Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: On the Road: Marietta, Ohio

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2009-02-09T06:07:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-18T01:45:00.000-05:00

In lieu of a trackback:The ups and downs of the gr...

2008-10-18T23:08:00.000-04:00

In lieu of a trackback:

The ups and downs of the ground game campaigns: "We're votin' for the n***er!"

Summary:

Volunteer headquarters everywhere are bustling, the underlying data machines are humming -- and then there's the way the Obama campaign uses its rallies to convert sympathisers into volunteers and plug them into the data. The actual shoe leather work is as exhausting as always -- until you encounter a moment that really brings home just how surreal politics, and this race in particular, is.

thanks so much for these from the field reports. I...

2008-10-17T01:13:00.000-04:00

thanks so much for these from the field reports. I appreciate them. Cannot wait to hear about West Virginia.

World Series game six start pushed back for Obama ...

2008-10-16T17:13:00.000-04:00

World Series game six start pushed back for Obama show

(AFP) — Major League Baseball has agreed to a 15-minute delay in the start of a possible sixth game of the World Series to allow Fox television to join the US networks airing a special by Barack Obama.

The Democratic presidential candidate has purchased 30 minutes of time on each major US network starting at 8 p.m. Eastern time (0000 GMT) on October 29 but Fox would have had a conflict with baseball's best-of-seven championship.

National League champion Philadelphia will face either defending champion Boston or worst-to-first fairy-tale team Tampa Bay in the World Series, which would have had a sixth game if necessary start at 8:20 Eastern.

Fox announced Thursday that Major League Baseball had agreed to push back the first pitch to 8:35, allowing Fox to sell 30 minutes of advertising time to Obama, who is running against Republican John McCain for the US presidency.

"Fox will accommodate Senator Obama's desire to communicate with voters in this longform format," Fox said in a statement.

"We are pleased that Major League Baseball has agreed to delay the first pitch of the World Series Game Six for a few minutes in order for Fox to carry his program on October 29.

"If requested, the network would be willing to make similar time available to Senator McCain's campaign."

The time involved for the special ahead of the November 4 election will be some of the costliest in US sports television, but Obama has been awash in funding and outspending McCain in key battleground states.

Obama and McCain spent a combined 11 million dollars to buy US prime-time television advertisements during NBC's broadcasts of the Beijing Olympics this summer.

The move, underscoring Obama's emerging financial advantage over his rival as the campaign enters its final stretch, will cost Obama millions on each network but gives him an unprecedented platform for a major-party candidate less than a week before US voters go to the ballot box.

seeing the young volunteers organized and committe...

2008-10-16T16:29:00.000-04:00

seeing the young volunteers organized and committed to this campaign, gives me a lot of hope for the future. Looks like we've got quite a generation coming up.

game changer ?Another Republican robocall attacks ...

2008-10-16T16:12:00.000-04:00

game changer ?

Another Republican robocall attacks Obama for having "worked closely with domestic terrorist Bill Ayers" whose group "killed Americans."

Reports suggest the calls are being made in Wisconsin, New Mexico, Northern Virginia, Maine, Florida, Missouri, and North Carolina.

Sean....love your updates! There were a lot of te...

2008-10-16T15:14:00.000-04:00

Sean....love your updates! There were a lot of telling details in the post, but the one that struck me most is that not only was that McCain office empty, but they were using landlines. wtf? At the Obama office where I volunteered they had cell phones, which has got to be a lot cheaper, more efficient and mobile. Team McCain needs to join the 21st Century if they're going to compete. What am I saying? Do whatever you want team McCain just make sure you get Caribou Barbie back to AK in time for Thanksgiving.

Obama Election Night Party Likely In Grant Park It...

2008-10-16T14:47:00.000-04:00

Obama Election Night Party Likely In Grant Park

It's not a done deal yet, but all indications are that campaign officials are leaning toward Hutchinson Field on the south end of Grant Park as the site of their election night party, CBS Informed.
The field is home to softball diamonds, the popular summer Lollapalooza music festival and was the site of the mass pope John Paul held in Chicago nearly 30 years ago.
If Grant Park is chosen as the venue, it would not be the first big outdoor event for Obama. He announced his presidential run outside the old state capitol in Springfield on a very cold day last February and gave his nomination acceptance speech at Denver's Mile High Stadium.
CBS 2 first reported last month that Grant Park was on Obama campaign officials' shortlist. They tentatively decided on it late last week. The negotiations with the city and park district have begun. Security arrangements are reportedly starting to take shape, and Mayor Richard M. Daley reportedly said it was a great idea.
The record low for Nov. 4 in Chicago is 15 degrees. CBS 2 Chief Correspondent Jay Levine asked Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce President Jerry Roper what he anticipated for the night.
"Weather's never a problem Chicago. We know how to handle it," Roper said. "And there'll be a lot of warmth that night, if indeed it does take place in Grant Park."
Roper added that the event would be a "huge economic boost for our city."
"People have been following Barack Obama around the world, and the world will have their eyes on Chicago that evening," Roper said. "With the Pope's visit from 30 years ago, to Lollapalooza, this city knows how to handle big events. … We're prepared."

