Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Trick or Treat

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2009-10-03T03:26:59.414-04:00

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2009-09-11T08:31:37.730-04:00

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2009-07-22T04:07:27.011-04:00

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2009-03-12T05:02:00.000-04:00

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2009-03-12T05:01:00.000-04:00

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2009-01-17T04:17:00.000-05:00

Ha Ha ha ha ha ha ha!http://www.youtube.com/watch?...

2008-11-01T17:57:00.000-04:00

Ha Ha ha ha ha ha ha!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TuhpO9xG2MY

I'm listening to Zogby right now on cspan. He's go...

2008-11-01T15:40:00.000-04:00

I'm listening to Zogby right now on cspan. He's going on and on about what a great day McCain had. Excuse me, but there is no logical reason for these number to have flipped they way they have. You obviously had a very bad day polling.

Thanks, Dad (I'm decades older than you btw).

2008-11-01T14:44:00.000-04:00

Thanks, Dad (I'm decades older than you btw).

How can we believe any of these polls, including t...

2008-11-01T13:50:00.000-04:00

How can we believe any of these polls, including this one? Even YOU are one-sided toward a candidate! The only thing that can be believed is the actual result on the 4th. And you know what, it doesn't matter who's elected this time around, we're all screwed all over again.

I don't understand how, if the race is staying sta...

2008-11-01T13:24:00.000-04:00

I don't understand how, if the race is staying stable, Nate's trend/projection line is going down toward McCain.

Can anyone clarify?

Thanks

"...which mean that his weighting process involves...

2008-11-01T11:59:00.000-04:00

"...which mean that his weighting process involves making numbers doing naughty things that they usually don't like to do."

Nate, were you hitting the sauce when you wrote this? Gettin' toasted for Halloween, perhaps? A little tipsy? Knockin' back the pumpkin ale?

BTW, what was your costume? I went as a silly loon who dedicates seizure-inducing blingee blog posts to numbercrunchers I admire.

cubfanI did too. Joe is getting pitiful. Hard ...

2008-11-01T11:56:00.000-04:00

**cubfan**
I did too. Joe is getting pitiful. Hard to believe this guy considered Hillary his "girl friend". If would consider for one minute that Obama will make sure Hillary is taken care of and as Biden said be standing right next to Barack and get the first pen that signs the Healthcare Bill. I am now looking to CNN though I miss Mika

OK, had to turn off Morning Joe this morning. He h...

2008-11-01T11:47:00.000-04:00

OK, had to turn off Morning Joe this morning. He has a "feeling," that he had before in 1980 and 2004... blah-blah-blah. Do these guys get their GOP-talking-points via email, or is there some invisible wireless network they're all plugged into, like the Borg?

I appreciate Nate's hard work with the science of ...

2008-11-01T11:43:00.000-04:00

I appreciate Nate's hard work with the science of the polls. I think an important key here is that a lot of the right-wingers don't really believe in science. They go by their gut and they really want McCain to win because of their irrational fear of Obama. I go by my gut a lot too but I try to check it with reason and responsibility. Thank you, Nate, for a good job. And everybody else - just make sure you vote and volunteer. I have, for Obama.

And for a little more science and reason check out this site too:

http://statistics.byu.edu/faculty/wfc/2008Election/

A BYU professor (and my son, a statistics major) tend to support Nate with their analysis.

Mattison said...For those of us that don't follow ...

2008-11-01T11:33:00.000-04:00

Mattison said...
For those of us that don't follow baseball, what exactly does "Throw 'em back, like a Chase Utley home run at a Cubs' game" mean?

Chase Utley is a slugger for the Philadelphia Phillies, a National League rival of the Cubs (though from different divisions). The Cubs have a tradition of throwing home run balls hit by the opposing team back onto the field.

The only way the GOP can steal this election throu...

2008-11-01T11:21:00.000-04:00

The only way the GOP can steal this election through Diebold/Sequoia fraud is to maintain some illusion that it's a close race.

That's why Drudge puts on the big 48 point headline for every close poll result, and doesn't mention the dozens of other poll results.

Obama says he didn't know aunts illegal status

2008-11-01T11:20:00.000-04:00

Obama says he didn't know aunts illegal status

The more I think about it, these PA polls ARE like...

2008-11-01T11:18:00.001-04:00

The more I think about it, these PA polls ARE likely connected to the Phillies winning the World Series. If I'm a Philly sports fan and I've just watched one of my teams win it's first championship in 28 years, the economy and presidential politics are pretty much on the backburner for the next couple of days.

I'm using common sense and logic here, so I'm prepared to be proven wrong.

Ok, I've given it some thought, and my conclusion ...

2008-11-01T11:18:00.000-04:00

Ok, I've given it some thought, and my conclusion is air-tight: Zogby does his poll write-ups on shrooms.

Either that, or he's a complete idiot.

petekent, what flavor Kryptonite you are smoking? ...

2008-11-01T11:12:00.000-04:00

petekent, what flavor Kryptonite you are smoking?

No one is trying to demoralize anyone here. Barack has pledged to work in a bipartisan fashion and I think all moderates, even conservatives, will be pleasantly surprised in a year, especially when the economy is rescued from being beaten up in the Bushes, yet again, by a Democrat.

But I can't imagine how bipartisanship will work with McCain now given the negative tone of this election.

Bye the way you're favorite poll is up at 5 again.

Who knows about Zombie, sorry I mean Zogby. But if he's polling as many hollow weeny dems and repubs than I agree with Nate its better news for the dems me thinks....

Oh, and most of Philly is in such a euphoria over the world series win that I'm not sure any Pennsy poll will make sense from yesterday. Most of my coworkers have been so bombed they would likely vote for Cole Hammels if the election were yesterday.

new thread

2008-11-01T11:06:00.001-04:00

new thread

"I guess it is just like how they don't know that ...

2008-11-01T11:06:00.000-04:00

"I guess it is just like how they don't know that Bill Kristol is Gay too!"

Well, he's married. Course, so is Larry Craig, but yeah....

Bill Kristol is gay---well that changes everything...

2008-11-01T11:05:00.001-04:00

Bill Kristol is gay---well that changes everything

Comments on FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Trick or Treat

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Ha Ha ha ha ha ha ha!http://www.youtube.com/watch?...

I'm listening to Zogby right now on cspan. He's go...

Thanks, Dad (I'm decades older than you btw).

How can we believe any of these polls, including t...

I don't understand how, if the race is staying sta...

"...which mean that his weighting process involves...

**cubfan**I did too. Joe is getting pitiful. Hard ...

OK, had to turn off Morning Joe this morning. He h...

I appreciate Nate's hard work with the science of ...

Mattison said...For those of us that don't follow ...

The only way the GOP can steal this election throu...

Obama says he didn't know aunts illegal status

The more I think about it, these PA polls ARE like...

Ok, I've given it some thought, and my conclusion ...

petekent, what flavor Kryptonite you are smoking? ...

new thread

"I guess it is just like how they don't know that ...

Bill Kristol is gay---well that changes everything...

キャッシング網頁設計クレジットカード　現金化ダンボール留学水　通販ウィークリ...

cubfanI did too. Joe is getting pitiful. Hard ...