I remembered as soon as I saw Ohio projected for Obama -- "wait! Nate's models for a McCain victory required that Ohio go red." say hello to President Obama.
Lake county, IN is reporting fast and furious. Now with 414/561 precincts in, Obama 70 - McCain 29, which is a 65000 vote differential. Check: http://www.lakecountyin.org/cms-host/voters/microvote/2008ElectionResults/LakeElecSumm%20.htm
Dammit, let's call Virginia already! I know, I know, I shouldn't be so worried given the probability of the outcome. But I gotta know that Obama won my own state before I'll get any sleep tonight! KF
Nate, you're the hero at a watercooler in the middle of Alabama, just generally in how you present yourself (you've gotten more personable on camera) and in how much effing genius you've got.
Ok, I had to do it. I ventured onto the Freeptard site to get a laugh and see what the mood is over there. Here's a direct quote.
"Remember, win respectively, loose respectively, don't put your whining comments on this board."
This is a really good example of the type of person that frequents their boards. They don't know the difference between respectfully and respectfully or lose and loose. Classic.
To make it to 270, he only needs California, Hawaii and Washington...always easily won by the Dems! Nate...thank you for declaring while all the news stations are dragging it out!
Come gather 'round people Wherever you roam And admit that the waters Around you have grown And accept it that soon You'll be drenched to the bone. If your time to you Is worth savin' Then you better start swimmin' Or you'll sink like a stone For the times they are a-changin'.
Come writers and critics Who prophesize with your pen And keep your eyes wide The chance won't come again And don't speak too soon For the wheel's still in spin And there's no tellin' who That it's namin'. For the loser now Will be later to win For the times they are a-changin'.
Come senators, congressmen Please heed the call Don't stand in the doorway Don't block up the hall For he that gets hurt Will be he who has stalled There's a battle outside And it is ragin'. It'll soon shake your windows And rattle your walls For the times they are a-changin'.
Come mothers and fathers Throughout the land And don't criticize What you can't understand Your sons and your daughters Are beyond your command Your old road is Rapidly agin'. Please get out of the new one If you can't lend your hand For the times they are a-changin'.
The line it is drawn The curse it is cast The slow one now Will later be fast As the present now Will later be past The order is Rapidly fadin'. And the first one now Will later be last For the times they are a-changin'.
what do You guys think about Baracka for a girl??? Seriously, Partying here in Cuyahoga County!!! I told You guys OH was BLUE all along! Back to my work for ending global warming!!! ~Special advocate for the Trees...
(PS Any other Brits on here the BBC coverage is hilarious! Nobody really seems to know what the fuck they're talking about... it was up earlier that South Carolina was a major battleground state. I mean, Jesus.)
I love you AMERICA!!!!!!! WE WON!!!!!!!!!! The new dawn is here!!!!
Probably a lot of you have heard this already, but this is what I've heard recently: Rosa sat so Martin could walk, Martin walked so Barack could run, Barack is runing so our children can fly...
gotta love fox news with Obama will ruin this country and Obama will be useless and Pelosi will be the one actually running the country as she will run laps around him....sad sad tone coming from fox....I almost feel sorry for them...
Congratulations America! You have shown that there is hope after all, and that most of you do not have bigoted Stone Age minds and saw through the Palin-McCain nonsense.
two years of stress...TWO YEARS. Almost over. I am going to get very drunk now. Thank you President Obama! --------------------------------- Friend, you are SO far behind! *hic*
And it can't be said enough: thank you Nate et al for everything you've done in the name of an informed populace.
WV: cuscesc - the way to pronounce "success" when you've been toasting Obama all night long.
Congratulations, President Obama on behalf of the Disabled community.
Now it is time to get to work to make America the inclusionary society that it started out to be all those years ago.
And nowhere is the matter more poignant than the legal profession: a need to finally end discrimination within the legal ranks as nobly illustrated by BetterLegalProfession.org.
America will not be great until it becomes, at long last, an inclusionary society...at long last.
313 comments
first?
:D
!!
Amen
What?!! Are you sure??? OMG!!!
second?
YES!
Here's to a great next four years.
WORD!
FREEDOM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
best. post. ever.
It's about time!
Amen...despite a still-close popular vote, just about everything is falling Obama's way.
i love you america!
Мы чемпионы, товарищ!
Nate,
Thanks got your great work and skill!
Marty
Virginia dead heat 78%
The era of hate is over!!!!!!
based on the call for OH? how can we trust that????
