Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Today's Polls, 9/29

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2009-03-12T03:07:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T03:06:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-08T22:55:00.000-05:00

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2009-01-18T07:41:00.000-05:00

For the love of...NO CAMPAIGN CAN SEND AN OFFICIAL...

2008-09-30T02:32:00.000-04:00

For the love of...

NO CAMPAIGN CAN SEND AN OFFICIAL BALLOT!!!

Ballots come from your local elections office. ANY ballot you receive from a campaign is invalid and designed to make you think you voted when you did not.

PLEASE - at the very least - CALL your state's Secretary of State or your local government elections office to verify any ballot you receive from a campaign. Also, please let them know what you received in the mail.

We know conservatives are, by nature, liars and cheats and frauds. It's in their DNA. Please don't become just another name on some Republic party sucker list.

Mr He, sir, word: if you were a marine you would k...

2008-09-30T01:56:00.000-04:00

Mr He, sir, word: if you were a marine you would know how to spell Semper Fi.

Obviously the numbers look real good right now but...

2008-09-30T01:38:00.000-04:00

Obviously the numbers look real good right now but we must be vigilant. Keep on fighting the good fight all the way until election day.

Make sure you and everyone you know is Registered To Vote

The Palin-effect will kick in and PA will flip to ...

2008-09-30T01:36:00.000-04:00

The Palin-effect will kick in and PA will flip to McCain--then the rest of the rust belt. These Numbers are great for McCain. Also the Bradley-effect is clear too.

Is it over yet? Make it all stop. Someone said to me today that the markets lost them $50k in their 401k. How is that going to help the Republicans--oh yeah it is Obama's link to Wershington and Fannie & Freddie. Clearly.

I think we know what the McCain & RNC strategy is ...

2008-09-30T01:14:00.000-04:00

I think we know what the McCain & RNC strategy is for the next five weeks; All vitriol, all the time.

I think we'll get a clue as to how the Dems will respond by Biden's posture at the debate Thursday. I think he should "go easy" on Palin by ignoring her and attacking McCain at every opportunity.

I would love to hear him use (and he does have experience using other peoples's words) a famous colloquy in the British House Of Commons from about 60 years ago. If he is being asked why he is ignoring Palin, he can do the same thing as a Labor Member did during a question period. He had directed a question about one of the cabinet departments to Prime Minister Churchhill. When challenged as to why he hadn't directed his question to the Minister of that Department (which is what pprotocol strongly suggested), he replied that rather than question to monkey he'd question the organ drinder.

(Not that he should do that, but it's fun remembering those classic insult. If anyone likes such, they should look for a series of books by Nancy McPhee, a Canadian who put out several compilations of classic insults)

I love the Bristish question period. The government (prime minister and the cbinet) and required to answer questions on the floor of the House of Commons. I think they do it once a week.

The "Freeptards" are really freaking out. Some ar...

2008-09-30T01:09:00.000-04:00

The "Freeptards" are really freaking out. Some are clinging to hope that all the polls are wrong, but most are just clinging to their guns and religion. They absolutely love the Battleground poll.

Don't feel sorry for those people Jen. They are s...

2008-09-30T01:01:00.000-04:00

Don't feel sorry for those people Jen. They are some of the most Xenophobic, semi racist, anti-intellectual people on the internet. True occasionally you'll find one of them that is somewhat rational, but, well, some of them also truly think that Obama is the next Stalin or something...

"Freeptards!!! My g'ma always said... you can't re...

2008-09-30T00:53:00.000-04:00

"Freeptards!!! My g'ma always said... you can't reason with stupid but I'm still thinking about stirring that pot o' stupid."

I wouldn't; you might get something on your shoe.

nc_voter-I have never gone there before. There wer...

2008-09-30T00:52:00.000-04:00

nc_voter-

I have never gone there before. There were some posters that were somewhat rational. There were some that were funny crazy, some scary crazy, but all need to master basic grammar.

I feel kind of bad for them. I remember how I felt when it should have been clear that Kerry was not going to win. I grasped at a few straws too.

Freeptards!!! My g'ma always said... you can't re...

2008-09-30T00:45:00.000-04:00

Freeptards!!! My g'ma always said... you can't reason with stupid but I'm still thinking about stirring that pot o' stupid.

The fat lady has not yet sung, and she still has o...

2008-09-30T00:42:00.000-04:00

The fat lady has not yet sung, and she still has over a month to get on stage.

Lots can happened between now and November 4. I hope the trends for Obama continue, but I am very cautious.

Ok, folks: I know things are looking nice for Mr....

