11.03.2008

On the Road: Atlanta, Georgia

"I got dog-tired beyond Macon and woke up Dean to resume. We got out of the car for air and suddenly both of us were stoned with joy to realize that in the darkness all around us was fragrant green grass and the smell of fresh manure and warm waters. "We're in the South!"

– Jack Kerouac, “On the Road”

If there is one shocker on election night in the presidential race, cast your eyes to Georgia. 1,994,990 people voted early in Georgia. 3,301,875 total voted in Georgia's presidential race in 2004.

Let that sink in.

1,994,990 - BrettMarty.com


"The pullout was greatly exaggerated," began Caroline Adelman, Georgia Communications Director, Obama for America. The pullout, of course, refers to the publicized redistribution of Obama staffers to other states when it appeared the Illinois Senator had no chance to win. Obama's skeleton staff of 53 is at least four times bigger than any other Democratic presidential effort in Georgia's history. Adelman, who's been involved here for the last five elections, estimated for us that even Bill Clinton, who won the state in 1992, only had a dozen staffers.

With 33 offices and 175 separate staging locations, at least one in every one of Georgia's 159 counties, Obama's operation seemed shockingly energetic for a state not on most pundit radars. With roughly 550,000 new voters registered and an exceptionally motivated volunteer base, the infrastructure of the organization was already in place when many organizers were shifted to other states.

Adelman credited wunderkind field operator Alex Lofton, now in Ohio, with setting up the infrastructure before he was considered too valuable not to have in a more competitive state. "He opened up all the offices, he trained all the kids, did conference calls twice a day," Adelman explained. "He was 23 and doing things in a way twice his age couldn't accomplish." Such are Obama's young brilliant organizers the campaign's great underwritten story.

"Really, in Georgia, that's all we needed," Adelman said. "The rest of it was neighbor to neighbor. People needed to see people in their own neighborhood" talking about Barack Obama. "The only place we were hurt was surrogate visits."

Indeed, Obama is doing better with white voters in Georgia than either Kerry or Gore. In early voting, African-American voting was 35%. 25% is the historic level. As for totals after election day comes and goes, Adelman said, "anything over 30% and we're gonna win."



As the interview progressed just around the noon hour yesterday, we found ourselves pressed by a steady stream of volunteers elbowing us out of the way to get to the phones. In a flash, an already buzzing office grew packed. Volunteers think Obama is going win Georgia.

We asked about the insanely long lines, and whether that would hamper voting. First, we learned, Barack Obama has "Comfort Teams," which are all volunteer forces who don't campaign, but simply bring water, hot chocolate and snacks. "No campaigning, no materials," Adelman said, just making sure the people who have to wait in long lines aren't hungry or thirsty.

Second, McCain voters, who exist in smaller percentages in Obama-heavy precincts, may not have the same determination to spend all day in line the way Obama's voters have shown. That's the flip side of Republican failure to provide enough voting machines in Democratic-heavy districts when Democratic voters refuse to be deterred. It hurts some Republican vote as well, particularly since Republican base enthusiasm for John McCain (Huckabee won the Republican primary) is tepid at best.

What Adelman has already seen in terms of voter determination and quiet peace at the long lines, she admitted, had already brought her and other staff to tears a time or two. "Mayor Franklin and Congressman Lewis have been helping encourage people to stay in line," and 50-60 people in metro Atlanta alone have helped with the Comfort Teams.

We pressed Adelman on why outside observers should feel confident that Georgians will stay in line, as long as it takes. Adelman paused for a moment, looking for a way to capture the intangible. Finally, with the air of a woman who'd seen early voters up close, she shrugged.

"I just think our voters are going to stand in line."

Atlanta - BrettMarty.com

136 comments

Scott said...

1994990th!

Uma said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Uma said...

and it wasn't :-(

Cy Guy said...

McCain's Quarterly Cancer Screening Results Overdue!

Back in August, I noted that McCain reported the results of his quarterly skin cancer screening from late July. No such report has come out for this quarter, so either: McCain is putting the country at risk by not getting screened, or he has been screened and is putting the country at risk by not releasing the results as they indicate a problem.

In either case, and in combination with Palin failing to produce her medical records as promised, it's clear the GOP ticket is putting their own political campaign ahead of the good of the country.

tek said...

lol, you people and your firsts

Assmole the Brave said...

uma you sack of shit. Take your infantile ways to another blog.

tek said...

lol, you people and your firsts

Michelle said...

Just hours away from victory!!

ty said...

It's going to take a lot of discipline for me to stick around my house long enough to track Georgia. I suspect as soon as Pennsylvania and Virginia are called (or Ohio or Florida), I'll be out partying. YES WE CAN!

ansaggo: Brothers should pull their pants up.

Assmole the Brave said...

Now, Sean, do some simple mathematethrics. Maybe everyone who wanted to vote has already voted now. That leaves 'turdout' down by a million or more: a disaster for your lover, the Oba-meister!

hatshepsutely said...

Florida, Quinnipiac University 10/27-11/2: Obama 47%, McCain 45%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...ober-2008.html

Florida, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 48%, McCain 46%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Florida, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: Obama 50%, McCain 48%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University 10/27-11/2: Obama 52%, McCain 42%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...ober-2008.html

Pennsylvania, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 54%, McCain 40%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Pennsylvania, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: Obama 53%, McCain 45%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Ohio, Quinnipiac University 10/27-11/2: Obama 50%, McCain 43%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...ober-2008.html

Ohio, University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll 10/29-11/2: Obama 52%, McCain 46%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...ober-2008.html

Ohio, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 50%, McCain 44%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Ohio, Survey USA 10/30-11/2: Obama 48%, McCain 46%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Ohio, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: Obama 50%, McCain 48%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Georgia, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: McCain 50%, Obama 48%, Barr 2%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

North Carolina, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: McCain 49%, Obama 48%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

North Carolina, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: Obama 50%, McCain 49%, Barr 1%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Virginia, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 51%, McCain 45%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Indiana, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: McCain 49%, Obama 44%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Missouri, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 47%, McCain 46%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Missouri, Survey USA 10/30-11/2: McCain 48%, Obama 48%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Minnesota, Survey USA 10/30-11/1: Obama 49%, McCain 46%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...ober-2008.html

Nevada, Reuters Zogby 10/30-11/2: Obama 51%, McCain 43%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

Montana, Public Policy Polling 10/31-11/2: Obama 48%, McCain 47%.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008...mber-2008.html

tek said...