Yesssssssss
two years of stress...TWO YEARS. Almost over. I am going to get very drunk now. Thank you President Obama!
This is great news...for John McCain! (And for all Americans!)
Wooot!!!!
But if I roll 00 on the percentile dice, I still have a chance at an open-ended roll....
YES WE CAN!
Greetings from Berlin, Germany.
So. Happy. Best 21st Birthday Present Everrrrrrr!
OBAMA-OBAMA-OBAMA!!!!!!
:-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-)
HELL YEAH! NO DOUBT
Thanks, Ohio, and especially to you Joe the Plumber.
I love you Nate Silver. You are the best person on the Internet.
How amazing... very proud of America tonight!
The world rejoices... and so do I.
Nate and all others, you've done a great job, and thanks for all the effort you guys have put in.
It's Miller Time!
DAMMIT BLOGGER!!! E. NE has Obama by ONE HUNDRED AND FORTY THREE VOTES. Could he get the EV????
OMG, I can't believe this. NOw I really am greedy. I want to top 300 at the very least. I want more popular vote.
wv=forightl "Forightl I do!"
yes, indeedy!
and it's going to be called so early!
we haven't had that in a long time.
It's nearly four in the morning here in France, and I'm knackered.
Perhaps I can go to bed now and sleep happy.
Thanks Nate.
Nate. Change the win percentage to 0 for Mccain.
OH called for Obama and FL looking great. It's OVER!
Baruch atah adonai eloheinu melech ha'olam shecheyanu v'kiy'manu v'higyanu lazman hazeh.
I think that's right...200 called + 55 CA + 11 WA + 4 HI = 270.
Cheers to that!
I am glad I could live to see this day. Its a whole new world.
HAPPY DAYS!!!!!
I can hardly wait to see how his plan works. Heck, I can hardly wait to find out what his plan really is.
YES WE CAN!
Blogger raining on my victory parade.
I'm in a very crowded Union office, about 60 people dancing all over the place. And I remain F5ing 538 on my laptop...
Dear World,
You're welcome.
Sincerely,
Ohio
I've been saying this to my wife ever since Ohio was called for Obama.
Wanna see something funny?
http://blog.indecision2008.com/2008/11/04/patton-oswalts-
liveblog-12/
I let my 3 year old stay up to watch this - it's the beginning of a new era.
I am proud to live in a nation that can elect this man.
FIRED UP!!!!!
The Precident President
I am happy to join with you today in what will go down in history as the greatest demonstration for freedom in the history of our nation.
Virginia now O50, M49!
79% reporting
I hate that OH was the state that put Obama over the top, but I'll take any win. Now let's go ahead and get a big win, not a modest one.
Amazing!!!! Yes we did!!!!
Two concepts, three words
Katrina
Abu Ghraib
Dear America/Planet Earth,
Sorry about last time. We finally got our shit together.
Sincerely,
The State of Ohio.
**In all seriousness, you do great work Nate and the rest of the people that work on this site. Have fun celebrating in Grant Park.
-Eric M
NY (12% in) and CA vote counts will fix the popular vote tilt.
WHOO! SO HAPPY!!!
Thanks to every deity out there! (Believe me, I've prayed to them all this campaign season.)
Hear hear!
Barack Obama as the 44th President is GREAT NEWS for JOHN MCCAIN!!!!!!!!!
don't play with us--what cinched it for you? :D
wv: psive -- p(en)sive, here.
wv: glinufi - what I'm feeling with all these attempts to submit a comment
wv: baliders -- the folks doing all the counting tonight.
Joe the Plumber
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!
Thank You PA and OH
Barack Obama!!!
That's right!...now we can wipe all the narrow-mnded racists clean off this planet!
-Republican Family for Obama
YES WE DID!
OBAMA leading in VA now!
OH, BUT PLEASE KEEP VOTING IN THE WEST!!!! SO MANY IMPORTANT THINGS STILL AT ISSUE IN CA AND ELSEWHERE!!!!!
Congratulations, Barack! So sorry your grandmother didn't make it to today, but I'm sure she couldn't have been prouder....
I remembered as soon as I saw Ohio projected for Obama -- "wait! Nate's models for a McCain victory required that Ohio go red." say hello to President Obama.
It's time for tomorrow, spelled O-B-A-M-A. Great post, Nate.
Gee - where's PeteKent??????????
It is SO FUCKING GREAT to see both OHIO and PA in BLUE!!!!!
And to watch FL and VA about to do the same!!!!!!!
