Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Today's Polls, 9/9

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2009-03-12T01:55:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T01:55:00.000-04:00

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2009-01-19T10:15:00.000-05:00

In literate usage, "momentarily" means "briefly", ...

2008-09-14T06:05:00.000-04:00

In literate usage, "momentarily" means "briefly", not "soon".

Obama thinks that he can treat the American electo...

2008-09-10T20:05:00.000-04:00

Obama thinks that he can treat the American electorate as a politically knowledgeable group and that they will reciprocate. Wrong! Overestimating the political acumen of Americans is a big mistake. He should remember what Adlai Stevenson told one of his advisers during the campaign against Eisenhower. His aid said that Adlai would get the votes of every thinking person in America. Adlai replied that wouldn't be enough votes because he needed a majority.

There are PPP numbers today that show NC as McCain...

2008-09-10T16:40:00.000-04:00

There are PPP numbers today that show NC as McCain 48, Obama 44.

I guess we can stop going too crazy about those 20 points.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/nc_mccain_48_obama_44_ppp99.php

I admire Obama for his honest, fighting spirit and...

2008-09-10T12:59:00.000-04:00

I admire Obama for his honest, fighting spirit and for calling McCain on his disgusting tactics:
"I don't care what they say about me. But I love this country too much to let them take over another election with lies and phony outrage and Swift-boat politics. Enough is enough"

Excellent. The backlash starts here. And he should use "Lipstick on a Pig" again and again because anyone with two brain cells knows it was not sexist and he has no reason to run way form it

I think that you need to revisit your comments abo...

2008-09-10T12:03:00.000-04:00

I think that you need to revisit your comments about North Carolina given the Rasmussen poll out today showing that McCain is leading in Nc by 4% and got a 1% bounce out of the convention.

@Michael who wrote: "Obama needs to be building fi...

2008-09-10T11:49:00.000-04:00

@Michael who wrote: "Obama needs to be building firewalls now and forget this 50 state strategy that morphed into an 18 state strategy and get in down to a 6 state focus (CO,MI,VA,NH,NM,&PA) If he doesn't he will stand no chance of winning."

I agree sort of but I wouldn't say 6, I'd say 11, and missing OH from your list is glaring.

PA,OH,MI,IN,WI,NH,VA,MO,CO,NM,NV

IN and MO are there to get close and maybe fluke out a win.
I think that IN and MO with borders on IL have demographic connections/paths that will help in OH,VA,CO,NV,MI.

If O and Joe are within 1 point in IN, they surely wins OH, MI, PA and VA.

MO has similar epiphenomena effects on OH, CO, NV.

I hear that Ron Paul is going to tell people to vote for any 3rd party. This might be the best thing going for O. The combined effect could equal a kind of Perot effect, which was absolutely necessary for Clinton and Gore to win.

Quite frankly, I think Obama should agree to another debate with McCain and Barr, Nader, McKinney, and what's his name.

Barr will make GA complicated for McCain.
Nader and McKinney will make Obama look like a slightly to the left of center, rather than far left.

Finally, there are lots of Catholics who'd vote for Obama if abortion wasn't the bogey man issue that it is. For those Catholics, it is far better than they register a de-legitimating vote for some 3rd Party than voting for McCain, whom they culturally don't connect with anyway. Note also that McCain's lack of consistent ethical position on embryonic stem cell research and pandering on abortion during 2000, as well as the lack of any change notwithstanding Reagan and Bush, Jr. strikes more and more Catholics as an "I was duped and you duped me" moment.

Palin makes the same stupid speech over and over a...

2008-09-10T11:25:00.000-04:00

Palin makes the same stupid speech over and over again. Can the mom from Bobby's World really be Vice President? What a pathetic country this is.

"Last night someone here said Obama should use the...

2008-09-10T11:21:00.000-04:00

"Last night someone here said Obama should use the "pigs with lipstick" line over and over again. I agree, and so do others."

Please do.

Yes, I knew that. Paul is big here in ND. Like the...

