be helpful to note that the majority of PUMAS could NEVER vote for an anti-choice candidate. I'm a PUMA, and McCain was Never going to have my vote. I was planning to write in Hillary Clinton as my protest. Then came Palin, the anti-Hillary. Trust me, the PUMAs are NOT inclined to vote Repub this year. We're either voting Obama, write in, third party, or leaving President blank. We will all join up with HilPac and bide our time to help push through Clinton's agenda, whether it be in concert with Obama in the Senate under an Obama Admin, or laying the groundwork for another run in the future. The argument of "PUMAS will vote McCain because Palin has breasts" is stupid. We like Hillary's platform, what her proposals are. She just happens to be female? Great. Icing on the cupcake. Palin is opposite everything we believe in. Are we pissed at the manipulations during the primary season? Yes. Will we work from within to reform the system and evict some dead weight? Yes. Will be support Palin? Hell, no.

~FL PUMA.

WV: surie. What Palin said to McCain during the meeting after her prank call.

As I was canvassing in Columbus yesterday, I came ...

2008-11-02T09:09:00.000-05:00

As I was canvassing in Columbus yesterday, I came across three McCain people placing door hangers in a blue-dominant area. One of these fine people had taken the time to carefully write in large lettering across the back of her white T-Shirt "Death before Dishonor". Should I have said something?? They all wore "Joe" labels, too. Transgendered paid volunteer door hanger people for McSame? I appreciate the RNC reaching across narrow gender lines in this way...opens all our hearts and minds.

"I am the only Democrat in the world rooting for 5...

2008-11-02T08:14:00.000-05:00

"I am the only Democrat in the world rooting for 59 senate seats, for precisely the reason you cited. If we can manage not to completely overreach between now and 2010, and we can manage to fix much of what ails the country, we could marginalize the R's for a long long long long time."

No, you're not the only one. I am too. I'd even take 58. Then we'd be reaching across the isle every time that Sen. Snow or Sen. Collins voted with the dems.

you must have "just missed them" like you did at e...

2008-11-02T08:06:00.000-05:00

you must have "just missed them" like you did at every other mccain office.

The frontpage of www.mydd.com has one. When we ha...

2008-11-02T07:09:00.000-05:00

The frontpage of www.mydd.com has one. When we had the maximum number of blue states for a while the red enclave started looking mighty sad.

Mind you, EC maps reflect the absurdity of millions of hidden Dems in red states and vice-versa, not a good way of thinking.

@ nextse7enDo you have a link to the map of the us...

2008-11-02T03:57:00.000-05:00

@ nextse7en

Do you have a link to the map of the us sized by electoral vote counts? I'm curious to see it...

Watch Indiana on election night. Polls are showin...

2008-11-02T01:48:00.000-05:00

Watch Indiana on election night. Polls are showing a dead heat here and we haven't voted for a Democrat since LBJ in '64. Most of our polls close at 6pm EST. Some most notably over by Chicago close at 6pm CST. But presumably they'll start counting in many areas at 6pm EST, so we may have results before Virginia.

If Indiana goes to Obama, most likely we'll be seeing a landslide nationally.

Was I the only one who saw the article posted at H...

2008-11-02T01:40:00.000-05:00

Was I the only one who saw the article posted at HuffPost a few days ago, claiming that McCain was foregoing the 72 hour strategy in favor of an all-air war? Did I hallucinate that?

So if the ground game looks nonexistent this weekend, that may be why...

"It is simply un-American to criticize the incomin...

2008-11-02T01:21:00.000-05:00

"It is simply un-American to criticize the incoming president of the United States in a time of war. Attacks on Obama threaten our troops and hurt our chances of success. Shame on you."

Good one, GaryB. Think I might stroll over to a couple of Con sites and drop that around in their blogs, too.

You know Nate made it big when the best he can giv...

2008-11-02T01:56:00.000-04:00

You know Nate made it big when the best he can give to DL Hughley is an interview via satellite.

OBAMA SUPPORTERS! VOTE. VOTE. VOTE.Go To: VoteForC...

2008-11-02T01:37:00.000-04:00

OBAMA SUPPORTERS! VOTE. VOTE. VOTE.

Go To: VoteForChange.com to see where your polling place is.

Just jumping in to say how much I've enjoyed your ...

2008-11-02T01:14:00.000-04:00

Just jumping in to say how much I've enjoyed your writing over the last few weeks, Sean. Fantastic work, and while I'm glad the campaign is finally winding up, I must say I'm going to miss these columns.

>> Karl Rove's beach house is only a couple miles ...

2008-11-02T00:47:00.000-04:00

>> Karl Rove's beach house is only a couple miles down the way in one direction

OMG, Nate you so totally have to go egg and TP that as a day-late Halloween prank! ;)

In case anyone missed it - here's Palin's declarat...

2008-11-02T00:44:00.000-04:00

In case anyone missed it - here's Palin's declaration of war on Iran:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4D9LofMCa8A
Ok, that's being a bit mean. She might have just misspoke there.
And Canada is next.
Maybe once someone lets her know what country Montreal is in, you betcha. ;) That prank call you can completely blast her on. They gave a fake name for the Prime Minister of Canada and she didn't blink. It was painfully obvious she was trying to fake her way through it like she did with Curic. And hey, you can see Canada for parts of Alaska too. Guess that didn't help her, who'd have thought?

It is so very, very sad.