:) they showed Nate again on CNN Lastnight. On that DL Hughley Show. Everyone in the room was like he is so hot. I felt awkward at people commenting on Nate's hotness

Hominidx said...

I've done canvassing in Georgia and driving people to the polls tomorrow. People are excited, nervous and angry. A huge crowd of people from the GOTV rally at the capitol building today came onto my MARTA bus and they were enthused about everything.

It's exciting that it's even close for Georgia, and that we may get an actual decent human being for our Senator in Jim Martin.

Andy JS said...

(Apologies in advance for being pedantic):

The total number of early voters in Georgia has risen slightly to 2,020,839.

Kathie said...

Well I guess I'm not first. It looked like 0 comments when I pushed the link. Oh well.

How inspiring are those volunteers and those voters staying in line.

Doesn't it seem to you that our "democracy" though, has counted on the consistent disenfranchisement of the vast majority of voters?

In a first rate country--no, democracy--like ours no person should wait longer than 20 minutes to vote.

andreadraper said...

First time poster here. Thanks for the great site and all the hard work Nate, it's keeping me sane.

Tomorrow we'll vote for change!

Assmole the Brave said...

tek, you take the 'Peent' out of 'Pete Kent'.

uma and scott are 'pumstri's.

Dead Cat Bounce said...

Honestly, is there no end to the desperate straws the McCain backers will grasp at? LOL

[ tyler curtain ] said...

Beautiful Georgia blue!

I'm so happy about GA and Atlanta.

Gobama :)

WV: onate. Onate you are great!

And Sean too, of course.

Grace Freedman said...

My family moved from NY to Georgia 10 years ago. They are lifelong democrat liberals. The shock of the conservative movement there has still not worn off. I want Obama to win, but more than anything, I want him to win Georgia. My father, who died last year, would have loved Obama, and would have been out on the streets knocking on doors at 72. Bring this one home.

Smitty said...

Nate - will not get to watch you on HDnet after all. A last minute opportunity came up.

My husband is one of five selected by Obama Campaign to fly to Chicago and be backstage for history.

Wow!


wv: anumbs - we are both anumbs with shock and the honor of being selected!

Joe The Fake Virginian said...

What is the over-under on McCain suing results from "Commie" Virginia.

tek said...

Very Clever Assmole



WV: Getama, as in Getting Obama for President

Liam Hedge said...

Smitty! Ask your husband to ask Obama to leave a post on FiveThirtyEight! We have a person on the inside! Would totally make my night :-)

Milly said...

wv=accon. Sarah Palin exonerated by her appointed Personnel Board in Troopergate.

Anyone surprised by that?

Assmole the Brave said...

tek: it could also be getting Osama!

KMartDad said...

If I shed any more tears before Tuesday night, I won't be able to cry for joy.

Vinny said...

Sean! You need to do DC, otherwise it's just "Road to 267"!

Concern Troll said...

https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=4257917002416684161&postID=1249418775968071273&isPopup=true

Michael said...

It's great to see a very well organized campaign. Dems can finally do something right.

By the way, if the turnout is as high as predicted, it is 400++ EVs.
TX, LA, AR, AZ, GA, SC, MS, SD will go blue if the latest nationwide polls are accurate or can be surpassed.

Republican Baghdad Bobs can spew whatever, the reality on the ground makes an obamaquake within reach.

Let's truly make this election like no other, small thing left to do - VOTE!!!

outsphan - umm, someone who likes good pitching?

Kat said...

Boy oh boy, I'd love to see the Peach State go Blue!!!!!!!

Antmatic said...

SURVEY USA
NOVEMBER NATIONWIDE POLL
MCCAIN: 510 ELECTORAL VOTES
OBAMA: 28 ELECTORAL VOTES

DEVELOPING HARD...

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/11/03/mccain-510-electoral-votes-obama-28-how-the-map-looked-exactly-2-years-ago/

PeixeGato said...

Has Palin released her medical information yet?

El Oso said...

Can we all sing sweet Georgia blue?

GO GEORGIA!!!

Doug B said...

Son of a....!

Kit Bond was just on Hardball. When Chris asked him for an example of an Obama proposal that could be considered "socialist". Bond looked nonplussed for a moment, then said something about "refundable tax credits"

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't McCain talk about "refundable tax credits" several times during the debates? Does Bond really not know his own party's platform at all?!

WV: 'caleneyi' -- street of horse stables. (calle + neigh)

McGhee said...

Come on Georgia - just a little more blue. Another great piece Sean, I have been waiting and checking for this one. And brilliant photos again Brett - that's what autumn should look like, not the parched dog day summer we get here ;)

jnorthrop said...

@antmatic --

Nice link! It give a great perspective.

Blair said...

Georgia will go BLUE! The ground game here is insane. There was an organized field effort in every county here in JUNE...The Obama Fellows in Chatham County were insanely good. The black vote in Georgia has been awoken, and it's a sight to see! I was talking to a coworker today, encouraging him to be a first time voter (he's in his 50's) and he assured me that his sister wouldn't let him not vote, but I gave him my cell number just in case, and printed him a sample ballot.

tek said...

Michael I don't think early voting in Texas was high enough to be excited. We needed stronger numbers in Fort Bend, and around Dallas to be excited


WV: sonsulo, as in I have got nothing

Liam Hedge said...

Antmatic,

A real sign that Obama is the politician of our generation isn't it? Two years ago, 28 electoral votes. Today: over 300. What a man...

Antmatic said...

Great to see my hometown profiled. Georgia will be one of the later states called this election.

Nick said...

I visited an Obama office last weekend and the excitement was (and is even more so now) palpable. There was so much goodwill and optimism in that place that it convinced me that Georgia, even with all our history really can be won by Obama.
I was admiring all the Obama artwork and quotes on the wall and I brought an AA volunteer to tears, seeing a young white male so admiring of their candidate.
We can do it!

