Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Adventures in Lannyland

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2009-10-09T04:34:52.037-04:00

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2009-09-09T02:38:50.852-04:00

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2009-02-08T23:46:00.000-05:00

Hillary's crew wanted these early apostate primari...

2008-05-28T22:42:00.000-04:00

Hillary's crew wanted these early apostate primaries as they figured she would get huge margins (because of her universal name recognition) that she could use for bragging rights. And I'll bet they had a private chuckle at the "boys" taking their names off the ballot in MI – knowing they could argue later to "count every vote."

Remember Fla Dems laughed it up when the date was set and Gov Granholm, a Hillary 'girl' refused to veto the MI bill.

Well, getting 55% against uncommitted and barely 50% in Fla with her name recognition says she is not really attracting strong support.

We are watching the death throes of Bill's dream of being uber-lobbyist to the world - with the added benefit of the proceedings being tax free to them and secret – as his quid would be in the form of contributions to his library or his foundation.

Good will Ambassador to the world, wasn't that supposed to be his role? Plenty of time to meet with plenty of scumbags and assure them that he would transmit their concerns to the President or at least to the Vice- President.

Jr. Senator from NY doesn't have much cachet.

Hillary's second biggest mistake was not running for election in 2004. That was the last of the 20th century elections.

sam

MIles is correct. Davis' contract talk is gibberis...

2008-05-28T15:55:00.000-04:00

MIles is correct. Davis' contract talk is gibberish. Clearly an attempt to give some legal patina to nonsense in the hopes that the nice sounding words will make it sound intelligent.
Reminds me of Groucho and Chico deconstructing a contract in Day at the Opera. "There ain't no such thing as Sanity Clause."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Qi28gKs1_I

P.S. As they tell you in law school, "when the fac...

2008-05-28T02:39:00.000-04:00

P.S. As they tell you in law school, "when the facts are against you, bang on the law. When the law is against you, bang on the facts. When the facts are the law are both against you, bang on the table." Lanny's table banging is making a mighty loud noice.

Lanny's a gun for hire Washington lawyer who will ...

2008-05-28T01:22:00.000-04:00

Lanny's a gun for hire Washington lawyer who will argue for anyone who will pay his hourly fee of $700-$1000 dollars. As a lawyer, I can tell you that his contract/mitigation argument is a fantasy. There was no contract between the DNC and the Michigan and Florida Democratic parties so the concept of mitigation, even if it were factually true, which it is not, has absolutely no application.

I don't usually go this way but this is damn good ...

2008-05-28T00:45:00.000-04:00

I don't usually go this way but this is damn good work.

This is so good that, in your honor, I would have ...

2008-05-28T00:35:00.000-04:00

This is so good that, in your honor, I would have a pablano pepper if we had any around (all I can find are chilpotle in adobo sauce and, trust me, those cause regrets the next morning).

I don't know how I found this blog Poblano, but I ...

2008-05-28T00:10:00.000-04:00

I don't know how I found this blog Poblano, but I gotta say it:

YOU ROCK!!

You are the best math geek this side of Chuck Todd.

You really do rock!

I loathe Lanny Davis, so anyone who can cyber bitchslap him the way that you do is much appreciated.

Anonymous @ 8:22pm:The likely effect of the Michig...

2008-05-27T23:33:00.000-04:00

Anonymous @ 8:22pm:

The likely effect of the Michigan ruling you linked to is that the Michigan vote totals from January will most probably play little or no role in apportioning that state's delegates.

This ruling will probably make the RBC lean further toward a likely 50/50 split (or possibly the MDP's currently proposed 69-59 HRC-BHO split). I would also look for Michigan's delegation (including supers) to be cut in half, regardless of whatever apportionment compromise is reached.

A Michigan federal judge ruled that the Democratic...

2008-05-27T21:22:00.000-04:00

A Michigan federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary was unconstitutional: http://www.campaigndiaries.com/2008/03/michigan-makes-news-again.html.

How is that likely to affect the May 31 decision, if at all?

In what poblano correctly describes as Lanny's int...

2008-05-27T19:50:00.000-04:00

In what poblano correctly describes as Lanny's intellectually dishonest analysis, Lanny ignores another perhaps more important legal principle -- estoppel. It's a big, fancy term that basically means you can't take one position on something and then later flip-flop. You're bound by your initial position. As we all know, Clinton initially took the position that the Michigan and Florida primaries didn't count. (Of course, then she was shilling in Iowa and New Hampshire and didn't dare offend their first-in-the-nation status.) So she should now be estopped from taking any contrary position, especially when she is doing so because she wants to win, not because she cares about notions of procedural fairness.

I don't get it. If Lanny and Brian have a contract...

2008-05-27T16:51:00.000-04:00

I don't get it. If Lanny and Brian have a contract, and Lanny breaks it but offers a cure, how is that me standing in the way of the cure has anything to do with the price of Republicans on K Street?

Michigan/Florida broke their agreement with the DNC, so it's up to them to deal with the DNC. Neither Clinton nor Obama are party to the contract so the argument that they may not benefit from preventing the cure would seem to be bogus. It's the DNC which cannot benefit from preventing the cure, not the campaigns.