Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Where's the Roland Burris Poll?

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, ...

2009-10-09T08:17:45.117-04:00

酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店經紀,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店工作,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
菲
梵,

豆豆聊天室 aio交友愛情館 2008真情寫真 2009真情寫真 aa片免費看捷克論壇微風論壇 ...

2009-03-28T05:06:00.000-04:00

豆豆聊天室 aio交友愛情館 2008真情寫真 2009真情寫真 aa片免費看捷克論壇微風論壇大眾論壇 plus論壇 080視訊聊天室情色視訊交友90739 美女交友-成人聊天室色情小說做愛成人圖片區豆豆色情聊天室 080豆豆聊天室小辣妹影音交友網台中情人聊天室桃園星願聊天室高雄網友聊天室新中台灣聊天室中部網友聊天室嘉義之光聊天室基隆海岸聊天室中壢網友聊天室南台灣聊天室南部聊坊聊天室台南不夜城聊天室南部網友聊天室屏東網友聊天室台南網友聊天室屏東聊坊聊天室雲林網友聊天室大學生BBS聊天室網路學院聊天室屏東夜語聊天室孤男寡女聊天室一網情深聊天室心靈饗宴聊天室流星花園聊天室食色男女色情聊天室真愛宣言交友聊天室情人皇朝聊天室上班族成人聊天室上班族f1影音視訊聊天室哈雷視訊聊天室 080影音視訊聊天室 38不夜城聊天室援交聊天室080 080哈啦聊天室台北已婚聊天室已婚廣場聊天室夢幻家族聊天室摸摸扣扣同學會聊天室 520情色聊天室 QQ成人交友聊天室免費視訊網愛聊天室愛情公寓免費聊天室拉子性愛聊天室柔情網友聊天室哈啦影音交友網哈啦影音視訊聊天室櫻井莉亞三點全露寫真集 123上班族聊天室尋夢園上班族聊天室成人聊天室上班族 080上班族聊天室 6k聊天室粉紅豆豆聊天室 080豆豆聊天網新豆豆聊天室 080聊天室免費音樂試聽流行音樂試聽免費aa片試看免費a長片線上看色情貼影片免費a長片本土成人貼圖站大台灣情色網台灣男人幫論壇 A圖網嘟嘟成人電影網火辣春夢貼圖網情色貼圖俱樂部台灣成人電影絲襪美腿樂園 18美女貼圖區柔情聊天網 707網愛聊天室聯盟台北69色情貼圖區 38女孩情色網台灣映像館波波成人情色網站美女成人貼圖區無碼貼圖力量色妹妹性愛貼圖區日本女優貼圖網日本美少女貼圖區亞洲風暴情色貼圖網哈啦聊天室美少女自拍貼圖辣妹成人情色網台北女孩情色網辣手貼圖情色網 AV無碼女優影片男女情色寫真貼圖 a片天使俱樂部萍水相逢遊戲區平水相逢遊戲區免費視訊交友90739 免費視訊聊天辣妹視訊 - 影音聊天網 080視訊聊天室日本美女肛交美女工廠貼圖區百分百貼圖區亞洲成人電影情色網台灣本土自拍貼圖網麻辣貼圖情色網好色客成人圖片貼圖區 711成人AV貼圖區台灣美女貼圖區筱萱成人論壇咪咪情色貼圖區 momokoko同學會視訊 kk272視訊情色文學小站成人情色貼圖區嘟嘟成人網嘟嘟情人色網 - 貼圖區免費色情a片下載台灣情色論壇成人影片分享免費視訊聊天區微風成人論壇 kiss文學區 taiwankiss文學區

情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...

2009-01-16T04:36:00.000-05:00

Tomica Minichamps Mini-Z Kyosho Futaba RCtank Chor...

2009-01-08T22:44:00.000-05:00

Tomica Minichamps
Mini-Z Kyosho Futaba RCtank Choro-Q Ebbro Tiger I Silyerlit Radiocontrol
Tamiya Tomy Cars Model Tamiya Ebbro Kyosho Mini-Z Tomica .
. .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Tomica
Tomica
Tomica
Tomica
Minichamps
Minichamps
Minichamps
Minichamps
Minichamps
Mini-Z
Mini-Z
Mini-Z
Mini-Z
Kyosho
Kyosho
Kyosho
Kyosho
Kyosho
Futaba
Futaba
Futaba
Futaba
Choro-Q
Choro-Q
Choro-Q
Choro-Q
Ebbro
Ebbro
Ebbro
Ebbro
Ebbro
Ebbro