2008-09-10T11:16:00.001-04:00

Yes, I knew that. Paul is big here in ND. Like the recent post said, he got the biggest share of campaign donations of any of the "lower 48".

Yes, I knew that. Paul is big here in ND. Like the...

2008-09-10T11:16:00.000-04:00

Yes, I knew that. Paul is big here in ND. Like the recent post said, he got the biggest share of campaign donations of any of the "lower 48".

Jackson -- could be. But I've known about Paul's v...

2008-09-10T11:12:00.001-04:00

Jackson -- could be. But I've known about Paul's views on McCain for some time.

Did you know he actually said he even favored Obama over McCain? Not an endorsement, just a preference on his part. Says it all.

NEW POST UP!

2008-09-10T11:12:00.000-04:00

NEW POST UP!

Last night someone here said Obama should use the ...

2008-09-10T11:11:00.001-04:00

Last night someone here said Obama should use the "pigs with lipstick" line over and over again. I agree, and so do others.

Honestly? I think it doesn't hurt McCain at all. R...

2008-09-10T11:11:00.000-04:00

Honestly? I think it doesn't hurt McCain at all. Ron Paul supporters already know how he feels about McCain, and dispersing his small crowd among a host of fringe candidates won't change much in any state.

Lots of Paul supporters around here were holding their nose and voting for McCain. Paul explicitly telling them otherwise will probably sway some more.

Today is about getting rid of idiotic Rove-style p...

2008-09-10T11:07:00.000-04:00

Today is about getting rid of idiotic Rove-style politics of personal destruction, and moving on to talking about how the next 4 years MUST NOT look like the last 8. McCain and Palin have thrown in their lot with team Rove / Bush, so we can only expect a continued decline in the USA from them.

Any chance Barr could pick him as VP?

2008-09-10T11:05:00.001-04:00

Any chance Barr could pick him as VP?

Depends on what the Ron Paul voters do. They vote...

2008-09-10T11:05:00.000-04:00

Depends on what the Ron Paul voters do. They voted against McCain and for Paul in many late primaries, thus true defections could matter - alot. Of course, will they defect? Are there viable third parties candidates in most states?

If Ron Paul really wanted to shake it up he should be on the libertarian ticket.

"Why are John McCain & the Republican Party oppose...

2008-09-10T11:04:00.000-04:00

"Why are John McCain & the Republican Party opposed to making our children safer from pedophiles and child molesters?"

That I agree with. They should hit hard with it and often.

Make the scumbags pay for their sleaze.

"Yeah...it was reported yesterday that he'd be doi...

2008-09-10T11:03:00.000-04:00

"Yeah...it was reported yesterday that he'd be doing that today.

Hurts McCain more than Obama I suspect. Considerably more."

Honestly? I think it doesn't hurt McCain at all. Ron Paul supporters already know how he feels about McCain, and dispersing his small crowd among a host of fringe candidates won't change much in any state.

child 'molester' kazerook: don't call me a pig, yo...

2008-09-10T11:00:00.000-04:00

child 'molester' kazerook: don't call me a pig, you pig!

dominoid73: That's fine. An Obama ad doesn't hav...

2008-09-10T10:59:00.000-04:00

dominoid73: That's fine. An Obama ad doesn't have to accuse John McCain & the Republican Party of supporting pedophiles & child molesters. But it should ask the question, say, "Why are John McCain & the Republican Party opposed to making our children safer from pedophiles and child molesters?"

Let them answer. Let them have to hear this a million times and not just be able to shout "Muslim! Bill Ayers! Bitter! Arugula!".

Ron Paul refusing to back McCain campaign and enco...

2008-09-10T10:58:00.000-04:00

Ron Paul refusing to back McCain campaign and encouraging his backers to vote third party.

Yeah...it was reported yesterday that he'd be doing that today.

Hurts McCain more than Obama I suspect. Considerably more.

Barr will come in third in this election, and his third place showing just got a bit stronger.