Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/31

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2009-10-03T05:25:15.307-04:00

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2009-10-03T05:19:09.455-04:00

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2009-10-03T03:33:25.688-04:00

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2009-09-12T02:33:04.683-04:00

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2009-03-12T05:07:00.001-04:00

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2009-03-12T05:07:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T02:09:00.000-05:00

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2009-02-08T23:57:00.000-05:00

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2009-02-08T22:37:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-17T04:19:00.000-05:00

I want all you libs, leftists, moonbats, and socia...

2008-11-01T10:30:00.000-04:00

I want all you libs, leftists, moonbats, and socialists to answer me this:

What do you call someone who supports "sharing the wealth" and socialized medicene (sic)?

What do you call someone who can't spell or use a spell-checker?

If Senator Obama wins this election, the following...

2008-11-01T09:52:00.000-04:00

If Senator Obama wins this election, the following is what it has taken to get a very questionable, extremely inexperienced, very junior first time Senator past the mark:

1. Senator Obama’s campaign is outspending the Senator McCain’s campaign 4 to 1 or more in some locations. This is due to Senator Obama backing out of an agreement he made with Senator McCain.
2. Senator Obama’s campaign has opened up about 700 offices nation-wide versus less than 100 than Senator McCain’s campaign has opened up.
3. The mainstream media has been completely biased against Senator McCain.
4. Biased organizations, such as ACORN, have received contributions from Senator Obama, have been openly supporting Senator Obama, and are under investigation for committing voter registration fraud in multiple states favoring Senator Obama.
5 An enormous number of biased celebrities have been supporting Senator Obama and speaking out against Senator McCain.
6. Even though Congress is very unpopular, both sides are controlled by the democrats and have been making biased statements against Senator McCain.
7. Senator McCain is disadvantaged because of the unpopularity of the incumbent President.
8. All four of the debate moderators lean to the left and were not 100% fair.

Even with all of the biased and unfair things mentioned above that are running against Senator McCain, Senator Obama only has a narrow lead. Should he not be way out in front? I have heard people state that on the news from both campaigns. That should tell you something. Also, Senator Obama pulled a cheap shot on Senator McCain and the American public in regards to campaign financing. Both campaigns agreed to use public financing during the presidential campaign. At the last moment, Senator Obama backed out of his agreement and took private financing, giving Senator Obama a significant advantage over Senator McCain in financing his campaign. In addition, Senator Obama is not being totally open as to where all his contributions are coming from. But even though Senator Obama took a sucker punch and tricked Senator McCain and all Americans by backing out of his agreement, Senator McCain is keeping with his word and using public financing. This is severely disadvantaging Senator McCain’s campaign financing by putting much lower caps on the amount of money he will have available. This is the reason Senator Obama can outspend Senator McCain 4 to 1. This also shows that Senator Obama does not keep his campaign promises, just like his past campaign promises.

Just imagine what it will be like when you have both the House of Representatives and the Senate controlled by the democrats, and Senator Obama in the Whitehouse signing everything that comes across his desk from them. In other words, the person writing the check will also be the one cashing it. There will be no “checks and balances”, especially if the democrats pick up a few more seats in the Senate and it becomes filibuster-proof, which means they will have a monopoly. Again, there will be no checks and balances. We will have higher taxes, more government, and fewer rights. They have already promised all of those things. You will have a government that will tax the people that are creating the jobs so they can “spread the wealth around”. Who do you think creates the jobs in this country? Have you ever seen a business owned by a poor person? Are they the ones starting small businesses and creating jobs? Obviously not! So we have established the fact that the people that own the small businesses and create the jobs are NOT the poor. So lets talk about what is going to happen when they start taxing the people that do own the small businesses that create the jobs.

So what do you think will happen when they start taxing the small business owners? First, jobs will be lost. They will not be able to afford to keep the same amount of people they have now – they will have to let people go. In addition, they will not be able to expand their businesses and hire more people. The second thing that will happen is that prices will go up. Do you think businesses will not raise the cost of their products and services to offset the extra taxes they have to pay? This should be obvious. The prices will go up on everything and will affect everybody – to include the middle class and the poor. When you go to the grocery store, the food prices will be higher. When you go buy a car, the prices will be higher. When you go to the department store the prices are going to be higher. Put yourself in the shoes of a business owner; if your expenses go up, would you not raise the price of your products to pay for them? Of course you would! And taxes are an expense.