JBillones said...

So Chuck Todd is on Hardball, giving his preview of Election Night. He isolated OH, VA, NC and FL. He said that Obama needed to win 2 to win the election.

This, despite the fact that his own board gives 273 votes to Obama with *none* of the four.

Gyah.

(Maybe I should take a "multa" vitamin.)

Matthew said...

I suppose this message is aimed at every voter tomorrow, no matter how old you are, but in particular I'm aiming my missive at any undecided or complacent person, and especially at younger people reading this, who have a once in a lifetime chance to change the world tomorrow.

Get out and vote, find five other people and get them to vote, then go and volunteer for Barack, and change the world.

You simply cannot allow this election to be lost by fraud or laziness – you will never get another chance to make the type of world Obama can bring about again. Never. These chances only happen once every 20 or 30 years, and next time you may not be young and active enough to get truly involved and really enjoy it again!! It will never feel this good again, if you like. You have to do it tomorrow.

I do not have the ability to do this, like the billions of outside onlookers, desperately hoping the US does the right thing this time, I do not get a vote. But, we all have a massive stake in the outcome you create. It's like we all give you a huge extra weight of responsibility to take into the voting booth with you. You have to remember you are voting for people across the globe tomorrow, like voting in no other election can ever do. We allow you to decide what will happen to us, what direction we will be allowed to go in. You have to use our trust, and your vote well.

And you also have to know that even now it can all go horribly wrong. I live in the UK, and in 1992 I worked to elect the Labour party, and we led at the polls on the day of the election by as much as 5 points, and we still lost. It was the 'Shy Tory Effect' Nate has warned of, that you should be very much scared of.

We were so certain of victory in 1992, that we allowed complacency to set in, and I still believe had more people been active in the streets that day, we would have won. The pollsters will tell you that the Shy Tory effect was that people lied, and said that they would vote Labour to pollsters, because they were unwilling to admit that they were wanting to secretly vote for the unpopular Conservative (Tory) party. But I know from hard experience that this was only part of the fact. We were also very complacent and did not get out our vote.

We held a victory rally before the election, we tried to act like a party already in power, and we just did not turn out in enough numbers to win, because we thought it was inevitable. And I say this as someone who was 18 in 1992, and a first time voter certain we would win.

We, the young voters who people like Karl Rove say will never turn out and vote when it matters, DID NOT VOTE. The reason the oily Mr Rove is able to say things like this, and you are anxious McBush will win, is because we did exactly that in 1992, and let the slimy, disastrous Tories waste 5 long, hard years.

So do not be complacent, make a difference tomorrow and do what we belatedly did in 1997 – vote early, get other people you know to vote, and then go and volunteer at the local campaign office.

Because what was worse, was that by 1997 the Labour party had had to move closer to the centre, and we lost part of our identity with that, something else you do not want tomorrow. You can have a President Obama on his terms, with a Democratic Senate and with the good will – and mandate for change – of not only the US, but of just about the whole world. You could really help to reach those lofty goals we hope about, but never achieve. Or you could let him lose, or make it close enough for him to have no real mandate, and have all the bad things about the Clinton years again, but this time with Ken Starr with his own show on Fox every night, making lies up so abhorrent, that you really want to do bad, bad things!

You really have to go out and finish the whole deal. Finish what you have started, make a difference tomorrow, and guarantee yourself that next summer, when you are backpacking anywhere in Europe, or Africa or Asia or South America, or even on the moon, the locals are going to be a lot more friendly with President Barack Obama in charge. Please.

Natalie said...

Here's an awesome one: today I got a huge (9x11) full color direct mail ad from the FL Republican Party that had a very cozy, very obviously photoshopped of John McCain and Hillary smiling at each other. The ad was all about how Hillary left "18 million cracks in the glass ceiling" and how "she and John McCain have show the American people proven results." In a "personal note" McCain writes, "I share Senator Clinton's goals of promoting women..."

This ad was paid for by the FL Republican Party and is being mailed to registered Democratic women (like me). I wish there was still time to do something with it because this thing is hilarious.

Liam Hedge said...

Too early to start drinking??? I'm not sure I can handle the stress.

thene said...

smitty - I am so dead jealous! I WISHED I could've gone for that draw, but I'm not a US citizen so aren't meant to donate. :(

Sean, thanks for coming by GA. Is this to be the only GA post? It'd've been interesting to see a report from up here in Gingrich's Georgia too. I'd love to see the state go blue, but I wouldn't lay money on it, I'm afraid. Perhaps in 2012 once the shock has worn off. :P By then I should have a car and a resident's card so could give the Dems my time. This year, I've just been begging friends to go out and vote, and passing them Nate's suspicions about how a vote for Obama here will not be a vote wasted.

And then there's the inevitable Senate runoff. Again, I would not bet on the Democrats to win that one. I guess it depends on the mood of the electorate here after Obama's become President-Elect. It'll be interesting to see how fast the McPalin yard signs in my area come down. ;)

old salt said...

NATE GETS SOME ATTENTION FROM THE NPR CROWD!

Anybody catch NPR's "Marketplace" tonite?
Great plug for 538. "Marketplace" is an economy/financial show. Tonite they had a piece on "Intrade" and how it seems to be more accurate than most single polls. One of the economists contributing wondered if "Intrade" was as good as fivethirtyeight! He went on and on about how great this site is. I was driving home and was going FUCK YES!!!! Great job Nate and you are getting the attention from even the elite economic crowd! Thank you for a wonderfilled site!

Assmole the Brave said...

Somebody -not peixegato, don't look at me with angry eyes, peixegato!- is a bit too involved in trivialities. And who's been moaning about 'divisions and distractions' in this campaign?! Yeh, Palin looks really ill to me, too!

Voice of Reason said...

I voted early in Virginia, and first off, I want to be absolutely clear that I voted for Barack Obama not because he's black, but because he's the best candidate for any office that I have seen in my lifetime. I voted for him because he's liberal but pragmatic, intelligent, charismatic, a strong leader, a good listener, a concensus-builder, and someone who cares about average working-class people. I don't give a damn that he's black. (I'm white, by the way.)