The end of an 8 year nightmare!
No on 8!
yea!!!!!
Yaaaaahhhh!
California gets called in 1 hour 4 minutes. That will be it!
Yes we DID!
Tomorrow, the real work starts.
I'm a Canadian who is proud of America once again!
We did it! Now comes the hard work of getting things back on track. yes we can!
How eloquent.
I am absolutely estatic at this moment.
(:
Raise your hand if you're surprised.
Not to say I'm not releived
Nate, you have provided the best election coverage this cycle. Thank you.
I love you guys! I love my country! And for the first time in 8 years, I LOVE MY PRESIDENT!!!!!
:D :D :D
we did it, man
Yay! Go'bama!!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sVGVcOWrUes
third?
Indiana looking good!!! Some Blue NorthWest counties still got lots of votes to count
NC got a shout, VA looking good, Arizona??? :-)
There IS such a thing as a Presidential Prospect!
I have stopped crying, and have thanked God that I lived long enough to see this day. I even went outside and kissed the ground.
God bless us all.
God bless President-elect Barack Hussein Obama.
And God bless America.
I love you all.
And.........
for the first time in my adult life I am proud of my country.
cnn can't add, they have it at 199 for obama right now lol
Never underestimate the wisdom and courage of the American people. Yes we can!!
Lake county, IN is reporting fast and furious. Now with 414/561 precincts in, Obama 70 - McCain 29, which is a 65000 vote differential. Check: http://www.lakecountyin.org/cms-host/voters/microvote/2008ElectionResults/LakeElecSumm%20.htm
Oh yeah! I got a bottle of Asti and it needs to be opened, I can't wait till he takes the stage!!!
America - the world thanks you :)
Lets run up the score now! I'll take what we got, but Barack needs the mandate!
NATE SILVER F***ING PROJECTS!!!!!!!!!!! THAT'S AS GOOD AS IF IT CAME STRAIGHT FROM GOD'S MOUTH!!!!!!!
YES!
Google/Blogger ate my first ever comment on this site, too. Which was: MSNBC just called Ohio for Obama!
wv: mulgic, possibly some kind of mold remover. Possibly Google should try some on their *$&$^%ing servers.
thank you 538 for all that you do...love your site. hope you're back for an obama reelection.
YES WE CAN!
Dammit, let's call Virginia already! I know, I know, I shouldn't be so worried given the probability of the outcome. But I gotta know that Obama won my own state before I'll get any sleep tonight! KF
OBAMA!!!
Nate, you're the hero at a watercooler in the middle of Alabama, just generally in how you present yourself (you've gotten more personable on camera) and in how much effing genius you've got.
Just letting you know.
Breathing in for the first time in a long time. I will sleep well tonight.
Thanks, Nate, for the best post I have read tonight!
cograts to the USA from germany.
This is an amazing day for the whole world.
And Virginia is turning, too :-)
Nate - fabulous work! Followed you for months.
Folks, the work starts NOW!!
Barb
Nate - a most sincere thank you! Your efforts are ever appreciated by us all.
Glad to see blogger stopped bogging out.
@ Nathaniel
Add the west coast numbers and you break 270.
A new day for America!
wv: resess What we can do now that this is done
Yes. We. Have.
Breath in.. breath out... breath in...
This is very, very good and much needed news. I'm so glad to see change coming for this country - and the world.
Thank you Nate, Sean and Brett for your excellent work with this site!
Are we socialist yet? Are we socialist yet? Are we socialist yet?
Big up from a half German half Algerian living in France...balls explode!!
Any news from Real Joe?? Thought there was a surprise to be revealed!
wv: provac...that's what McGramps and especially Cindy are gonna need
THANK ZEUS YOU'RE BACK!
WE HAVE DONE IT!
Now we must defeat Prop 8!!
And he's taken the lead in Virginia!
Shit just got real.
OBAMA FTW!!!!!!!!111
I am calling IN for Obama once more. I called it almost 2 hours ago.
Ok, I had to do it. I ventured onto the Freeptard site to get a laugh and see what the mood is over there. Here's a direct quote.
"Remember, win respectively, loose respectively, don't put your whining comments on this board."
This is a really good example of the type of person that frequents their boards. They don't know the difference between respectfully and respectfully or lose and loose. Classic.
Congratulations President Barack Hussein Obama!!!
Finally!!! I feel like I haven't been able to breathe for eight years.
The scenes from Grant Park are unbelievable. Almost time to open the champagne.
