Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Reassurance for Dems in NBC/WSJ Survey

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2009-10-02T08:01:52.073-04:00

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2009-10-02T08:00:14.007-04:00

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2009-04-06T13:14:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T21:43:00.000-04:00

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2009-02-09T01:51:00.000-05:00

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2009-02-08T22:55:00.000-05:00

Someone please explain. The 11/2 posting is about ...

2008-11-03T14:50:00.000-05:00

Someone please explain. The 11/2 posting is about the accuracy of the NBC/WSJ poll, and about cellphone polling which includes info on NBC/WSJ. But I don't see NBC/WSJ in any of the polling tables, nor in the pollster evaluation table. Does it go by another name?

LOL. Hey CNN! John King. You guys don't look th...

2008-11-03T12:43:00.000-05:00

LOL. Hey CNN! John King. You guys don't look that old. Well, maybe Wolfe. Get in step. The culture has changed. Just like the old thinking that Dems are big government. Repubs proved that wrong didn't they with the largest spending spree we have seen putting us right into socialism. On heels of a 10 Trill deficit when we had a 5 + Surplus 8 years ago. Why is there even a contest. Time for change guys.

Signed a Registered Independent.

Intriguing FYI -- Neil Newhouse's biz partner in P...

2008-11-03T09:54:00.000-05:00

Intriguing FYI -- Neil Newhouse's biz partner in Public Opinion Strategies is....wait for it..... Bill McInturff (McCain's pollster). I would doubt the 2 of them have such divergent polling #s for McInturff's upbeat memo of last week to be true.

This is the way the Republicans fall, not with a b...

2008-11-03T09:22:00.000-05:00

This is the way the Republicans fall,

not with a bang,

but with a whimper.

Can you say,

John McCain and the economy

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TuhpO9xG2MY

The University of Cincinnati's Ohio Poll today put...

2008-11-03T08:42:00.000-05:00

The University of Cincinnati's Ohio Poll today puts the race at 51.5 percent for Obama, 45.7 percent for McCain, outside the margin of error.

University of Cincinnati: From Oct. 29 through Nov. 2, surveyed 1,308 probable voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent.

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op110308.pdf

http://blog.cleveland.com/openers/2008/11/final_ohio_polls_put_obama_as.html

"The people who are nervous don't need reassurance...

2008-11-03T08:28:00.000-05:00

"The people who are nervous don't need reassurance about the polls reflecting public opinion, they need reassurance that what is shown in the polls will be reflected in turnout and won't be undermined by the Republicans' numerous methods of vote suppression."

Quite correct. Between a 36-hour barrage of Jeremiah Wright screaming "god damn America," widespread vote suppression, and outright fraud, the polls will turn out to have been "wrong all the while," and McCain will have mounted "the greatest comeback in the history of American politics."

The only solace I am taking in this debacle is that the next President will be the most hated man (or woman) in America in 2012.

There is a 5 point discrepency between cell phone ...

2008-11-03T07:28:00.000-05:00

There is a 5 point discrepency between cell phone polls and no cell phones? Something is going to break one way or the other. Let's just hope it's the cellphone polls way.

Soccer Mum - glad to see another Aussie on here. I...

2008-11-03T05:05:00.000-05:00

Soccer Mum - glad to see another Aussie on here. I'm currently living in Bosnia and am following this US election with bated breath and a lot of hope.

The night that Howard lost both the election and his seat (brilliant) was just joyful and I hope you Americans get to share that joy.

Will people be posting on here t/out the evening? It'll be midnight CET here before anything starts to happen but I'm planning an afternoon nap and then an all night vigil where I'll no doubt be going from the TV screen to the computer and wondering where is best to keep track of what is happening. Then the next day I'll go to Free Republic to (hopefully) enjoy the schaudenfruede (sp?) of the horrible and often insane seeming people there gnashing their teeth and rending their garments.