But I was driving home the other day, and I remembered Martin Luther King saying, shortly before he died, "I've been to the mountaintop, and I've seen the Promised Land," and it hit me that he foresaw this. And I started crying.

When I was growing up, they always said, anybody can become President. And we knew it was a lie.

It's not going to be a lie anymore.

Saint Lemur said...

DC? Lotsa young folk, lotsa non-white folk, lotsa Starbucks, I don't think there are any Wal-Marts.

Word verification: aericiti. Washington DC is a very aeri citi.

Liam Hedge said...

I really hope that on Nov 5th someone starts writing a book. A book of all the inspiring stories Obama has brought to America.

On this site alone I have read so many great stories of people being inspired by their candidate.

whingis: the nickname for all those McCain supporters who are whining about Obama stealing the election by inspiring too many people to vote.

Assmole the Brave said...

hey v.o.r. whatever delusions you need to get you through the day are fine by me! :)))

pyingens: inhabitants of the planet 'pying'- they all have big, edible ears and can see in the dark like Barackula.

Charles M. Kozierok said...

Those early voting numbers are truly astonishing. And excellent news for Obama.

I feel so bad for him about his grandmother, though. :(

--
Wondering what to do after the election?

I am starting a new board for discussing politics, current events and other interesting topics. It is a spin-off of the blog that some of you know about; you can read an overview of the forum here.

If interested, follow the instructions at the bottom to contact me. Brain-dead right-wing trolls need not apply. :)

Servius said...

"Vote early. Vote often." The Democrat motto!

El Oso said...

I hate to be pedantic but Marketplace is from American Public Media, not NPR.

It's usually played on NPR stations though. Sorry :)

GO GEORGIA BLUE!!!!

KIC said...

Wow, Smitty! Unbelievable! I hope it is the most amazing experience ever. I'm sure it will be. REPORT NEEDED AFTERWARD!


wv=detic "Detic McCain has devloped is due to depolls."

Assmole the Brave said...

charles michuberan kozierok, I thought you were gone from this space. Nay, I hoped. Unfortunately, things don't change as we hoped. (Not a prophecy)

Ryan said...

Anyone know what state polls are still yet to be released, if any?

Alyssa said...

Thanks Ray Charles... Georgia is on my mind too.

Georgia, Georgia,
The whole day through
Just an old sweet song
Keeps Georgia on my mind

I'm say Georgia
Georgia
A song of you
Comes as sweet and clear
As moonlight through the pines

Other arms reach out to me
Other eyes smile tenderly
Still in peaceful dreams I see
The road leads back to you

I said Georgia,
Ooh Georgia, no peace I find
Just an old sweet song
Keeps Georgia on my mind

Other arms reach out to me
Other eyes smile tenderly
Still in peaceful dreams I see
The road leads back to you

Georgia,
Georgia,
No peace, no peace I find
Just this old, sweet song
Keeps Georgia on my mind

I said just an old sweet song,
Keeps Georgia on my mind

El Oso said...

@servius

How bout the Republican motto

"Vote and then do anything in your power to prevent the liberals from voting, too"

OzFrog said...

Liam Hedge,

where you gonna be celebrating tomorrow in Melbourne? I'm gonna be at work unfortunately :( But I will be glued to the TV set during my breaks!

WV: poles... those funny looking things with all sorts of numbers and graphs, showing that Obama is going to win in a landslide tomorrow! :)

thene said...

Yes smitty, please be sure to tell the story somewhere where we're going to see it. :)

Lawrence said...

One of my college friends from Connecticut wonders why I'm getting up at 4:30 tomorrow morning to go vote in ATL...I told him to watch CNN and see the lines for himself.

I've said it before, I'll say it again--don't take your eyes off Georgia for a second. Epic shocker is IMMINENT.

Charles M. Kozierok said...

"charles michuberan kozierok, I thought you were gone from this space. Nay, I hoped. Unfortunately, things don't change as we hoped. (Not a prophecy)"

Huh, what's your problem?

Dead Cat Bounce said...

What happens if McCain goes to 0.0% tomorrow.

It could happen.

Jack-be-nimble said...

As a conservative and Obama wins, I actually hope he trys to persue policies that are socialist in nature that will bring the economy to its knees.

While this is not country first, it will create a conservative sweep of congress in two years and a new president in 2012.

If he governs like Clinton, then I have very few concerns. I won't like his appointments to SCOUTUS, but all of the openings will be replacing liberals with more liberals.

dem in utah said...

Rosa sat
so Martin cound walk
so Barack could run
so our kids could fly.....

Please just VOTE

Assmole the Brave said...

el oso: combining the mottos mathematically, we get "Vote and then do anything in your power do stop people who vote often from voting, too" - what's wrong with that?

Liam Hedge said...

"When I was growing up, they always said, anybody can become President. And we knew it was a lie."

Damn straight V.O.R. No-one really believed that the presidency could be one by anyone till this election.

For four years here in Australia we've scoffed at America's 'democracy'. We said it was just for sale and limited to the wealthy, caucasian families. We laughed that religion played such a major role that people's church were in the national spotlight.

Throughout this election we've spent lots of time thinking that exact thing. Now I have new faith. America's democracy is alive and well. A half African young man with no family history in politics just may take the presidency. He had almost no national name recognition at the start of the primaries except due to a speech he gave 4 years before. His family isn't exceedingly wealthy. He CONVERTED to christianity, and not because of some overwhelming sign from god but for other, more rational, reasons. The man is an inspiration not only to America, but to the world.

My hope is an Obama presidency restores America's role in the world to where it once was. A force for good, not a bully. A beacon of hope.

other Michael said...

new thread

Dead Cat Bounce said...

"trys to persue"

Why are all the conservatrolls so spelling-challenged? lol

Liam Hedge said...

OzFrog.

I'll be starting at the Birmingham in Carlton. Corner of Smith and Johnston street. They're starting early (as in about 11am EST) and going late. OTherwise, I'm throwing a party later that night which you're more than welcome to come to if you wish. :-)

premate: let us not be too premate.