Thanks, Nate, Sean, and Brett. Good luck to you guys!
Can it be?
Yes we did!
YES WE CAN! YES WE DID!
OMG I'M SO FUCKING HAPPY!!
Barack Won Ohio???
THAT IS GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!
MCCAIN SURGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
McCain has him just where he wants him!
ZERO.POINT.ZERO
Where oh where has my little Real Joe gone?
I tend to forget Nate is a dyed in the wool Obama supporter. YES!!!!!!!!!!!
This is old news. Called it earlier.
Jubilance!
Barack Obama - The dawn of a new era. Leader of the free world!
Congratulations from Singapore
Thank you, Nate. You've been a consistent voice of reason throughout this campaign. You've risen above the rest.
A beautiful and incredible moment in history.
Good Luck Barak; you're gonna need it!
To make it to 270, he only needs California, Hawaii and Washington...always easily won by the Dems! Nate...thank you for declaring while all the news stations are dragging it out!
It must be my birthday!
Free funderoos for everybody!
http://www.funderoos.com
I want to second whoever said Nate is the best person on the Internet.
Dear America,
Well done on getting this one right, much love.
81% VA in BO now ahead by 13,000
I wonder how many of us there were trying to post Oh recalled for BO!
OHHHH YEEAAAAAAAAAHHH
No one else will call it yet, but with the west coast conceded well in advance, it's clear you've called it right.
Hope this doesn't decrease the California turnout in the last hour, since we have some key races up for grabs (gay marriage, anti-abortion).
I bet Iowa get called instantly!!!
Nate, thank you for the most beautiful exclamation point in American history!
Hope.
Hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope.
And then some.
you betcha
/group hug
/smooch
<3 <3 <3
:)
Where the hell are all our trolls?
HOW YOU LIKE US NOW?
Thank God.
Congratulations to the United States of America From Ireland
The Dark valley has past.
The sun is almost in view.
Now lets make this poor long suffering world a little better.
Thanks God and you all, that got out and voted and made a difference.
Congratulations America, the rest of the world is excited :)
I can't wait to see the victory speech with 500,000 people filling the plaza in Chicago!
Way to go Obama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Let me just say that fivethirtyeight never failed to give me hope when nothing else did.
And it may be a little early but...
We did it!
WOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!
8 long, bleak years of bloodshed, greed and immorality finally over! Hallelujah!
Thank you Lord!
Thank you Nate!
WHOOT! THANK YOU OHIO!
One last thing to say... thanks for everything Nate, I've been addicted to your website for over a month now...
I'll be back to talk baseball in the spring!
- Best, Brian
Fox News is AWESOME right now!!!!!!!!
Come gather 'round people
Wherever you roam
And admit that the waters
Around you have grown
And accept it that soon
You'll be drenched to the bone.
If your time to you
Is worth savin'
Then you better start swimmin'
Or you'll sink like a stone
For the times they are a-changin'.
Come writers and critics
Who prophesize with your pen
And keep your eyes wide
The chance won't come again
And don't speak too soon
For the wheel's still in spin
And there's no tellin' who
That it's namin'.
For the loser now
Will be later to win
For the times they are a-changin'.
Come senators, congressmen
Please heed the call
Don't stand in the doorway
Don't block up the hall
For he that gets hurt
Will be he who has stalled
There's a battle outside
And it is ragin'.
It'll soon shake your windows
And rattle your walls
For the times they are a-changin'.
Come mothers and fathers
Throughout the land
And don't criticize
What you can't understand
Your sons and your daughters
Are beyond your command
Your old road is
Rapidly agin'.
Please get out of the new one
If you can't lend your hand
For the times they are a-changin'.
The line it is drawn
The curse it is cast
The slow one now
Will later be fast
As the present now
Will later be past
The order is
Rapidly fadin'.
And the first one now
Will later be last
For the times they are a-changin'.
Oh thank whatever diety you believe in!!!
:)
:)
:)
YES WE DID!!!!!
what do You guys think about Baracka for a girl??? Seriously, Partying here in Cuyahoga County!!! I told You guys OH was BLUE all along!
Back to my work for ending global warming!!!
~Special advocate for the Trees...
Come on Fairfax County, VA!
We did our job in New Mexico --- Obamanos! We're waiting for Virginia, the mother of presidents, to come in for Obama! Come on VA, where are you?
Oh you fabulous Americans. You are all wonderful.