Tomica
MIni-Z
Minichamps
Choro-Q
Kyosho
Tiger I
RC tank
RC bearing
car model
Futaba
Tomica
Minichamps
Tiger I
Tomica
Minichamps
Choro-Q
Mini-Z
Kyosho
Futaba
RC tank
Minichamps
Mini-Z
Tomica
Kyosho
Minichamps
Futaba
Choro-Q
Tomica
Mini-Z
Tomica
Minichamps
Tomica
Mini-Z
Kyosho
Minichamps
RC Tank
RC Tank
Mini-Z
Tomica
Mini-Z
Minichamps
Futaba
Futaba
Tomica
Minichamps
Mini-Z
Futaba
Mini-Z
Futaba
Tomica
Kyosho
Mini-Z
Tomica
MIni-Z
Futaba
Mini-Z
RC Tank
Futaba
Minichamps
Mini-Z
Mini-Z
Futaba
Futaba
RC Tank
RC Tank

@Nate - Turn this poll thing off. It is making my...

2009-01-06T22:20:00.000-05:00

@Nate - Turn this poll thing off. It is making my browser go crazy.

Burris is a cruel joke, a parting "screw you" from...

2009-01-06T21:33:00.000-05:00

Burris is a cruel joke, a parting "screw you" from Blago. Whatever happens, they must crush this insect so that he is invisible in the special election.

No way should Burris be seated.1. Seating him is n...

2009-01-06T19:16:00.000-05:00

No way should Burris be seated.

1. Seating him is not "legal" because the US Constitution gives the Senate sole authority over its own rules. The Senate can and should pass a resolution recognizing the special circumstances and barring any Blago appointment, also following Bush v. Gore in saying the decision has no precedent status.

2. Seating him is not politically helpful because any Burris vote would drive away other votes. Moderate Republicans and Dems from red districts will not want to be tarnished with a high "Burris rating."

here's what the democratic senate leadership needs...

2009-01-06T18:04:00.000-05:00

here's what the democratic senate leadership needs to do- they should have some dog & pony show ("hearings") re: Burris himself, not Blago. If he doesn't have any skeletons in his closet that would cause him to drop out, they should agree to seat him but then deny him party funds for the 2010 primary- in other words that contest will be treated like an open seat, though he's welcome to run for reelection.

I believe Democratic strategy is to make a show of...

2009-01-06T16:52:00.000-05:00

I believe Democratic strategy is to make a show of not seating Burris with a lame legal argument that they know will be overturned by the courts. Then, when the courts say he has to be seated, they will can say, "we tried, but had no choice." Meanwhile they get to add to their caucus in the Senate.
It also gives them political cover to provisionally seat Franken until Coleman's court challenge is resolved. When the Republicans inevitably claim the Dems are illegitimately stacking the Senate in their favor, they can say, "if that was the case, we would have accepted Burris' appointment." Legally speaking, they could accept it if they want to. Their refusal is on principal, not on legality.

Seat Burris. 1. He would make a fine senator. 2. T...

2009-01-06T16:14:00.000-05:00

Seat Burris. 1. He would make a fine senator. 2. There is absolutely no evidence of the seat being sold to him. 3. Blago has not been convicted of anything and is still governor, so he is LEGALLY PERMITTED AND REQUIRED to pick a replacement for Obama.

Burris will be seated, whether the Senate likes it or not. They cannot legally refuse to seat him.

Looks like USA Today did a poll:Interest in the [B...

2009-01-06T14:48:00.000-05:00

Looks like USA Today did a poll:

Interest in the [Burris] dispute is high — six in 10 are following it closely — and support for Burris is scant. By nearly 2-1, 51% to 27%, those surveyed say the Senate should block him from taking his seat. A similar majority, 52%, say Illinois should hold a special election as soon as possible to fill the office.

It's clear Americans don't want Burris to be seate...

2009-01-06T13:45:00.000-05:00

It's clear Americans don't want Burris to be seated becase he's actually black unlike Obama. So much for you guys 'moving on from slavery'!

My own view is that he should be seated, but ideal...

2009-01-06T13:41:00.000-05:00

My own view is that he should be seated, but ideally after B-Rod has left office and his replacement has re-appointed Burris. I don't know if Pat Quinn would appoint Burris, but genuinely I think that would be the best way out of this whole mess.

