Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Wow

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2009-10-02T07:48:37.775-04:00

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2009-08-28T03:22:23.891-04:00

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^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T06:02:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T06:02:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-08T22:08:00.000-05:00

http://obamaschildren.blogspot.com/

2008-11-07T17:38:00.000-05:00

http://obamaschildren.blogspot.com/

On my Word Face-Off blog, I did a comparison of Ob...

2008-11-06T06:54:00.000-05:00

On my Word Face-Off blog, I did a comparison of Obama's victory speech and McCain's concession. I look into the lentgh of words, sentences, etc. I also include all-inclusive word clouds. Also, there's a collection of photos of celebrations from around the world on the Reasons To Be Cheerful, Part 3 blog.

Kudos and a great big thank you to fivethirtyeight...

2008-11-05T15:05:00.000-05:00

Kudos and a great big thank you to fivethirtyeight.com. I'm so used to this being my first stop every day that I don't think I'm going to be able to stop.

BTW, kudos to you, Nate and your crew! At the mome...

2008-11-05T11:52:00.000-05:00

BTW, kudos to you, Nate and your crew! At the moment, you have almost the exact number of electoral votes for Obama pegged!

Also, one other important observation from last night's celebrations in San Francisco. Unlike they way extreme right-wing flacks always try to portray those of us on the left as being Anti-American, there were many people waving American flags and chants of "USA! USA!" were continually erupting. Not exactly an Anti-American image, now, is it?!?

Literal dancing in the streets of San Francisco. I...

2008-11-05T11:46:00.000-05:00

Literal dancing in the streets of San Francisco. In many different parts of the City, blocks closed down by spontaneous celebrations! Just like after WWII ended (not that I was there!), women, who were complete strangers to me, came up and hugged and kissed me! Sweet Victory! Sweet, indeed!

Thanks for covering this election so well in such ...

2008-11-05T09:51:00.000-05:00

Thanks for covering this election so well in such a smart way!

Sheesh! I can write AND spell on alternate Wednesd...

2008-11-05T09:30:00.000-05:00

Sheesh! I can write AND spell on alternate Wednesdays. Apparently, this isn't one of them.

I meant to write, "so that the Obama administration CAN make quick work of undoing them."

My brain is so tired....

Zahlman, I followed the link to your blog. All I c...

2008-11-05T09:28:00.000-05:00

Zahlman, I followed the link to your blog. All I can say is:

Wow. Everything you just said, to the Nth power.

I cried my eyes out last night, and you just made me tear up again.

I know Obama lost here in South Carolina, but you would be amazed at how many of us white, middle-class Southerners voted for him.

Now, if only someone with some time could pull together all of the signing statements and crapola rules being issued by our current idiot-in-residence in the WH, so that the Obama administration and make quick work of undoing them.

Nate, Sean, everyone: Between you guys, Andrew Sullivan, and Mudflats, you kept me sane. Thank you all!!

I followed two blogs on a daily basis during this ...

2008-11-05T08:29:00.000-05:00

I followed two blogs on a daily basis during this campaign: Time's Swampland (http://swampland.blogs.time.com) and this one. Thanks to all Nate, Sean and all my brother and sister commenters for all the information and insights. Now excuse me while I take my turn at the oars to help turn this ship around.

Thank you, thank you, thank you, Nate.

2008-11-05T06:45:00.000-05:00

Thank you, thank you, thank you, Nate.

Great job for predicting right. Well done Nate. Ch...

2008-11-05T06:31:00.000-05:00

Great job for predicting right. Well done Nate. Cheers.

I was in that very pleasant mob in front of the Wh...

2008-11-05T04:48:00.000-05:00

I was in that very pleasant mob in front of the White House. It was one of the most inspiring things I've ever seen or been a part of. Chants of "USA" and repeated renditions of the National Anthem were the best parts... but there was also some (fairly mild) jeering of President Bush, nothing really inappropriate.

How eloquent so many of you have been. Though I ha...

2008-11-05T03:09:00.000-05:00

How eloquent so many of you have been. Though I have merely lurked, I must echo their sentiments as well, and thank you both. I saw you first, Nate, on the Colbert Report and began to check in with you. When I heard other pundits talking about the race tightening, and quoting other poll numbers, I took solace in reading your sobering and excellent evaluations. Congratulations on a super job and thank you for being here.

ErickaThanks to Nate, Sean and Brett for a great s...

2008-11-05T03:08:00.000-05:00

Ericka

Thanks to Nate, Sean and Brett for a great site and a great ride.

I'll look out for what you do next..and also what Obama does next.

Thank you, Nate, for the balance and sanity throug...

2008-11-05T02:56:00.000-05:00

Thank you, Nate, for the balance and sanity through all of this.

I was inspired to write this, including a link bac...

2008-11-05T02:52:00.000-05:00

I was inspired to write this, including a link back to 538. Cheers Nate and thanks for all your hard work this election season.

wv: cherati - a term of endearment for Obama's wife, maybe?

Love that Indiana went blue! YES! It is about ti...

