Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: 538 on The Colbert Report

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, ...

2009-10-03T04:12:55.458-04:00

酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店經紀,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店工作,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
菲
梵,

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, ...

2009-10-03T04:11:24.127-04:00

^^ very nice 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社, 徵信, 徵信社,徵信, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T05:50:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T05:50:00.000-04:00

情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...

2009-01-17T05:30:00.000-05:00

Most excellent interview. You - and everyone here...

2008-10-27T09:05:00.000-04:00

Most excellent interview. You - and everyone here - will appreciate:

www.buttheadpolice.com

Vote for extreme buttheads like McCain and Palin to get asses stamped on their heads. Spread the word. Buttheads will roll!!!

Nice. What happened at 4:36-4:39 though?

2008-10-27T01:03:00.000-04:00

Nice. What happened at 4:36-4:39 though?

Nate, you looked like you had a halo. The globe be...

2008-10-27T00:09:00.000-04:00

Nate, you looked like you had a halo. The globe behind your head seemed to give off a glow.

theblahgirl, I'll fight you for Nate's hand in mar...

2008-10-26T23:50:00.000-04:00

theblahgirl, I'll fight you for Nate's hand in marriage. There's nothing sexier than an inordinate love for accurate polling and an appearance on the Colbert Report.

Just wanted to compliment you on the "Seattle Pilo...

2008-10-26T20:56:00.000-04:00

Just wanted to compliment you on the "Seattle Pilots" line. Colbert doesn't crack up often and you managed it with that one. Good work!

Nate - Love your work, but your prediction on jetp...

2008-10-26T19:30:00.000-04:00

Nate - Love your work, but your prediction on jetpacks might be a bit pessimistic. You can put down a deposit now. Go to martinjetpack.com for look. It's a real think. I've flown it.

Petedownunder

I still think Obama takes Missouri, Indiana, Flori...

2008-10-26T18:13:00.000-04:00

I still think Obama takes Missouri, Indiana, Florida, North Carolina, Montana and even North Dakota. Indiana may be very close though.

O: 381 vs. M: 157

Big question for me is Georgia. I think it is closer than the data even show. Democracy Corps may have called it best.

Just opinions, but I get to have them.

Does Rasmussen include cell phone only? If not, then the closing speech could bring Georgia into play. If Georgia goes down, political tsunami. Eight on the Richter scale.

Those Gallup charts are fascinating. If I had to p...

2008-10-26T18:11:00.000-04:00

Those Gallup charts are fascinating. If I had to pick a best fit comparrison to this year I would go for 1940 actually. FDR opens out significant lead in September that Wilkie never really closed, and a late tick up in polling for Wilkie proved a false dawn as FDR won easily.

mygonses is my verification word- my fave so far.

mysticlaker:The Ambinder article says:Pennsylvania...

2008-10-26T18:06:00.000-04:00

mysticlaker:

The Ambinder article says:

Pennsylvania will see a lot of Sen. John McCain and Gov. Sarah Palin next week.

Given the size of the rallies, though, Pennsylvanians won't see a lot of Mc/P next week . . .

Oooof--Mc win percentage down to 3.3That's the low...

2008-10-26T18:03:00.000-04:00

Oooof--Mc win percentage down to 3.3

That's the lowest yet, no?

brian said...The 1 McCain landslide scenario disap...

2008-10-26T18:02:00.001-04:00

brian said...
The 1 McCain landslide scenario disappearing is GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!1!!!.

?????????

I think that in a way this is quite like 1980 in r...

2008-10-26T18:02:00.000-04:00

I think that in a way this is quite like 1980 in reverse. I think that any movement that happens late might well be for Obama, but 1996 is a good shout, I remember the polls being fairly stable that year to.

I'd be fascinated if it was possible to draw any parallels between this election and the 1932 elction. (Though I believe its right that Polling hadn't started by then).

I can't wait to see the Battle of PA next week!!! ...

2008-10-26T18:01:00.000-04:00

I can't wait to see the Battle of PA next week!!! This is great news for John McCain.

The evidence these GOP posters cite are incredible...

2008-10-26T17:59:00.001-04:00

The evidence these GOP posters cite are incredible.

The polls maybe have shown tiny movement towards McCain today, but what weekend has that NOT happened? His average is actually higher this sunday than last sunday.

The race is not tightening. If McCain can be happy going down from 8.2 to 8 then by all means, but reality it setting in with the states. Obama has Kerry + IA,NM,CO and perhaps now even VA and NV.

Where does the map show McCain closing? He has closed up perhaps MO and WV.

I guess they are not following Nate's strategy.htt...

2008-10-26T17:59:00.000-04:00

I guess they are not following Nate's strategy.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/palin_plans_pennsylvania_tour.php

interesting that Nate's stats show that even if Ob...

2008-10-26T17:58:00.001-04:00

interesting that Nate's stats show that even if Obama loses OH and Fl that he still wins the election 75% of the time...

For the masochists out there, here's the link to a...

2008-10-26T17:58:00.000-04:00

For the masochists out there, here's the link to a Mc page containing videos submitted by "real JTP"s.

http://www.johnmccain.com/content/default.aspx?guid=8b14b7cf-bf1f-4c3f-8ee3-dc6b68912742

my word is oventist: someone who studies ovents??

i thought there were 2 mccain landslide possibilit...

2008-10-26T17:56:00.001-04:00

i thought there were 2 mccain landslide possibilities?

1988..http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/Gallup-Pre...

2008-10-26T17:56:00.000-04:00

1988..

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/Gallup-Presidential-Election-TrialHeat-Trends-19362004.aspx#2

1976 has a ford surge...we haven't seen a hint of that yet.

The 1 McCain landslide scenario disappearing is GR...

2008-10-26T17:54:00.000-04:00

The 1 McCain landslide scenario disappearing is GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!1!!!.