Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Tonight

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2009-03-12T04:16:00.001-04:00

^^ nice blog!! ^@^徵信, 徵信網, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵信社, 徵...

2009-03-12T04:16:00.000-04:00

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2009-01-18T05:40:00.000-05:00

Colbert came on in the background tonight, and I h...

2008-10-09T00:32:00.000-04:00

Colbert came on in the background tonight, and I heard from the other room something about statistics and elections, and was like "ooh, I hope it's Nate Silver". : )

I thought it was a great interview.

2008-10-08T10:25:00.000-04:00

I thought it was a great interview.

Good job! You were funny. Also, I like the fact th...

2008-10-08T02:59:00.000-04:00

Good job! You were funny. Also, I like the fact that you cracked up.

(but: shoulders out of the ears)

Must have been following you around tonight- becau...

2008-10-08T00:49:00.000-04:00

Must have been following you around tonight- because I saw the crazy lady with the "NOBama- Friends with terrorists" sign and the "ABC, NBC, MSNBC, Enemies" sign.

I'm sorry you had such a horrid experience in Tennessee... I can't speak for Belmont, but I promise the rest of our state is a pretty welcoming place.

Hope you stayed dry- unlike us.

Obama/ Biden '08

It just started.watching it now

2008-10-07T23:34:00.000-04:00

It just started.watching it now

I'm listening assmole

2008-10-07T21:03:00.000-04:00

I'm listening assmole

wolf blitzer is wearing a silver tie- goes well wi...

2008-10-07T21:02:00.000-04:00

wolf blitzer is wearing a silver tie- goes well with his beard.

you're such a hardass, sharp.

2008-10-07T21:00:00.000-04:00

you're such a hardass, sharp.

I'm not watching the debate. I already know how it...

2008-10-07T20:59:00.000-04:00

I'm not watching the debate. I already know how it goes.

But let me know if McBitter vomits or anything, OK?

eesh, can we all just talk nonsense here instead o...

2008-10-07T20:58:00.001-04:00

eesh, can we all just talk nonsense here instead of watching the debate?

assmole: get it back working already

2008-10-07T20:58:00.000-04:00

assmole: get it back working already

sharp: i'd love to bring it but it's on vacation.

2008-10-07T20:56:00.000-04:00

sharp: i'd love to bring it but it's on vacation.

someperson: he has no teeth, though. Could be grue...

2008-10-07T20:55:00.001-04:00

someperson: he has no teeth, though. Could be gruesome for the viewer if he smiles.

>>sharp: I know something harder than NC.bring it

2008-10-07T20:55:00.000-04:00

>>sharp: I know something harder than NC.

bring it

Nate you better learn to smile man.

2008-10-07T20:54:00.001-04:00

Nate you better learn to smile man.

@ericIts not just dem voters voting repub - that s...

2008-10-07T20:54:00.000-04:00

@eric

Its not just dem voters voting repub - that should get caught in advance by pollsters. Its dem voters simply not turning out in the numbers their registration suggest - that's when assuming pollsters have the lock on truth becomes dangerous.

Virginia I'm more hopeful about - although lack of party affiliation might make the pollsters job even more difficult!

was that the real nate hussein silver or the fake ...

2008-10-07T20:53:00.000-04:00

was that the real nate hussein silver or the fake one? and which one was/is on colbert?

sharp: I know something harder than NC.

Becky Sharp said... anyone going to comment on my ...

2008-10-07T20:51:00.000-04:00

Becky Sharp said...
anyone going to comment on my NC numbers? - took me ages, used my calculator and everything!

Certainly scary stuff with some merit. I'd tell you that I'm pretty sure, of the 50 states, North Carolina is the only one I know of with a huge Democratic Registration advantage where many of the Dems regularly vote Pub, to the point that it always goes Red in Prez elections. You might have a point. What do you think of virginia where folks don't register by party and two recent polls have Obama up 10 and 12?

@otfgood point - but I still wonder if it makes se...

2008-10-07T20:50:00.000-04:00

@otf

good point - but I still wonder if it makes sense for pollsters to assume actual turnout will be anything like statewide registration numbers suggest.

I guess that's where likely voters vs. registered voters comes into play

I'm usually the obnoxious one...geez, now nobody's...

2008-10-07T20:47:00.001-04:00

I'm usually the obnoxious one...geez, now nobody's going to pay any attention to me when I talk about kicking that nigger Obama's ass.

becky,First exit polls are notoriously inaccurate ...

2008-10-07T20:47:00.000-04:00

becky,

First exit polls are notoriously inaccurate for many reasons. The Dems had no chance of winning NC so Dem turnout was low, Kerry ran no ground game and ran no ads in NC. He didn't even contest it.

Nate,Please look up the id's of some of these clow...

2008-10-07T20:46:00.000-04:00

Nate,

Please look up the id's of some of these clowns who keep posting idiotic and vile stuff. They are and have ruined the comments section.

This thread has gotten intolerable. You MUST do something or people will leave.