<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post1233089889234464602..comments</id><updated>2010-03-17T09:28:06.948-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Back-of-envelope</title><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/feeds/1233089889234464602/comments/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html'/><author><name>Nate Silver</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/08334852368748204318</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>21</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-4973049091767828060</id><published>2010-03-17T09:28:06.940-04:00</published><updated>2010-03-17T09:28:06.940-04:00</updated><title type='text'>kene ilaçlama
kene ilaçlama
kene ilaçlama
kene ila...</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://www.garantiilaclama.com" title="kene ilaçlama" rel="nofollow"&gt;kene ilaçlama&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.prestijilaclama.com" title="kene ilaçlama" rel="nofollow"&gt;kene ilaçlama&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.acililaclama.com" title="kene ilaçlama" rel="nofollow"&gt;kene ilaçlama&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.cozumilaclama.net" title="kene ilaçlama" rel="nofollow"&gt;kene ilaçlama&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.pireilaclama.web.tr" title="kene ilaçlama" rel="nofollow"&gt;kene ilaçlama&lt;/a&gt;</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/4973049091767828060'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/4973049091767828060'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1268832486940#c4973049091767828060' title=''/><author><name>Böcek ilaçlama</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16120771090435062321</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-6056550702892329883</id><published>2009-10-09T06:14:07.585-04:00</published><updated>2009-10-09T06:14:07.585-04:00</updated><title type='text'>酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀, 
酒店經紀, 
禮服酒店上班, 
酒店小姐兼職, 
便服酒店經紀, 
...</title><content type='html'>&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀人&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/index-001.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;菲梵酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/index-001.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;禮服酒店上班&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店小姐兼職&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/index-001.html" rel="nofollow"&gt;便服酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店打工經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.wretch.cc/user/talon0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;制服酒店工作&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/talon061609" rel="nofollow"&gt;專業酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.yam.com/talon0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;合法酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://talon0616.pixnet.net/blog" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店暑假打工&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.freefun.com.tw/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店寒假打工&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/jw!llPXJbWGERvqSmnJjyxtZi8-/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀人&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/jw!llPXJbWGERvqSmnJjyxtZi8-/article?mid=1&amp;amp;prev=-1&amp;amp;next=289" rel="nofollow"&gt;菲梵酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/jw!llPXJbWGERvqSmnJjyxtZi8-/article?mid=288&amp;amp;prev=289&amp;amp;next=283" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/jw!llPXJbWGERvqSmnJjyxtZi8-/article?mid=283&amp;amp;prev=288&amp;amp;next=282" rel="nofollow"&gt;禮服酒店上班&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.wretch.cc/blog/talon0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀人&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.wretch.cc/blog/talon0616/21182056" rel="nofollow"&gt;菲梵酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://cid-28e72e39b1bdec6c.profile.live.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.xuite.net/talon0616/talon0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;禮服酒店上班&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.wretch.cc/blog/talon0616/21182005" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店小姐兼職&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.sina.com.tw/talon0616/" rel="nofollow"&gt;便服酒店工作&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://talon0616.blogspot.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店打工經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.roodo.com/talon0616/" rel="nofollow"&gt;制服酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/mico0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;專業酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.yam.com/mico0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;合法酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mico0616.pixnet.net/blog" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店暑假打工&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.wretch.cc/blog/talon0616/21192282" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店寒假打工&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/talon061609" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀人&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/talon061609" rel="nofollow"&gt;菲梵酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/talon061609" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mypaper.pchome.com.tw/news/talon061609" rel="nofollow"&gt;禮服酒店上班&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.roodo.com/mico0616" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店小姐兼職&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://cid-4961aa246c049b91.profile.live.com/?sa=643154984" rel="nofollow"&gt;便服酒店工作&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://mico0616.blogspot.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店打工經紀&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.sina.com.tw/mico0616/" rel="nofollow"&gt;制服酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://blog.udn.com/bobe5858/3287628" rel="nofollow"&gt;酒店經紀&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://bobe5858.pixnet.net/blog" rel="nofollow"&gt;菲&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="http://bobe5858.blogspot.com/" rel="nofollow"&gt;梵&lt;/a&gt;,</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6056550702892329883'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6056550702892329883'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1255083247585#c6056550702892329883' title=''/><author><name>freefun0616</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/04707998987768327827</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1063519893231808168</id><published>2009-02-10T22:00:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2009-02-10T22:00:00.000-05:00</updated><title type='text'>情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,情趣用品,...</title><content type='html'>&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/home.phtml" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258265" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=300129/#q15" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258267" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/forum.phtml?bbcode=" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258277" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78cf.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78kb.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78pl.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78bk.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://omb1.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6lv9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6lv6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ea9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ea6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ck9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ck6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://0lv0.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://0ea0.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://0ck0.