Shadowspecies said...

Poor JBM has even accepted at this point that Obama has blown mccain out.

You know the cons have to be in a sad state when they arent even willing to troll us anymore on a mccain win and instead talk about how Obama is going to screw up when hes elected.

annejumps said...

I am a Georgia volunteer, and every meeting I've been to has been jumping. I've spoken to many excited people in person and on the phone. And yes, they are definitely waiting in line if they have to. I plan to go give out water and snacks tomorrow.

Jack-be-nimble said...

conservatrolls so spelling-challenged.

First of all, no such word as conservatrolls, secondly spelling-challenged is not a properly hyphenated grouping.

If there was a spellcheck on the blog. Since there isn't, most don't care.

Some of the brightest minds in the world don't spell well. My IQ is about 148 at last test. I think I do ok.

Lani said...

Nate on Keith O right now

Lani said...

Nate looks VERY nice. Nice tie and cool glasses.

Selva said...

Don't compare the early voting numbers with 2004 turnout. This year Georgia has a much larger number of registered voters (5.7 M compared to 4.2 M of 2004). More than 4M votes are expected to be cast their vote, so more than 2M are yet to vote.

2004: RV = 4.2 M voted = 3.3 M (77% -- 70% among AA, 80% among white)

2008: RV = 5.7 M

Keep up the GOTV effort.

mirrormirror said...

You know what makes me happiest?

It's that the first president my little girl, who's now nearly four, will remember will be black and for her and for her generation it will be NO BIG DEAL.

Jake formerly of the LP said...

My parents got out of the red-voting cesspool called suburban Atlanta 2 years ago. Granted, my stepDad dug the whole country-club stuff, since he's a boarding-school GOP, but there are far too many of these washed up old white men running that state. It's time to kick in the door and welcome them to the 21st Century.

Folks, I've done what I can here in Wisconsin, and have already cast my ballot for a difference-maker in Barack. Time to take it into your hands. If you step up as I know motivated Americans can do, Georgia can join it's rightful place in the 21st Century, and the country can finally move forward by electing a true leader, instead of another washed-up old white country clubber.

Choose wisely.

David said...

"As a conservative and Obama wins, I actually hope he trys to persue policies that are socialist in nature that will bring the economy to its knees."

LOL

We are already there. Thanks to the rabid pro-deregulation cons.

theguide said...

that's what i just don't get. in the uk it really wouldn't matter if turnout was 20% or 50% or 99%, there's never that much of a queue because it doesn't take that long to vote and there seems to be one voting centre for every 5,000 people. Every time I have voted I had to wait a maximum of 20 minutes. If it's all about how there are 100 different things they are voting for then there should be a completely incorruptible, non-partisan, nationwide system for all voting.

I really don't understand what the big problem is with voting. It's not as if it's a complicated form of PR like-system such as STV or AV. Then I'd understand the hesitancy, the strategic choices each voter would make. But this is just put a fucking tick in a box for one bozo or the other.

Is it just that the US system is so horribly underfunded and partisan and skewed and unfair and stupid and unaccountable? I'm assuming it is, but please correct me if I'm wrong

Marion in Savannah said...

I tried on three different occasions to vote early but the lines were so incredibly long (approaching 1/4 mile once) that I gave up on early voting. We'll be at our local polling place before the doors open tomorrow morning, and I've told my boss that she'll see me when I'm done voting, no matter how long it takes. Take it from someone who saw those lines — these were not McCain voters. Incredible numbers of young folks, and lots of people of color as well.

I don't know if Obama will carry Georgia, but I'm praying that his coat-tails will bring Jim Martin along far enough to avoid a run-off.

AxelDC said...

One of Obama's earliest objectives should be a new Voting Rights Act. The shennanigans that Republicans engage in are in direct violation of the 14th and 15th Amendments.

It angers me to read that predominantly black districts have inadequate voting facilities to dampen black turnout. How is this different from a poll tax or a grandfather clause?

Voter suppression is the Republican goal. Anyone who cares about Democracy should believe that every person should vote, regardless of how they vote. Obama should enforce Federal laws that require equal access to the ballot, and place the burden on the state to prove voter ineligibility, not the other way around.

I'm glad voters are willing to wait in line for 8 hours to let their voices be heard, but I wouldn't count on such infinite patience in the future.

dikankan said...

I'm another UK resident who has got addicted to following this election. I have a sense of a real turning point coming, and a country waking up and getting back in touch with its better self.
After shaking my head over the US government, the energy, optimism, efficiency and sheer human decency that radiates from the Obama camp just bowl me over and leave me hoping that we might have something even half as good in Britain.
One day of flat-out effort, and here's wishing you a Democratic tidal wave this time tomorrow. Then the real work begins. Thanks as well to Nate Silver and colleagues for a great site full of vivid detail and top class analysis.

eve said...

Smitty,

Please post at least a hello from Chicago!

But whether you can or not, have a great time.

St. Nick said...

We pressed Adelman on why outside observers should feel confident that Georgians will stay in line, as long as it takes...

"I just think our voters are going to stand in line."

Hmmmm.

Well, maybe, in fact, they will this time.

They certainly have reason to do so...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TuhpO9xG2MY

Juris said...

Great to see you Sean and Brett. Also to see Nate on Olbermann. He's getting to be very professional (and I like the eyeglasses a lot).

If you're really heading to Chicago, I hope you don't get all partied out before Nate arrives back from DC.

Y'all deserve to collapse in a heap of joy at your impressive accomplishments these last few months.

wv: witian (one who remarks in sharp thoughts)

ManAboutCouch said...

We have PR-STV here in Ireland, and I've never waited more than a minute at the polls. The ballot itself might take a couple of minutes to fill in, especially if you go the whole way down the list and have to decide which of the crazies gets your 15th preference (hmmm.. Fianna Fail or the PeeDee's..)

There are normally about 10 booths in each polling station, and each polling station covers about 5,000 people. Having the polls open from 06.00 until 22.00 helps of course.