2008-11-05T02:28:00.000-05:00

Love that Indiana went blue! YES! It is about time!

just got back from mobbing the white house...in a ...

2008-11-05T02:03:00.000-05:00

just got back from mobbing the white house...in a good way...and now it looks like my absentee ballot in NC will actually matter! people running up and down the streets in downtown DC, screaming "yes we can," "yes we did," "USA!", "No more Bush!", and many other things....there are no words to describe the feeling right now. God Bless the USA.

Nate and Sean,You made a home for all of us. Than...

2008-11-05T02:02:00.000-05:00

Nate and Sean,

You made a home for all of us. Thank you.

Your ability to project results was awesome. I'll expect a scorecard, but I think your macro prediction on the PV will be as good as anyone’s.

The pollsters did an excellent job on the state level. E.G. McCain will lose PA by 10 and OH by 5. He lost NV and CO and he may lose MT. All prefigured. The eventual PV should be at 53-46, seven points dead on. Awesome that it worked out so well, except the Exit Polls, but even they appear to have improved from 2004 and the biggest flaw that I can see is that they over-sampled Pro-Obama women by a few points.

No one did any of this better than Nate. He is a dullard for sure and his throwing out of bombs for us to chew over was kind of mean since we were a very rude and derisive bunch, wholly intolerant of opinion differences in the sense that the opponent was always a demon, a deeply flawed malevolent individual.

It surprised me how uncharitable and, well, ill-liberal, Liberals can be. It eventually turned me off to the point where I preferred to throw my own bombs and not respond to the bait that was nearly 100% insulting.

Very early on I was prepared to introduce the specter of race that hung over this campaign. I did not see why we could not in an anonymous forum exchange ideas about the elephant in the room.

My thesis: I felt that ultimately the people would come to reject a man who forced them to filter everything through a prism of race so that even mere criticism became intolerant behavior. I thought that Obama would be asking too much to have our every action adjudged for its potentially racist content and felt and continue to feel that such a thing will be a distraction to an Obama Presidency.

I am still fearful of this, but we have seen the ability of Barack Obama to turn such things on their ears. I have to say that the fear I felt that would cause the people to reject Obama, became instead a desire to affirm the man, to accept even the superiority of his race, as we had insisted on accepting the superiority of the white mans. Mmmmm . . . .

While it may be naïve, there is a certain comfortable assurance of rectitude in being for Obama. I think this was ultimately what made him so successful. We could redeem our racist natures simply by voting for him. How easily we could be washed clean.

Folks like me know better. It takes a lot more than a feel good vote to cure a person of uncharitable feeling towards his fellow man.

Still, his genius was making voting for him an affirmation of our better selves. I find that the most breathtaking political conceit in the history of politics and I feel he has set himself up so that he needs to be a very successful performer because we embraced him body and soul and abandoned generations of prejudice to act in what we were told was our better nature.

With Senator, now President-Elect, Obama, there had better be a great deal of "there there". He has told us to ignore his biography -- or at least the gaps in it -- and his plans have sounded high-minded and materially beneficial for the great mass of people. Obama ran as a populist.

He must maintain his popularity.

So now I have a standard to which I can hold Obama.

I have always been willing to be forthright about my issues and concerns about the Senator. I expected discussion and was shocked to find that I was to be shouted down.

It became a theme of the campaign. You all – Senator Obama – The Media. Case in point: Joe the Plumber.

Still as things draw to a close, I realize, Sean and Nate, that we were ungovernable and I appreciate the liberality of your spirits to let us run free.

I will always feel affection for Sean for he was the messy human face on all this. Poker player, channeler of Jack Kerouac. His inspiration for Bizzaro World caused me to write an elegy to Barack Obama that even I found moving. And in which I still find hope, because in the end our choices are our appealing to our better natures.

I so comprehend how excited and hopeful you must feel. Obama's charisma is palpable. Along with that is his power. Think of what he accomplished from nothing. He is either a truly great man or some truly great man or men are pulling his strings. But either the way the coalition he represents is the most powerful one in politics today.

A politician like that makes generations sit up and take notice. We respond to their ability to bring to fruition a shared agenda. That might be the agenda of hope and change – a legitimate aspiration or it might be a policy agenda - -even one that is Socialistic, whatever it is it will please the Left.

You wind up idealizing such politicians.

It is what we felt for Ronald Reagan and what we now feel for Sarah Palin.

I tell you, she will come back to haunt y'all!

She is the final couplet of this little Shakespearean Drama (Comedy?).

This forum has been my passion along with the election itself for the past six months it seems.

Sean, I hope you win a million bucks.

Nate, you are the Superstar of Polling, my friend. Name your price. You are worth everything you can command. How’s that for banality? I hope it was long and rambling enough and that even in its paragraph structure it brought tears of boredom to your eyes.

Thank you and good night to one and all!

Nate,I first heard about you when you were on The ...

2008-11-05T01:57:00.000-05:00

Nate,

I first heard about you when you were on The Colbert Report. I've been a daily reader since then. It impresses me that you have been so forthright and candid about your methods and allegiances. You, Sean and Brett have shown an unexpected and refreshing professionalism.