Now lets talk about presidential qualifications. When a federal employee or a member of the military has a need to have access to classified materials, they would need to get a security clearance. A security clearance attempts to certify that an individual is of high moral character and does not pose a security risk. If a federal employee or a member of the military admits to using a dangerous drug, such as cocaine, they will not be eligible for a security clearance. In addition, an admitted cocaine user would not be able to get in the military and if he or she is a federal employee, he or she would be moved to a position of lesser responsibility and not have access to classified materials. Senator Obama has admitted to using cocaine in his book that he wrote. As a candidate for president, should he not be held up to the same standards of a federal employee or a member of our military? As President, he is going to be exposed to an enormous amount of classified materials, have his finger on the nuke button, and be the commander in chief of the strongest military in the world. Would you not want someone in that position that can qualify for a security clearance?

Another point I would like to make is in regards to Senator Obama’s experience, which is a drop in the bucket compared to Senator McCain’s. With the world and the economy in such a delicate position, I cannot imagine why anyone would not want the most experienced person in the Whitehouse. Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, and even Senator Obama’s running mate, Senator Joe Biden, have made statements to the fact that Senator Obama is not experienced enough to be President and that the presidency is not the type of job for on-the-job training. They also said that Senator McCain brings a lifetime of experience to the table. Senator Obama’s running mate, Senator Biden, even said he would even be honored to run “with” his friend John McCain. These individuals are now claiming that they said that during the primaries when they were running against Senator Obama. Does that mean they were lying then, or now? Senator Obama claimed that he had more diverse foreign policy experience because he lived overseas as a kid. Living overseas does not give you foreign policy experience, unless you are an Ambassador, which he was not. If it did, then Senator John McCain would again best Senator Obama’s record since he has lived overseas being a member of the military.

What issue or issues are you going to base your voting decision on? Will it be the economy? National defense? Education? There are so many out there. Because of the current economic situation, a large number of you are going to base your decision on who is best for the economy. I would hope that I have answered this question for you earlier on in this article. Such as pointing out which candidate has promised to raise taxes and spend more reducing jobs and raising the cost to live. But just in case I have not, I have a couple additional items for you to think about. If you look at all of the campaign promises on Senator Obama’s web site, you will see hundreds of them. How is he going to pay for them? I think I answered that already. But, if you add of the costs of all of them, mathematically it is going to cost us a lot more than he will be able to raise in taxes. So many of these are going to be just like so many of his previous campaign promises – they won’t get done. Maybe the economy is not the best issue to use in making a decision for president. What about national defense? In my opinion, if you don’t have a secure nation, the rest of the issues are moot. With Russia and China outspending us two fold to build up their military; with Iran and North Korea toying around with nukes and making threats; with Russia making friends and conducting military exercises not too far from our back door in Venezuela; with Russia helping Iran build nuclear processing material plants; and with the terrorist threat growing in Pakistan (a nuclear country), Afghanistan, Africa, and several other countries throughout the world, I want the most experienced and tested person in that office. Not some junior Senator that has absolutely no experience in national security. The economy is important, but national defense is a must. Remember, if our country is not secure, then the economy means nothing, our freedom is in jeopardy, and our lives as we know them today could easily be drastically changed in a moments notice. Just ask the citizens of the country of Georgia. One last point: Have you see who is openly supporting Senator Obama in the news? Iran and the terrorist groups Hamas and Hezbollah have made public statements that they would prefer Sen. Obama to win. Go figure.

So after reading this, where do you stand? The differences in these two candidates are very apparent. On one hand, you have an individual with many years of applicable “real world” experience, has been a public servant and leader for about 50 years, has a proven record to reduce taxes and government spending, and is dedicated to growing the US economy and jobs. On the other hand, you have an individual with very little experience, questionable associations, has a proven record to increase taxes, government spending, and earmarks, and has promised to increase taxes and government spending. As I said at the beginning of this article, I cannot imagine why anyone in their right mind, after doing a real comparison of the two candidates, would vote for Senator Obama. I admit, he presents himself well and has a good appearance, as long as he has a teleprompter to read from. So the bottom line is what do you want in the next president, appearance or substance?

People like Drudge, Limbaugh, Kristol make a livin...

2008-11-01T08:40:00.000-04:00

People like Drudge, Limbaugh, Kristol make a living telling right wingnuts exactly what they want to hear. It's a coward's way to make a living, but lucrative nonetheless. I'd imagine that they themselves don't believe their own hype. But they keep spewing it cuz it pays the bills and then some.