(Reuters) - Ireland's biggest bookmaker Paddy Powe...

2008-10-16T14:20:00.000-04:00

(Reuters) - Ireland's biggest bookmaker Paddy Power said Thursday it would pay out early more than 1 million euros (782,776 pounds) on bets that Barack Obama will be the next U.S. president, three weeks ahead of the election.

The Dublin-based bookmaker said it made the "unprecedented decision" to pay on bets taken so far, following Wednesday's final campaign debate between Obama and his Republican rival John McCain, which polls judged the Democrat to have won.

"We declare this race well and truly over and congratulate all those who backed Obama," Power said.

"Although he seemed a little out of sorts in last night's final debate we believe he has done more than enough to get him across the line on November 4."

The bookmaker said the overall betting trend had shown "one- way traffic" for the Illinois senator since the start of the summer, with odds shortening to 1-9, meaning a bet of 9 euros is required to make 1 euro profit.

Power said it had taken more than 10,000 bets on the 2008 U.S. presidential election, the majority in support of Obama.

In June a wager of 100,000 euros was placed on Obama to win at odds of 1-2, yielding a payout of 150,000 euros, it added...

(Reporting by Kevin Smith; editing by Andrew Roche)

HOT Damn.

eric,In elections, for better or worse, perception...

2008-10-16T14:11:00.000-04:00

eric,

In elections, for better or worse, perception matters, twisted or otherwise. But I could imagine the Obama campaign using the 'ordinary guy' thing at some point in an ad, or maybe on the 30 mins pre election special.

Nielsen: 38% of US households watched 3rd debate

2008-10-16T14:08:00.000-04:00

Nielsen: 38% of US households watched 3rd debate

(AP) - A high-rise office building in the St. Loui...

2008-10-16T14:06:00.000-04:00

(AP) - A high-rise office building in the St. Louis suburb of Clayton has been evacuated after reports of an explosion.

Police evacuated several hundred people from the building just after 11 a.m., and several neighboring buildings were also evacuated as a precaution.

Witnesses told KSDK-TV they saw one person who appeared injured, but that was not immediately confirmed by authorities.

No smoke was visible from the building after the evacuation.

assmole: whatever - just getting exasperated with ...

2008-10-16T14:03:00.000-04:00

assmole: whatever - just getting exasperated with the ear to ear talk about new registrations - didn't we hear that in 2004?

Obama should be beating McCain based on existing registrations - new registrations is gravy

Possible explosion in Clayton, MOA possible explos...

2008-10-16T14:00:00.000-04:00

Possible explosion in Clayton, MO

A possible explosion has led to evacuations of high-rises and businesses in Clayton, Missouri

sharp: another way of looking at it - as long as O...

2008-10-16T13:59:00.000-04:00

sharp: another way of looking at it - as long as Obama is ahead in the Battleground tracker, he's plenty safe.

OK somebody reboot the server.

2008-10-16T13:56:00.000-04:00

OK somebody reboot the server.

>> IF you see the Kos poll inside the margin of er...

2008-10-16T13:51:00.001-04:00

>> IF you see the Kos poll inside the margin of error then you can worry. Ras, Zog, Gal do not properly account for new registrations.

We have no way of knowing how many of these new registrations will convert into actual Obama votes (or even be validated - see OH).

Hilarious: Acorn strikes again

2008-10-16T13:51:00.000-04:00

Hilarious: Acorn strikes again

Hilarious:Joe the Plumber's name is misspelled on ...

2008-10-16T13:50:00.001-04:00

Hilarious:

Joe the Plumber's name is misspelled on the voter logs (Wor . . instead of Wur). So, if the Reps challenge to drop any inconsistencies in voter logs works, Joe may not be able to vote anyway!!!

Sean: gougef made a good point- make sure Brett ta...

2008-10-16T13:50:00.000-04:00

Sean: gougef made a good point- make sure Brett takes a photo when you pass on to Michelle my greetings and felicitations.

"Jack-be-numbskull" is more accurate, michy.

2008-10-16T13:48:00.003-04:00

"Jack-be-numbskull" is more accurate, michy.

There I've said it.

2008-10-16T13:48:00.002-04:00

There I've said it.

RCP national average is still O+6.8 which is what,...

2008-10-16T13:48:00.001-04:00

RCP national average is still O+6.8 which is what, less than 1.5% off the high water mark this week ?

3-4 weeks ago it was tied & Mac was up before that

plus the states & EV advantage is now even more favorable for Obama than perhaps at any time in the entire cycle

EV trends are all good

beside FL is going BLUE along with VA, so the game will be over by 8 PM based on resonable projections IMHO

I'm in love with Michelle Bernard on MSNBC.

2008-10-16T13:48:00.000-04:00

I'm in love with Michelle Bernard on MSNBC.