WV: Rehicula; This place is rehiculasly addictive

mirrormirror said...

that's what i just don't get. in the uk it really wouldn't matter if turnout was 20% or 50% or 99%, there's never that much of a queue because it doesn't take that long to vote and there seems to be one voting centre for every 5,000 people. Every time I have voted I had to wait a maximum of 20 minutes. If it's all about how there are 100 different things they are voting for then there should be a completely incorruptible, non-partisan, nationwide system for all voting.

I really don't understand what the big problem is with voting. It's not as if it's a complicated form of PR like-system such as STV or AV. Then I'd understand the hesitancy, the strategic choices each voter would make. But this is just put a fucking tick in a box for one bozo or the other.

Is it just that the US system is so horribly underfunded and partisan and skewed and unfair and stupid and unaccountable? I'm assuming it is, but please correct me if I'm wrong


I'm from the UK now living in the US and was puzzled by the same thing at first.

The thing to remember that, unlike in the UK, you can be voting for several different people - president, senator, governor, even local judges AND for several local 'propositions' (such as Prop 8 in California) all on the same ballot paper.

When I asked about this on another thread, some people posted up examples of the ballot papers they have, which include around 25 different mini-elections all together and are amazingly complicated in comparison with a UK ballot. That's what makes counting so difficult as well as all the different mini elections can't be counted up manually, so they have to use machines with all the attendant potential for voter fraud.

Having said all that, I do think one of Obama's first acts should be simplifying the voting process by taking a look at how things are done in other parts of the world, including the UK, where it is all SO much easier and the instance of fraud is so much less.

Dan said...

theguide, voting in the US takes longer because the ballot is probably much longer than you realize.

For example, I live in OH. We vote for the President, our local House Representative (No Senators on the ballot), at least 20 local races (county treasurer, judges, etc.) and then we also vote on many other local ballot measures (one of the big ones here this year is about whether to allow a casino to open in the state).

Hope that clears it up a bit for the foreign posters.

Also, I would just like to add that a big part of my political awakening happened the summer I spent in England. Talked with a lot of really smart and involved people over there and came back with a different perspective. I'm sure I'd still be for Obama, but I'm not so sure I'd be volunteering, donating and doing voter protection for the campaign if not for some of those interactions over there. My Obama vote is for you guys too.

someperson718 said...

Georgia will be the shocker of this election. We will win this state and when we do (should be about 7 or 730 when that happened) we will know that this election will be a blowout.

mirrormirror said...

Also, I would just like to add that a big part of my political awakening happened the summer I spent in England. Talked with a lot of really smart and involved people over there and came back with a different perspective. I'm sure I'd still be for Obama, but I'm not so sure I'd be volunteering, donating and doing voter protection for the campaign if not for some of those interactions over there. My Obama vote is for you guys too.

mirrormirror said...

Whoops I meant to ask in my comment above what made you change your views? As an English person I'm intrigued...

Bulldawg said...

I must say...I don't think anybody is paying enough attention to Georgia.

Since early voting began, there were lines of 1000+ all across the state. And, they were staying in line for hours. And, it sure didn't look like they were excited to vote for McCain.

I think people might be shocked to see Georgia called for Obama at 8pm.

One$Earned said...

@bulldawg said...I think people might be shocked to see Georgia called for Obama at 8pm.

I would like a surprise like that.

We'll see I just want OH, PA & FL to
go Blue. I'm satisfied with that.

Rebecca said...

mirrormirror - your post made me tear up (AGAIN). I have a 7-year-old-son and he is so excited about Obama. It moves me beyond words that this will be the president of his elementary school memories. (KNOCK ON WOOD!)

wv: umpinam - the umpinamth time that McCain's failure in his mission in 'nam has been confused with relevant experience.

Alex S. said...

I agree with Sean's comment that long voting lines may be discouraging for less enthusiased McCain voters. I can't imagine the lines tomorrow. It will be astonishing, it will be too much to handle in areas that are not used to high turnout (because the states had not been battlegrounds before). And I think it will help Obama in Georgia. McCain has got no organization. What is Chambliss´ argument? "The other folks are voting", pathetic.

Hummon said...

45, white male, Georgia native.

My wife and my son are hiking to the top of Stone Mountain tomorrow with his cub scout troop.

The KKK used to burn crosses up there.

A great way to spend a great election day. I can't wait to cast my vote.

Hummon said...

My vote for BHO, that is.

ZacTheEnginerd said...

Howard Dean made three stops in GA back in August. While he was here, he gave us the challenge of registering 500,000 new voters, the approximate number of votes John Kerry lost to George Bush by in GA in 2004. I didn't know we broke that mark, but it certainly is good news for Obama.

I think its going to be VERY close, but Obama will sneak by with a win in GA.

Dan said...

ManAboutCouch...

What part of Ireland you hail from? This American born Mick can trace his roots to Trim. Hoping to visit again next year...) My wife and I arrived there last year in Shannon on Election Day and the entire two weeks we were there was quite enjoyable learning about how your elections work. Especially the part that when the polls close everyone goes to the Pub and no counting starts the next day. I thought it was grand!

Anywho, my wife voted for BHO last week before a trip she had to make and I'll get to the polls around 10AM and stay in line no matter how long it takes.

What I want is four little things:
1. Obama win
2. Florida goes for Obama
3. The final nail in the old Confederacy
4. The GOP is crushed for a generation (just like they've ruined most of my adult life.)

Slan,

Daniel Sean Reilly (Raghalligh)

thene said...

Hummon - if you've not read the Georgia/Stone Mountain chapter of Lies Across America, go dig it up on GoogleBooks right now. :P Four pages of pure win, about a) the KKK's unreported involvement in the creation of the Stone Mountain monument, and b) how utterly USELESS they were at organising it.

I'm still not convinced about BHO being able to win in GA. I'm damn sure the Senate race will go to a runoff, and I wouldn't bet on Martin to win that runoff. But god, I can hope.

Larry said...

We asked about the insanely long lines, and whether that would hamper voting. First, we learned, Barack Obama has "Comfort Teams," which are all volunteer forces who don't campaign, but simply bring water, hot chocolate and snacks. "No campaigning, no materials," Adelman said, just making sure the people who have to wait in long lines aren't hungry or thirsty.

