Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: FINAL Senate Projection, 11/4: 7-8 Democratic Pick...

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2009-10-02T08:25:34.291-04:00

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2009-09-30T01:22:10.830-04:00

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2009-07-23T02:06:27.762-04:00

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2009-03-12T21:29:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T21:29:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T00:29:00.000-05:00

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2009-02-08T22:45:00.000-05:00

David A. said... So Stevens was 100% assured of...

2008-11-14T19:50:00.000-05:00

David A. said...

So Stevens was 100% assured of losing Alaska, huh?

Yep, Stevens was 100% assured of losing Alaska, and Stevens IS Losing Alaska and Stevens WILL Lose Alaska.....so your point was???

I was wondering if you could post a Winning Senate...

2008-11-11T00:11:00.000-05:00

I was wondering if you could post a Winning Senate Score Card. It would be nice to see it as who won vs your percentages. Plus seeing which races are still contested in one nice little area. Just a thought :-)

So Stevens was 100% assured of losing Alaska, huh?...

2008-11-10T12:49:00.000-05:00

So Stevens was 100% assured of losing Alaska, huh?

Hate to be dense, but what do the colors of the ba...

2008-11-04T16:40:00.000-05:00

Hate to be dense, but what do the colors of the bars in the chart mean? I am assuming they are just there to make it easier to read?

Or it may be a clue as to where Warren G. Harding buried all his loot. You never know.

What will happen to the seats held by Obama and Bi...

2008-11-04T16:20:00.000-05:00

What will happen to the seats held by Obama and Biden or McCain? Would they be open for a period of time and how and when will they be filled? The politics of IL, DE and AZ would tend to indicate that these seats will not change party counts. Is there any uncertainty there?

Kick that snake Lieberman out of the DEM caucus, r...

2008-11-04T14:33:00.000-05:00

Kick that snake Lieberman out of the DEM caucus, regardless of what it does to the seat count.

Andy JS - I think the difference is that in the UK...

2008-11-04T14:24:00.000-05:00

Andy JS - I think the difference is that in the UK, the ballot is short. Vote for your MP, and that's about it. In the US, you vote president, senate, house, state senate, state house, state sec of state (elections chief), school board, public transit board, state initiatives, city initiatives, local party officers, etc. etc. etc.... The max per precinct is around 800 in most states, but that is a lot given how long it takes to vote.

I'm interested to know why there are large queues ...

2008-11-04T12:24:00.000-05:00

I'm interested to know why there are large queues in some polling places. Here in the UK on election day, I think each polling place has a maximum of about 5,000 potential voters. (With a 60% turnout, that would be 3,000 actual voters spread over a 15 hours period, giving an average of 200 per hour).

Does anyone know whether the maximum number of potential voters in some polling places is much larger than this in the United States? If so, that would explain the long lines in some places.

Mule Rider said:"I'm a fiscal conservative for sur...

2008-11-04T11:43:00.000-05:00

Mule Rider said:
"I'm a fiscal conservative for sure, but slightly progressive on other economic issues.

I want (much) higher taxes on the rich, but I don't like the idea of "handouts" either."

You sound a lot like Obama. Hey, how come we never see Obama and Mule Rider together at the same time?

PeteKent said:"To me this puts an Obama win in a c...

2008-11-04T11:37:00.000-05:00

PeteKent said:
"To me this puts an Obama win in a context with which I can deal with it: a speedbump along the road of a people aspiring to indeed be His Kingdom."

You wish. Dramatic expansive poetic Sanctimonious Condescension is still Sanctimonious Condescension. Lipstick. On. A. Pig.

Don't pretend to speak for me or know my thoughts and intentions.

And, BTW, don't flatter yourself: this isn't hatred. What is it with the fundies and their persecution complexes?

@ Mule riderA fiscal conservative. Finally ! I mee...

2008-11-04T11:34:00.000-05:00

@ Mule rider

A fiscal conservative. Finally ! I meet one :) Fiscal conservatives I get. I amy not agree on many things with them but at least a balanced budget and controlled spending does make a lot of sense to me. It is this current marriage of neo-cons/social conservative in the current republican party that I am having a huge problem with.