1) As a matter of settled law and the language of...

2009-01-06T12:08:00.000-05:00

1) As a matter of settled law and the language of the Seventeenth Amendment, the Secretary of State serves as a notary in this case confirming that the Governor did in fact appoint the person named in the certificate. The writ of mandamus will be issued. The only question is whether the Illinois Supreme Court acts quickly or delays to give the political actors time to resolve this.

2) The complaint and probable cause statement in U.S. vs. Blagojevich gives reasonable grounds for an investigation by the Senate Rules Committee into the validity of this appointment.

3) The complaint and probable cause statement in U.S. vs. Blagojevich do not prove that the appointment is actually invalid. Thus, if the investigation does not reveal evidence (and we do not know everything that Fitzgerald has, only what he has publicly disclosed) that Burris participated in Blago's illegal scheme, he must be seated.

Basically, the Senate can table this for five or six weeks at which time Reid can graciously step back from the brink.

There is no logical reason not to seat Burris.Clea...

2009-01-06T11:39:00.000-05:00

There is no logical reason not to seat Burris.

Clearly, the SoS signature represents a notary type function. The governor is doing the appointing, not the SoS. Are we going to allow ANY SoS to block an appointment he doesn't agree with?

Every argument I've seen AGAINST seating him either argues that the appointment is tainted (because the governor has been accused, but not indicted, of wrongdoing), or because it is bad for democrats. The former assumes guilt without trial. Neither has any legal basis that I can understand.

Regarding who gets seated in the Obama VACANT IL U...

2009-01-06T11:29:00.000-05:00

Regarding who gets seated in the Obama VACANT IL US Senate Seat.

If the replacement US Senator for Obama's US Senate Seat has to be Black and a strong general election candidate- It will be Dan Seals- the 2006/2008 Democratic US House Nominee in IL-10CD- The Northern Suburban Chicago District- which Moderate Republicans such as John Porter and Mark Kirk held for almost 30 years combined. Seals recieved 47% in both of his losing races against Kirk. Seals has the similar persona of Obama- Being mixed race,highly educated,family man,working in the Academic and Business community.

If the replacement candidate has to be a strong progessive who can win in the general election- It will be Jan Schakowsky. A White Jewish female who has support from Emily's List and AIPAC.

In answer to a long ago question the replacement o...

2009-01-06T10:10:00.000-05:00

In answer to a long ago question the replacement of a senator is first covered by the 17th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. It provides for an election or, in the alternative, appointment by the "executive" (i.e. the Governor) if the state legislature so provides. The Illinois legislature has so provided. Neither the amendment nor Statute provide for when the appointment becomes valid suggesting other law covers this point. Both require the counter signature of the Secretary of State. Senate Standing Rule II requires that the document of appointment contain the Secretary's signature. Because of the wording of the Illinois Statute describing the duties of the Secretary, some (little) wiggle room remains as to whether he acts as a "notary" (ministerial act) or has some discretion in counter signing and affixing the state seal.

Passing a statute removing the power from the Governor would have been a futile act because of his veto power and power to "pocket" the legislation for a considerable period of time before he had to veto it.

This poll is scientific in the same sense that I a...

2009-01-06T09:09:00.000-05:00

This poll is scientific in the same sense that I am an astronaut because I like looking at the stars on a clear night.

I've so far managed to vote twice, and will probably vote a few more times before the remaining 17 hours are up. AS long as I delete the cookie it places o my comp after I cast a vote, I can vote as many times as I want. Mwa ha ha.

Burris comes off pretty well when he speaks on the...

2009-01-06T09:03:00.000-05:00

Burris comes off pretty well when he speaks on the RMS (msNBC)- She has given him a lot of air time and yes he is enjoying his 15 minutes but HE IS NOT a serious liability.
1) He wont make policy.
2) He will be available for every vote.
3)He will support BHO on every vote.
4)He doesn't want to be a seat warmer, but too bad for him. If BHO's plans are working in 2010 a stronger Progressive candidate will get the seat.

Just seat him so the Blaga Saga moves to backstage.

BTW-I do not even want to think about 2010 if BHO's plans are not working by then:((((
If they are- DC to NYC in 1.5 hours by train in 2012:)))) "GOT HOPE?"

seat him. No more drama

2009-01-06T08:55:00.000-05:00

seat him. No more drama

I have no idea whether he SHOULD be seated or not....