I'm pretty sure that's illegal.

larryfeltonj said...

I've been involved in Georgia politics as a progressive southerner for the past forty years. The changes here over the past ten years have been enormous (partly driven by demographic changes, partly by the urbanization of the most populous parts of the state).

I have no idea how the numbers will fall here tomorrow, but Georgia will be solidly in the blue column within a couple of election cycles.

In some ways the "Southern Strategy" the GOP followed in the Nixon years and afterward was very good for the Democratic Party. The old line hard core racists flocked to the GOP, and a moderate to liberal Democratic Party is what's left here now.

At this point Atlanta is a multiracial liberal Democratic stronghold, there are pockets of progressivism around Savannah, Macon, Athens, and the rural but heavily African American second congressional district, and the notion of Georgia as a fundamentally conservative state is really outdated.

larryfeltonj said...

Hey, Hummon. I was on a charity walk around Stone Mountain just last weekend (the Methodist Church's Wesley Walk). I hope you and the scouts have a great time. The Stone Mountain area is a Democratic stronghold at this point.

CJ said...

the most amazing election..ever... I realize there are a bunch of folks with comments on every aspect of this election and blog, but this really tops it all.
Obama as President...amazing.. all the bloviators have a million thoughts, but the only one i'm thinking about is Obama as our new president.. THANK YOU FOR YOUR POST!!

Jackie said...

Larry, I wish my area of GA was as progressive as your area (and the other places you listed)! I live in a very red county. If Obama wins GA, I will be so happy, if Jim Martin wins GA, I will probably cry.

wv: carkin, as in me and the people in my car tomorrow (when I drive voters to the polls in Georgia) will be closely-related carkin!

Jackie said...

Of course, in my post, I was writing to Larry Felton, not "Larry".

larryfeltonj said...

Jackie,

Since you live there, it obviously isn't a totally redstate area! Keep the faith. Cobb and Gwinnett counties in metro Atlanta were GOP strongholds ten years ago (Newt Gingrich's district was centered on Cobb). Now both of those counties are competitive for Democrats.

I contributed money to every Democrat running against a Republican in a congressional campaign in Georgia this cycle,
including those districts which are at this point seen as hopeless
(the first and the ninth).

I'm convinced that there is no unwinnable district in Georgia.

GA Girl said...

This is my first time posting here although I've been an avid reader for a few weeks now, and I just have to say that I, too, think Obama has a good shot at winning GA. He's already gotten so many votes, and a lot of would-be early voters (like myself) were discouraged by the long lines and the lack of parking (at one voting center people were parking in ditches and it was at least a 3-4 hour wait, and at the other we couldn't even get within 2 miles of it). There are still many Obama votes still to come! And hopefully more Jim Martin ones as well...it's time for Saxby to move on.

I'm hoping for an Obama landslide. This is the first time I've seen this much support for any candidate, conservative or liberal. I hope our electoral votes are behind him tomorrow!

Smile & Wave said...

I wondered, as I was stuck in a 4-hour long line to vote in Atlanta on Friday, who the people were that were coming around with flats of bottled water and box after box of chips that were being handed out to those of us in line at no charge. To find out that they were part of an Obama "Comfort Team" that was looking not to sway or influence people standing in line (which of course would be illegal), but to make the wait easier is an amazing thing. I would have had no idea if I hadn't read this post. I want to offer my thanks to the Comfort Team helping out at North Service Center in Fulton Co. last Friday night, we all appreciated having water to drink after standing for hours and chips to eat as we stood there long past the dinner hour, jammed together in hot hallways and out in the cold waiting to get in. It was much appreciated!

I was also encouraged by the friendliness and civility of everyone in line. Odds were pretty good that many of us were on opposing sides when our votes were cast, but there was no talk of politics, people held their fellow line-member's spaces as they ran to their cars to get jackets when it got cold and it was obvious how determined everyone was to get their vote in. I think the suffering, as it were, actually brought us all together. We had hours of joking amongst ourselves and conversation to get us through the wait.

May everyone else have to 'suffer' like this at least once to give them the chance to appreciate their neighbors.

Kenyada said...

Well, it's not like I didn't try to tell you about GA weeks ago. As I said then, this election is different, and you can throw out all poll numbers based on 2000 and 2004. We have awaken a sleeping giant in the African American community across Georgia. Not only will GA turn Blue tomorrow, the coalition we have created here among AAs, youth and progressive whites, will ensure victory in future elections.

I overheard a brief conversation today at work between two women - one 50-ish, and the other 30-ish and anti-Obama (based on race). The older woman asked if the other had voted. "No, I'm not voting this year because there's no one to vote for." I contend that the combination of our enthusiasm and their apathy will spell landslide for Obama/Biden/Martin tomorrow.

larryfeltonj said...

It's so exciting to see my fellow Georgians posting in the comments section here! I started visiting this site for the polling numbers and analysis, but this is icing on the cake!

No matter what happens tomorrow here in Georgia, it would be fantastic if we could use the enthusiasm for this election to transform Georgia into the most inclusive, kindest, and progressive state in the nation.

Eric said...

OK, that's it. After reading this post and the whole comment thread, you guys have sold me on the idea that Obama can (and will) win Georgia tomorrow. I'd known it was close, but still figured he wouldn't have enough to pull it off. Now, I'm thinking the wave really will reach it.

I'm updating my EV prediction to reflect an additional 15 EVs for the Senator from Illinois! That gets him up to 382, in my estimate.

aria said...

For someone who has lived in Georgia for over a decade, I can assure you that not in this election cycle Democrats will get the majority in Georgia -- it just not going to happen.

I've been examining all the precincts and counties for two weeks earlier this year (daunting task) and the numbers just do NOT add up. The Republicans hold on to smaller counties and their sheer number is simply overwhelming as opposed to a few extremely large Democratic counties which fortunately have been growing and coming to vote in 1000's in the last few weeks. I know for the fact even my current city which resides on the border line of urban and suburban Atlanta will go wholeheartedly to McCain -- just drive around and see the scores of Republican backed candidates' signs. So is my parent's city (30 mins north of Atlanta) unless you live in the city of Atlanta or areas heavily populated by African-Americans.