WV: scras. Obama is kicking McCain's scras!

Remember how Karl Rove had his "own numbers" in 20...

2008-11-01T07:48:00.000-04:00

Remember how Karl Rove had his "own numbers" in 2006 that predicted the GOP would hold both Houses? McCain's PA hopes sound as likely. Even back in June, Joe Scarborough said, "Republicans always say they can win NJ & PA, and they NEVER do!"

Even though the 538 model predicts McCain winning GA 91% of the time, I think black turnout in early voting is going to flip the state to Obama, which also means that Saxby Chambliss loses as well. That would sweet revenge for Bush's disgusting treatment of Max Cleland in 2002.

Right Wing Conspiricist said... The already hav...

2008-11-01T04:27:00.000-04:00

Right Wing Conspiricist said...

The already have rerported in Florida that youth vote is not showing up like they expected in early voting.
There's a youth vote in FL?!
Maybe during Spring Break, but ATM it's just 70 year-old snow birds ;-)
So the "youth vote" would be, what, 50-year-olds?

Drudge links to the YouTube clip of Arnold at a Co...

2008-11-01T02:23:00.000-04:00

Drudge links to the YouTube clip of Arnold at a Columbus, OH rally mocking the skinniness of Barack's arms. legs, and ideas. He then gives a good speech comparing the USA to socialist Europe. Too bad for JM that Arnold was not constitutionally eligible to be McCain's running mate.

Zogby poll moving 9 pts in less than 24 hours is t...

2008-11-01T02:18:00.000-04:00

Zogby poll moving 9 pts in less than 24 hours is too odd, it is not believable.

Yesterday he had Obama leading by 8.

May

We should all change our identities to «first name...

2008-11-01T00:54:00.000-04:00

We should all change our identities to «first name» the «dream job».

WV = «lityl» which I've actually had before (it was in my cache).

The only reason Rethugs are putting all their eggs...

2008-11-01T00:51:00.000-04:00

The only reason Rethugs are putting all their eggs in the PA basket is because they are one of the few battleground states that don't have early voting. I think other polls in states like OH, VA and CO are getting better LV numbers because of early voters. McCain is desperate that PA will save his bacon by going so negative that he can create apathy among PA voters.

I agree with Dmitry ... An Obama loses PA, wins el...

2008-11-01T00:29:00.000-04:00

I agree with Dmitry ... An Obama loses PA, wins election percentage would be nice, Nate.

"Contrary to Rick Davis’s assertions". Ha-ha, Nate...

2008-11-01T00:04:00.000-04:00

"Contrary to Rick Davis’s assertions". Ha-ha, Nate. You should start every sentence with that.

Drudge's purpose in flashing these one-day polling...

2008-11-01T00:00:00.000-04:00

Drudge's purpose in flashing these one-day polling results is just to cause all the liberal handwringers who read polling websites like this to go into panic fits.

And it's working like a charm, right on schedule.

Jeez, people. Relax. We should be thrilled that the Right is glomming onto ZOGBY, of all people, for their hopes and dreams. And to a freakin' ONE-DAY poll result, at that. That's all they got. NOBODY CARES except them. And you, apparently.

mc9cain said...Lorne Michaels of SNL has NOT donat...

2008-10-31T23:46:00.000-04:00

mc9cain said...

Lorne Michaels of SNL has NOT donated a penny to Obama. But he has donated $2,300 to John McCain and a bunch to Chris Dodd and $2,300 to Al Franken.

http://fundrace.huffingtonpost.com/neighbors.php?type=name&lname=Michaels&fname=Lorne

Your source is incorrect.

Lorne Michaels donated the full $4,600 to Barack Obama this year. (source)

Yes, he did donate $2,300 to McCain's primary run and $4,600 to Dodd's primary and general election ... in early 2007.

Really, who can fault the guy for donating to McCain then? That was back when McCain seemed like the only Republican with a conscience, character, honesty, and so forth. Not the cheap right-wing shill he's made himself into today.

Seriously, you should check things more thoroughly before tossing this sort of statement around. You don't want to make a caphrema (WV) out of yourself. =)

"MCAIN LEADS IN FLORIDA EARLY VOTING!!"source: htt...

2008-10-31T23:41:00.000-04:00

"MCAIN LEADS IN FLORIDA EARLY VOTING!!"

source: http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01

It's a flawed, old poll thought.