(PS Any other Brits on here the BBC coverage is hilarious! Nobody really seems to know what the fuck they're talking about... it was up earlier that South Carolina was a major battleground state. I mean, Jesus.)
It's late in the UK, but not too late to celebrate. sweet news.
Hell. Yeah.
I love you AMERICA!!!!!!!
WE WON!!!!!!!!!!
The new dawn is here!!!!
Probably a lot of you have heard this already, but this is what I've heard recently:
Rosa sat so Martin could walk,
Martin walked so Barack could run,
Barack is runing so our children can fly...
And I mean all of our children!!!
The 44th POTUS Barack Obama!!!
YES WE CAN!!!!
Aaahhhhhhhhhhh!
woot!
thanks to Nate, Sean, and Brett for all the great work at 538.
Obama victory song!
http://www.thesixtyone.com/#/paintingtasters/collection/item/33472/?autoplay_song
Here's to a better four years!
This is GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!
gotta love fox news with Obama will ruin this country and Obama will be useless and Pelosi will be the one actually running the country as she will run laps around him....sad sad tone coming from fox....I almost feel sorry for them...
Where is Real Joe with his surprise?????
Hallelujah!
Suckers. Your nightmare is just beginning.
YAY! Yay President-elect Obama!
8 long, horrible years finally over! Thank you, President Obama!
WOOT! SO excited!
Hi Bex!!!!!!!! Come over here and join us!!!!!!
Told you IA would get called instantly
from John McCain is my Love Child:
"Blogger raining on my victory parade.
I'm in a very crowded Union office, about 60 people dancing all over the place. And I remain F5ing 538 on my laptop..."
FUNNIEST THING I HAVE READ IN A LONG TIME!
Greetings from Canada!
Congratulations America! You have shown that there is hope after all, and that most of you do not have bigoted Stone Age minds and saw through the Palin-McCain nonsense.
Here's to a great next 8 years.
Shivers...Yeah!
You're welcome world. We did our best.
P.S. I think that VA is going to pull through for Obama. We here in Harrisonburg did our part.
YES!!!!!!!
America is SO DOING THIS!! We're going to turn it up!!
MCCAIN SURGRE!!!
Way to go, O-Hi-O!
Also, Iowa.
Thanks for a fantastic resource to watch from Scotland a truly historic moment in the story of this new century
"Be the change you want to be in the world"
Gandhi
OHIO WE LOVE YOU!!!
It's 4AM in Berlin, but what a wonderful, wonderful moment to have seen.
This is so amazing. Thank God -- now let's hope for a *very solid* win for the sake of governance.
Virginia just tipped Obama!
CRLIndoland said...
two years of stress...TWO YEARS. Almost over. I am going to get very drunk now. Thank you President Obama!
---------------------------------
Friend, you are SO far behind! *hic*
And it can't be said enough: thank you Nate et al for everything you've done in the name of an informed populace.
WV: cuscesc - the way to pronounce "success" when you've been toasting Obama all night long.
the sweetest of victories! the Republicloud is finally clearing after eight dark years . . .
O is the the next president
Truly a historic day, month, year in
the history of our republic. I'm
proud!
FiveThirtyEight made it fun and this
was my first time ever blogging.
Drudge, eat your heart out, hope you sink in ratings, "idiot with a modem".
davy and all
petekent and the rest will NOT be here tonight.
Thank goodness!
God Bless You, America!!!
dishiste - dis is history, people!!! I'm so excited.
So this is what it feels like to root for the winning team, huh... It feels SWEET!
Great projections so far Nate!
Nate: thanks for taking us along on this extraordinary journey. Bless our nation and may our good acts make it a guiding light for the world.
Hopey! Thanks Nate for all your work.
this is my favorite post! i don't think it will truly sink in for a while, though.
cheers to you all!
joy joy joy joy joy joy
The progressive era of Obama begins.
We are done with Bush and the neocons. finally
Palin can stay in Alaska.
Go Obama!
news in ohio--when your read this: thank you now you are now good news in ohio.
By the way---is PPP the most accurate pollster of the night?
you people have no idea what you've done.
enjoy it.
President-elect Barack Obama.
That sounds good!
Congratulations, President Obama on behalf of the Disabled community.
Now it is time to get to work to make America the inclusionary society that it started out to be all those years ago.
And nowhere is the matter more poignant than the legal profession: a need to finally end discrimination within the legal ranks as nobly illustrated by BetterLegalProfession.org.
America will not be great until it becomes, at long last, an inclusionary society...at long last.
- Carl J. Roeder, Esq.
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