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8bl8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8kb8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8bk8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8dl8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8ea8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8bv8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8ct8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8pr8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8dh8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://8br8.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7bl7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7kb7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7dl7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7lv7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7ea7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7bv7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7ct7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7ck7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7dh7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://7br7.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣用品&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/home.phtml" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258265" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=300129/#q15" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258267" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/forum.phtml?bbcode=" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://toytoytoytoytoytoy.com/front/bin/ptlist.phtml?Category=258277" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78cf.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78kb.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78pl.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://78bk.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://omb1.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6lv9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6lv6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ea9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ea6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ck9.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://6ck6.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://0lv0.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF="http://0ea0.com/" REL="nofollow"&gt;情趣&lt;/A&gt;,&lt;A HREF=</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/1063519893231808168'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/1063519893231808168'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1234321200000#c1063519893231808168' title=''/><author><name>信次</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/02481689321253585436</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-565328226884895806</id><published>2008-05-14T00:53:31.131-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-14T00:53:31.131-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Hi Poblano,Forgive me if you've answered this else...</title><content type='html'>Hi Poblano,&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Forgive me if you've answered this elsewhere, but based on your analysis of Obama's strengths and weaknesses with voters, who do you think he should choose as VP?  Or, at least, what kind of VP candidate should he be looking at?&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Also, I really hope the Obama campaign is paying attention to your work!  The fact that they're already working on voter registration suggests that their data corresponds with yours.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Thank you for your excellent work!</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/565328226884895806'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/565328226884895806'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210740811131#c565328226884895806' title=''/><author><name>Preyanka</name><uri>http://preyanka.com</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-4693483921260228346</id><published>2008-05-13T20:27:04.265-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T20:27:04.265-04:00</updated><title type='text'>good callI wouldn't be surprised about Obama relea...</title><content type='html'>good call&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;I wouldn't be surprised about Obama releasing his April numbers tonight or tomorrow.  It changes the narrative, and as we have all learned, narrative is more important than actual news for our news organizations.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/4693483921260228346'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/4693483921260228346'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210724824265#c4693483921260228346' title=''/><author><name>bedir than average</name><uri>www.fanhome.com/forums</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-3802647674339787097</id><published>2008-05-13T20:26:12.730-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T20:26:12.730-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Yep...that's about the breakdown I figured from th...</title><content type='html'>Yep...that's about the breakdown I figured from the exit polls. If it holds, he only lost by a little worse ratio than he won by in Virginia.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;If Virginia was still one state, he'd have won it!</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/3802647674339787097'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/3802647674339787097'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210724772730#c3802647674339787097' title=''/><author><name>marathon</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/14079598828723197865</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-2224758200151433846</id><published>2008-05-13T20:13:41.096-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T20:13:41.096-04:00</updated><title type='text'>A great Obama FUNDRAISING month in April would als...</title><content type='html'>A great Obama FUNDRAISING month in April would also change the subject quickly, and would reinforce with viewers that Clinton's campaign has been broke for a long time.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2224758200151433846'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2224758200151433846'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210724021096#c2224758200151433846' title=''/><author><name>AllenJMears</name><uri>http://openid.aol.com/AllenJMears</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-6575883942697535860</id><published>2008-05-13T19:41:45.913-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:41:45.913-04:00</updated><title type='text'>OBAMA VICTORY!!!CNN'S EXIT DATA EXTRAPOLATION SHOW...</title><content type='html'>OBAMA VICTORY!!!&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;A HREF="http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#WVDEM" REL="nofollow"&gt;CNN'S EXIT DATA&lt;/A&gt; EXTRAPOLATION SHOWS&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;CLINTON 65&lt;BR/&gt;OBAMA 32&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;How?&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Obama:  37% (Men) X 49% (Males) + 27%(Women) X 51% (Females)&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Clinton:  59% (Men) x 49% (Males) + 71% (Women) X 51% (Females)</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6575883942697535860'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6575883942697535860'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210722105913#c6575883942697535860' title=''/><author><name>kubla000</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-614875729994886876</id><published>2008-05-13T19:41:31.315-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:41:31.315-04:00</updated><title type='text'>I think anything over 30% for Obama (and less than...</title><content type='html'>I think anything over 30% for Obama (and less than a 40pt loss) will be a good outcome under the circumstances</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/614875729994886876'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/614875729994886876'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210722091315#c614875729994886876' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-2756865050378574449</id><published>2008-05-13T19:38:18.879-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:38:18.879-04:00</updated><title type='text'>I wonder if the exits will have to be adjusted lat...