My own views are very convoluted as well. I have issues with extreme forms of capitalism as well as socialism

MuleRider said, "Riiiight....because no one on the...

2008-11-04T11:20:00.000-05:00

MuleRider said, "Riiiight....because no one on the Left has EVER come up with anything ridiculous like asserting the Christian Right is trying the resurrect the Crusades from midieval times or that the Neo-Cons are trying to institute a New World Order to rule the world or that 9/11 was a big conspiracy so that we could occupy Middle Eastern nations and loot and plunder them for more oil."

Well, your first two examples are not very much off reality. Bush did use the term "crusade," and a big player in the GOP machine, Ray Sanders, has an office in Jerusalem with a mural of the outside on an inside wall--but in the painting, the Dome of the Rock has been disappeared. Delay and others stand with the Jews only because of end-times prophecy, at which time they expect the Jews to convert or be damned. That's f-ed up, in my worldview.

The Project for the New American Century, a neoCon outfit of which McCain is a member, has exactly the stated imperialist goals you seem to think are so far out there as to be only the product of conspiracy theorists. Yet, they exist.

As to the last, 9/11 is just 9/11. But the huge majority of people who thought Iraq was connected to it didn't come from nowhere. It came from Cheney. It was a lie, and that was the conspiracy. And the goal was the (pre-invasion) proposed 14 permanent military bases in Iraq, necessitated by the fact that we needed to get out of Saudi Arabia because our presence there was destablizing the monarchy (and helping to create pro-Al Qaida sentiment). We had to leave SA while a cooperative government still controlled one of the few remaining elephant fields, but we still needed a place to park the planes and watch Iran.

(Our actions in 1953 are involved with why we have to watch Iran, but it's a longer story--enough to say they don't really hate us for our freedoms; there's a particular reason for it.)

The world is exceedingly complex and I am happy that we're about to elect someone with intellectual experience--a college degree in international relations--to the White House.

I voted in PA today. Go Obama!

Oh, no Arun, I am inspired by people of all faiths...

2008-11-04T11:05:00.002-05:00

Oh, no Arun, I am inspired by people of all faiths. God is so much greater than we that it would be folly to think we possess fully the revealed wisdom. We must await the coming of the "perfect" as Saint Paul describes in his famous letter to the People of Corinth in which he speaks about the nature of Love.

BTW, Palast has been proven right every time. He w...

2008-11-04T11:05:00.001-05:00

BTW, Palast has been proven right every time. He was the first investigative journalist to break the voter fraud in Florida 2000, was the first to expose "caging" in 2004, not to mention electoral fraud in Mexico. He even nailed the 2006 midterms, which were similar to this election. The Democrats were cheated out of a few senate seats. Remember, for a while it looked like the Dems wouldn't even win a majority in the senate. Both the Virginia and Montana races were squeakers for Webb and Tester.

muleman-sterile i hope'parnoia is a heightened sen...

2008-11-04T11:05:00.000-05:00

muleman-sterile i hope
'parnoia is a heightened sense of awareness'.

@MuleRider,Cuba was once ruled by corrupt fascists...

2008-11-04T11:02:00.000-05:00

@MuleRider,

Cuba was once ruled by corrupt fascists who invited the US mobsters down for drug and orgy parties. Castro did not happen in a vaccuum.

You fellows are going to see--Obama will win, and every little thing, it's gonna be all right. Don't worry about a thing.

I just feel so damn lighthearted today. It's morning in America again.

--gun-toting greenparty libertarian

arun,That's a difficult question. I'm mostly have ...

2008-11-04T11:01:00.000-05:00

arun,

That's a difficult question. I'm mostly have conservative positions, but find myself moderate or centrist leaning on a lot of things.

I'm a fiscal conservative for sure, but slightly progressive on other economic issues.

I want (much) higher taxes on the rich, but I don't like the idea of "handouts" either.

Anyway, my politics are a bit convoluted.

Nicely spoken Chris, I'm going to repost that in t...

2008-11-04T11:00:00.000-05:00

Nicely spoken Chris, I'm going to repost that in the newest thread, for you.