Anyway, best of luck Yanks - I'm rooting for you, and if you know anything about Australia you'd know it is VERY rare that we would use that American term given what it means back home.

PS The Cup horse I backed before I left home got scratched so I can't even use that as a diversion.

(I know, I was really kidding...but not about Oliv...

2008-11-03T04:34:00.000-05:00

(I know, I was really kidding...but not about Olivia Newton John! ha ha)

Seriously, I think we need some Immigration Control going on for Australia. Just because they're white and speak English. Sheesh!

Now, honestly, that's about as Xenophobic as a liberal can get. There's a whole "through the looking glass" thing going on here. Maybe we're talking Mayan Prophecy or something big like that, I don't know. It was encouraging when "Blue Dogs" came about in 2006. I think that there is that populist "Joe the HVAC Technician" whoops, "Plumber" vein of thinking that the GOP has just about monopolized, yet, with skill, determination, and message, it is transmutable. It's starting to happen. Reagan hypnotized blue collar people into thinking he had their interests at heart. Time to wake up from the hypnosis and get our country back on track. This little foray into NeoCon imperialism might be fixable too. Thank God for people like Jim Webb.

I was told by my parents that in Florida, when the...

2008-11-03T04:30:00.000-05:00

I was told by my parents that in Florida, when the Dems were in power, it was even wors

Did they also tell you there's a bearded guy in the sky who loves you so much that he will make you suffer for all eternity if you don't kiss his ass?

Whether they did or not, people aren't reliable authorities just because they're your parents.

wv: delying -- correcting lies?

New poll thread, McCain back down to 3.7%. Now the...

2008-11-03T04:28:00.000-05:00

New poll thread, McCain back down to 3.7%. Now the paranoid ignoramuses can go to sleep, and I will too.

I was told by my parents that in Florida, when the...

2008-11-03T04:26:00.000-05:00

I was told by my parents that in Florida, when the Dems were in power, it was even wors

WV: skies

Blue SKIES, smiling at me, nothing but blue SKIES, do I see!

Maybe the word you were looking for was "typical"....

2008-11-03T04:22:00.000-05:00

Maybe the word you were looking for was "typical".

He's also implying that, because it's supposedly "legitimate"/typical, we should have Dem secs of state who do the same thing in reverse. Like I said, it's a very Republican way of thinking.

Rupert is a US citizen and News Corp moved from Ad...

2008-11-03T04:21:00.000-05:00

Rupert is a US citizen and News Corp moved from Adelaide to Delaware afterwards.

Mel was born in the USA and Olivia in the UK. And Nicole Kidman was born in Hawaii.

We are very selective about who gets to be one of us.

No, it is my prerogative to tell Rupert Murdoch an...

2008-11-03T04:19:00.001-05:00

No, it is my prerogative to tell Rupert Murdoch and his ilk to FUCK OFF. It is my prerogative to fight this corporate jerk-off nitwit network by every means possible. Culture war? That's merely a fabrication and twisting of what is really, truly, an Information War.

Just don't watch? Hell no, I read that Lao-tzu Art o' War character- and he said: "This is so the Second Coming!"... or, maybe it was "Know Thy Enemy".

Rick,You are suggesting that the current administr...

2008-11-03T04:19:00.000-05:00

Rick,

You are suggesting that the current administration was ever interested in "serving the people democratically" and not their own interests.

wv: enthyos (try #1) - a city near Atlantis or Cheerios to the nth degree
wv: WYessead (try #2) - as in WYsilla

While it was a pretty rude responseWhat was rude w...

2008-11-03T04:18:00.000-05:00

While it was a pretty rude response

What was rude was to tell me that I "misunderstood" him when in fact he's too illiterate to express himself intelligibly. And of course his idiotic "perfect world" strawman was even more rude. People that dishonest don't deserve respect.

el osoLoved the video, especially the part where J...

2008-11-03T04:15:00.001-05:00

el oso

Loved the video, especially the part where Joe the Plumber was going to have his voting rights challenged by caging.