I've been crunching numbers from the mid 90's up to 2004 election and tomorrow will be interesting to see how the demographics would play out and how much change has occurred since then. I cross my fingers but don't get my hopes high.

My last request before tomorrow is: GO AND VOTE.

Daniel said...

So... on voting early. It is in fact a GREAT thing. It should be promoted everywhere, BUT. I mean i don't have an issue with it but.... voting early was for people with schedule issues or to avvoid giant lines on tuesday... a relative of mine waited 6.75 hours in line to vote early (he actually could not vote on tuesday due to a prior, serious, personal issue. So this made me think.... why don't they have a 2 week voting period country wide and have localized polling centers during these weeks? I would much rather see a "voting period" with a "deadline" rather than this voting early then serious vote day. It seems it would be less disruptive and produce even better results.

larryfeltonj said...

aria,

You may well be correct about the outcome tomorrow (I'll admit I have no idea how it will turn out) but you've stated that your parents live in the north metro area, and that yard signs there indicate a GOP victory in Georgia.

It's not surprising to me that the areas north of Sandy Springs have a large number of McCain signs.

I wouldn't assume that your immediate surroundings are an indication of the statewide numbers. If I made that assumption for my own surroundings I'd declare Obama the winner in a landslide.

GA Girl said...

Don't underestimate the Palin effect, aria. She's been almost as much of a mobilizing force as Obama has. Republicans and Democrats alike don't want her in office, period.

Obama has a good shot at winning GA tomorrow, the best shot any Democratic candidate has had since I can remember. I might just be getting my hopes up, but for the first time in years, I actually have hopes. It's a good feeling!

cafl said...

Daniel, Here in the west, we have "no fault" absentee voting. You can even register to ALWAYS be sent an absentee ballot. That way you can fill out your form at home and either mail it in or drop it in a ballot box in the clerks office. No need to stand in line then.

Gregg said...

I was one of those early GA voters. Stood in line last Tuesday for 3.5 hours (2 of those outside...this was during our unseasonable cold snap). Was there with my mom, who will be driving people to the polls tomorrow. Everyone around us was exceedingly kind. We got through the hours of standing around by sharing stories and talking about anything other than politics. We very nearly had a pizza delivered to us. One woman had her kid there, and the kid couldn't take the cold and the standing much longer, and she was able to borrow a cell phone and call to have him picked up. We held peoples' places in line and even let husbands and wives cut in. It felt special. A wonderful way to vote in my second general election.

Leonard said...

I stood in a Georgia voting line for 2 1/2 hours and made a video of what people were saying in the line. Most were happy to be there and saw it as a privilege. See the video here.

bionelly said...

I live in Ohio, and I stood in line for 3.5 hours yesterday to early vote. My husband waited 5 hours on Saturday. The number of people voting early was simply staggering, and the numbers of young people and nonwhites were way larger than what would be proportional to the overall demographics of my county (roughly twice as many of each as I would have expected if all races and age groups had equal turnout here.) I did see a few people give up and leave, but those tended to be more typical McCain voters (and I had to leave Saturday because I had to go to work, but I went back yesterday and would have gone back again today if I hadn't made it.) We had Comfort Teams here, too, and they were a wonderful help. They provided water, crackers and even chairs to anybody who wanted them (and those chairs got at least two votes for Obama, as my mother and mother in law would not have been able to stand for that long, and they are both strong Obama supporters.) It was not at all apparent which campaign they were from, and they did not do anything to influence peoples' votes unless you count people happening to know they were from the Obama campaign and having a positive impression because of that. If what's going on in Georgia is similar to what's going on here, I wouldn't be very surprised to see Obama win there.

Anonymous Dave said...

All I know is this, Obama has gotten my 58 year old non-voting father to the polls. I mean really the dude hasn't paid taxes in 30 years because he dislikes how much the government has been run.

Eric said...

Most were happy to be there and saw it as a privilege. See the video here.

Although I'm glad to know that people were happy even having to stand in line to vote, and that they appreciate the honor associated with it, it disgruntles me a bit to hear it characterized as a 'privilege'.

No, no, no, no, no. No! Voting is not a privilege, offered to you by a magnanimous lord or liege, it is a RIGHT that you have as a citizen of a republic, endowed to you by a Creator as described in our own Declaration of Independence. Those who have fought and died for this country did not do so to give you the 'privilege' of voting, they did so to guarantee your right to do so, for that is what government is fundamentally for - to guarantee your rights as a human being.

I know, I shouldn't be nitpicking on this tonight, of all nights, for tomorrow is going to be an awesome day. But I cringe when I hear people treat such important things like voting as if they are simply gifts offered us by the state.

wv: contized, as in, Rush Limbaugh is going to need to be heavily contized in less than 24 hours....

CyberCzar said...

I voted with my partner last Thursday in Atlanta. We waited in line for an hour (got there really early).

One of my employees voted on Friday in Gwinnett County. She gladly waited in line for 6 hours.

I would have waited in line for 6 hours.

8.

12.

It doesn't matter.

This Country can not stomach another 4 more years of Republican tyrrany.

Xochtle said...

Actually, that number is a little outdated now... I was volunteering in one of th Atlanta offices last night, and it was over the 2 million mark. WOOOHOOO!!!!!!!

Lee said...

The young organizers running the Obama offices are truly an incredible and inspirational story. I have been deeply impressed by the talent and commitment I have seen in the offices where I have volunteered. A special shout out to Tessa in Wisconsin who is amazing!

Breonne said...

I lived in Georgia for a decade, and recently relocated to Louisiana. I am incredibly sad that I did not get to cast a ballot in GA- the idea that it could possibly go blue is so utterly astounding to me! I only wish I could've added my vote to the blue tide that might (hopefully) wash over the state.

prosediva said...

Love my Georgia!!! GO GEORGIA!!!

Women for Obama Rally in Decatur, GA

Patrick Roberts said...

it's awesome that there has been this "problem" of long lines all over... people taking a greater interest in public issues is always a good thing

信次 said...

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平平 said...

^^ nice blog!! ^@^

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平平 said...

^^ very nice

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