2009-01-06T07:24:00.000-05:00

I have no idea whether he SHOULD be seated or not. Both options have downsides politically and ethically. But I suspect he WILL be seated because otherwise a precedent will be set for keeping people out of the senate whom the majority in the senate don't like. It is fine to keep people out who are eg felons, but you can't keep someone out just because you wish the situation was different.

On Coleman/Franken - the reason Coleman wants to keep this going is to keep Republicans for ever believing the election was stolen. Democrats believe the 2000 presidential election was stolen and no argument will convince them otherwise. (Of course, the two cases are different, because the 2000 election really was stolen, while this one looks kosher to me). But people will judge MN on their overall world view, not on the actual FACTS of the matter).

Oh, and Statler - any more Benedict jokes out there? And how did the fasting go?

Kurt-Yes, the poll is "unscientific" as that short...

2009-01-06T07:09:00.000-05:00

Kurt-

Yes, the poll is "unscientific" as that short-hand is often used to describe experiments (or polls) that can come to no statistically significant conclusion.

PorridgeGun, I generally like your posts but maybe...

2009-01-06T07:06:00.000-05:00

PorridgeGun, I generally like your posts but maybe you were drunk when you said:

"In the spirit of "bipartisanship" Obama is gonna plunge the country deeper into the Bush recession, and soon to be depression, by making concessions to the scum on the stimulus package. What does it matter if he falls a vote short of 80?"

The country may well go deeper into depression as the retail house of cards implodes in the first quartr, that said - cutting payroll taxes for folks who will actually spend is THE PERFECT answer to this problem. The infrastructure spending helps with "hard" businesses and jobs and the tax cut to sonsumers helps with "soft" business and jobs. The pl;an is damn near perfect.

Will it work? Who knows, Bush has put us in a place we have never been. Bernanke seems to get it though, go Ben!

Schakowsky becomes the Democratic Nominee in the 2...

2009-01-06T05:23:00.000-05:00

Schakowsky becomes the Democratic Nominee in the 2009 Special Election. She wins the General Election in November 2009 defeating Mark Kirk. Gets seated on November 2009. Schakowsky gets re-elected for a first full term in November 2010.

Sen. Schakowsky retires in 2016, the First Lady runs for the seat and wins by an even bigger margin than the President in 2004. Perfect!

Ideally, whichever Dem wins in 2010, he or she will be close to Obama. Burris, like Blagojevich, is already a huge pain in the arse. Seating him only increases the chances of a competitive race in 2010.

Saying that, the chances of the scum winning Obama's seat is unthinkable, especially with Illinois' favourite son campaigning for the Democratic candidate.

No way they should seat Burrris, he's a fucking em...

2009-01-06T05:02:00.000-05:00

No way they should seat Burrris, he's a fucking embarassment to himself nevermind his state. And apparently Obama doesn't need his vote anyway. In the spirit of "bipartisanship" Obama is gonna plunge the country deeper into the Bush recession, and soon to be depression, by making concessions to the scum on the stimulus package. What does it matter if he falls a vote short of 80?

Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Where's the Roland Burris Poll?

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, ...

豆豆聊天室 aio交友愛情館 2008真情寫真 2009真情寫真 aa片免費看 捷克論壇 微風論壇 ...

情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...

Tomica Minichamps Mini-Z Kyosho Futaba RCtank Chor...

@Nate - Turn this poll thing off. It is making my...

Burris is a cruel joke, a parting "screw you" from...

No way should Burris be seated.1. Seating him is n...

here's what the democratic senate leadership needs...

I believe Democratic strategy is to make a show of...

Seat Burris. 1. He would make a fine senator. 2. T...

Looks like USA Today did a poll:Interest in the [B...

It's clear Americans don't want Burris to be seate...

My own view is that he should be seated, but ideal...

1) As a matter of settled law and the language of...

There is no logical reason not to seat Burris.Clea...

Regarding who gets seated in the Obama VACANT IL U...

In answer to a long ago question the replacement o...

This poll is scientific in the same sense that I a...

Burris comes off pretty well when he speaks on the...

seat him. No more drama

I have no idea whether he SHOULD be seated or not....

Kurt-Yes, the poll is "unscientific" as that short...

PorridgeGun, I generally like your posts but maybe...

Schakowsky becomes the Democratic Nominee in the 2...

No way they should seat Burrris, he's a fucking em...

豆豆聊天室 aio交友愛情館 2008真情寫真 2009真情寫真 aa片免費看捷克論壇微風論壇 ...