2008-09-30T00:36:00.001-04:00

Ok, folks: I know things are looking nice for Mr. O, but we've all been burned too many times by the nasty GOP machine to be complacent.

Reality check: remember, there are a whole lot of folks out there who will always give a sympathetic ear to the "American Hero" McCain, and that provides any number of potential openings for them. And racism certainly ain't dead (not that I believe in a Bradley Effect, but I definitely think that Obama will hit a ceiling at some point--but hopefully not too low in too many swing states).

Never underestimate the ingenuity of the Rovian operators at the GOP. They will keep making stuff up until they find something that works. It is a million years till Nov. 4.

If anyone is bored, The freeptards are still in de...

2008-09-30T00:36:00.000-04:00

If anyone is bored, The freeptards are still in denial

Same ignorant "MARXIST HUSSEIN!!!" bullshit, and same idiots still thinking the "bradley affect!!11!!" isn't being accounted for.

It's going to be quite humorous to see what happens there after election day...

Jen: :)Actually, some of the posts at NRO blaming ...

2008-09-30T00:30:00.000-04:00

Jen: :)
Actually, some of the posts at NRO blaming one of the banks for touting its diversity record at the same times as it was failing financially did toss around the gay thing here and there, so they weren't able to resist it completely.
And on FreeRepublic, since Barney Frank is so much in the news these days, they can't discuss him there without throwing in a "f@ggot" or "child-molester" now and again. Too well-trained by the haters.

torrentprime-Why ever would anyone think that the ...

2008-09-30T00:27:00.000-04:00

torrentprime-

Why ever would anyone think that the rich old white dudes were at fault for a failure in the financial industry they dominate?

It is clearly the fault of Mexicans and blacks.

I think the Republicans are getting soft. They left out the gays and the feminists.

Of course, i'll be watching when history happens a...

2008-09-30T00:19:00.000-04:00

Of course, i'll be watching when history happens and my beloved NC goes blue for the first time in thirty two years.

Despite what the GOOPer trolls have been saying for the last two months, Obama WILL be rewriting the map for dems for years to come...

Not being able to name a SCOTUS case besides Roe v...

2008-09-30T00:16:00.001-04:00

Not being able to name a SCOTUS case besides Roe v Wade wouldn't be an absolute deal-breaker for me. But I'll just bet she was ranting about unelected activist judges legislating from the bench, when Katie called her on it. Not to be able to name a single instance, other than Roe, of such activism would be pretty lame.

We will know the fate of Virginia at sometime arou...

2008-09-30T00:16:00.000-04:00

We will know the fate of Virginia at sometime around 8pm on election day IIRC.

If it's blue (which it looks more and more like it will be), then us Dems can break open the champagne, and the repubs can break out the hard stuff, because it's going to be a long night for them...

Desperation alert, my friends:The newest meme on t...

2008-09-30T00:15:00.001-04:00

Desperation alert, my friends:
The newest meme on the right is that ACORN, community organizing, and subprime mortgages (read: colored people who don't pay back their loans) caused the current financial crisis. Rush Limbaugh talked about it today, NRO's running around the edge of it, Free Republic is full of it, and I've seen McCain's Zombie Blog Posters dropping comments on news sites all over the country. That is the last/final push they're going with: the stock market crash, the financial crisis, the economic problems are not only not the GOP's or Bush's fault: they can be specifically blamed on Obama and other minorities who forced Congress to relax lending standards to make the banks give loans to people who couldn't afford them. Those people (and "those people" includes illegal immigrants) didn't pay them back, and the markets crashed.

Racism is the last card they have left, it seems.

Is there any point at which other states, like Mon...

2008-09-30T00:15:00.000-04:00

Is there any point at which other states, like Montana and Arizona (say), start to turn into battleground states?

The reason I ask is because it looks like Obama is taking all states that aren't the reddest of reds. It doesn't look like there's a whole helluva lot of polling in the McCain-locked states. Makes sense, of course, but it'd be nice to track the trends internal to the red states too.

I mean, I used to live in Arizona. Sure, there are a lot of republicans there; and sure, it's McCain's home state.... but it's possible that he could lose it, even though there's a ten point spread.

When I look at the reddest of reds, I just think about how much I can't believe that they're that red. They must have fricking blinders on. McCain and Palin are so fucking stupid, they're making me stupid just for listening to them.

If NC is really in 'toss-up' territory with just a...

2008-09-30T00:14:00.000-04:00

If NC is really in 'toss-up' territory with just a month to go...its time for a serious 'uh-oh' moment from our friendly elephant lovers. Now, their exact words may be a bit more colorful.