</title><content type='html'>I wonder if the exits will have to be adjusted later in favor of Clinton just as they were in OH.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2756865050378574449'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2756865050378574449'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210721898879#c2756865050378574449' title=''/><author><name>Derek</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/02280221391511140351</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-5101894890077797290</id><published>2008-05-13T19:33:21.730-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:33:21.730-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Exit polls up: Clinton 65, Obama 32.</title><content type='html'>Exit polls up: Clinton 65, Obama 32.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5101894890077797290'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5101894890077797290'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210721601730#c5101894890077797290' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-5116309921430390224</id><published>2008-05-13T19:33:13.654-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:33:13.654-04:00</updated><title type='text'>You are the best. Just the facts maam, nothing but...</title><content type='html'>You are the best. Just the facts maam, nothing but the facts.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5116309921430390224'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5116309921430390224'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210721593654#c5116309921430390224' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-7331614910842558336</id><published>2008-05-13T19:15:58.711-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:15:58.711-04:00</updated><title type='text'>The pin Obama's wearing was given by a vet.</title><content type='html'>The pin Obama's wearing was given by a vet.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/7331614910842558336'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/7331614910842558336'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210720558711#c7331614910842558336' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-286195618714002348</id><published>2008-05-13T19:13:59.642-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:13:59.642-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Totally anecdotal but I have a friend in WV who's ...</title><content type='html'>Totally anecdotal but I have a friend in WV who's voting for Clinto but also said she thinks Clinton should drop out of the race.  Crazy.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/286195618714002348'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/286195618714002348'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210720439642#c286195618714002348' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-2351939801144497830</id><published>2008-05-13T19:11:55.997-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:11:55.997-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Clinton 67%Obama   30%Others/Edwards 3%</title><content type='html'>Clinton 67%&lt;BR/&gt;Obama   30%&lt;BR/&gt;Others/Edwards 3%</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2351939801144497830'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/2351939801144497830'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210720315997#c2351939801144497830' title=''/><author><name>jr1886</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/03162835485455843393</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-5481574655375478195</id><published>2008-05-13T19:08:54.088-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T19:08:54.088-04:00</updated><title type='text'>If you use the numbers on the gas tax, you can end...</title><content type='html'>If you use the numbers on the gas tax, you can end up with something between 65% and 70% for Clinton.&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;.7C + .48O = 63&lt;BR/&gt;.3C + .52O = 37</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5481574655375478195'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/5481574655375478195'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210720134088#c5481574655375478195' title=''/><author><name>Nicholas Beaudrot</name><uri>http://www.cogitamusblog.com</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-274203256888288208</id><published>2008-05-13T18:52:33.313-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T18:52:33.313-04:00</updated><title type='text'>He's wearing it again during his Missouri factory ...</title><content type='html'>He's wearing it again during his Missouri factory speech on national TV. Guess what everyone will be talking about after the speech? The substance of the speech or the pin?</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/274203256888288208'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/274203256888288208'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210719153313#c274203256888288208' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-3993541957285050213</id><published>2008-05-13T18:33:48.348-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T18:33:48.348-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Anon,Let's not go there, but I'd point out that he...</title><content type='html'>Anon,&lt;BR/&gt;&lt;BR/&gt;Let's not go there, but I'd point out that he was wearing the pin while speaking to a group of veterans.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/3993541957285050213'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/3993541957285050213'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210718028348#c3993541957285050213' title=''/><author><name>538/poblano</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-6416159417387259188</id><published>2008-05-13T18:31:44.615-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T18:31:44.615-04:00</updated><title type='text'>Why is Obama wearing flag lapel pins now? It just ...</title><content type='html'>Why is Obama wearing flag lapel pins now? It just fuels the criticism and makes him look like a panderer.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6416159417387259188'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/6416159417387259188'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210717904615#c6416159417387259188' title=''/><author><name>Anonymous</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-8170962559983821846</id><published>2008-05-13T18:05:00.847-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T18:05:00.847-04:00</updated><title type='text'>I was trying to think how I'd answer that question...</title><content type='html'>I was trying to think how I'd answer that question.  I don't want her to drop out until May 21.  So I don't think I'm part of that 17%.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/8170962559983821846'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/8170962559983821846'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210716300847#c8170962559983821846' title=''/><author><name>Derek</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/02280221391511140351</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-8797671088263400656</id><published>2008-05-13T17:55:18.445-04:00</published><updated>2008-05-13T17:55:18.445-04:00</updated><title type='text'>AGREED.</title><content type='html'>AGREED.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/8797671088263400656'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/1233089889234464602/comments/default/8797671088263400656'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html?showComment=1210715718445#c8797671088263400656' title=''/><author><name>icebergslim</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/08622683937778692137</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/back-of-envelope.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4257917002416684161.post-1233089889234464602' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/4257917002416684161/posts/default/1233089889234464602' type='text/html'/></entry></feed>