11.04.2008

Obama to Become Next President

!

313 comments

Felipe said...

first?

Dougal Sutherland said...

:D

derek b said...

!!

Daniel said...

Amen

Sarty said...

What?!! Are you sure??? OMG!!!

Marc said...

second?

Mad Joy said...

YES!
Here's to a great next four years.

Adam said...

WORD!

Lawdogusc said...

FREEDOM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

EclecticMuzikMan said...

best. post. ever.

lerner15 said...

It's about time!

Eric said...

Amen...despite a still-close popular vote, just about everything is falling Obama's way.

katiehov said...

i love you america!

Norris G said...

Мы чемпионы, товарищ!

Martin said...

Nate,

Thanks got your great work and skill!

Marty

Abbie Nermal said...

Virginia dead heat 78%

El Oso said...

The era of hate is over!!!!!!

Nathaniel Engelsen said...

based on the call for OH? how can we trust that????

Jason said...

Yesssssssss

CRLIndoland said...

two years of stress...TWO YEARS. Almost over. I am going to get very drunk now. Thank you President Obama!

Kenneth R. Morefield said...

This is great news...for John McCain! (And for all Americans!)

donaithnen said...

Wooot!!!!

Fraud Guy said...

But if I roll 00 on the percentile dice, I still have a chance at an open-ended roll....

C.Sydow said...

YES WE CAN!

Greetings from Berlin, Germany.

Allie said...

So. Happy. Best 21st Birthday Present Everrrrrrr!

CATTUCKER said...

OBAMA-OBAMA-OBAMA!!!!!!

Becky Sharp said...

:-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-)

Wilson said...

HELL YEAH! NO DOUBT

Chris Thompson said...

Thanks, Ohio, and especially to you Joe the Plumber.

Evan said...

I love you Nate Silver. You are the best person on the Internet.

jb said...

How amazing... very proud of America tonight!
The world rejoices... and so do I.

Nate and all others, you've done a great job, and thanks for all the effort you guys have put in.
It's Miller Time!

KIC said...

DAMMIT BLOGGER!!! E. NE has Obama by ONE HUNDRED AND FORTY THREE VOTES. Could he get the EV????

OMG, I can't believe this. NOw I really am greedy. I want to top 300 at the very least. I want more popular vote.

wv=forightl "Forightl I do!"

beehive maiden said...

yes, indeedy!
and it's going to be called so early!
we haven't had that in a long time.

tony said...

It's nearly four in the morning here in France, and I'm knackered.

Perhaps I can go to bed now and sleep happy.

Thanks Nate.

mizack2 said...

Nate. Change the win percentage to 0 for Mccain.

madamerica said...

OH called for Obama and FL looking great. It's OVER!

fiat lux said...

Baruch atah adonai eloheinu melech ha'olam shecheyanu v'kiy'manu v'higyanu lazman hazeh.

Ben Foster said...

I think that's right...200 called + 55 CA + 11 WA + 4 HI = 270.

csm said...

Cheers to that!

Peter said...

I am glad I could live to see this day. Its a whole new world.

Tyson said...

HAPPY DAYS!!!!!

Brett said...

I can hardly wait to see how his plan works. Heck, I can hardly wait to find out what his plan really is.

Dusan said...

YES WE CAN!

John McCain is my Love Child! said...

Blogger raining on my victory parade.


I'm in a very crowded Union office, about 60 people dancing all over the place. And I remain F5ing 538 on my laptop...

Joe Rybicki said...

Dear World,

You're welcome.

Sincerely,
Ohio

12monkeys said...

I've been saying this to my wife ever since Ohio was called for Obama.

Mister said...

Wanna see something funny?

http://blog.indecision2008.com/2008/11/04/patton-oswalts-
liveblog-12/

JVH said...

I let my 3 year old stay up to watch this - it's the beginning of a new era.

I am proud to live in a nation that can elect this man.

Cargo2007 said...

FIRED UP!!!!!

kvond said...

The Precident President

waitwhat said...

I am happy to join with you today in what will go down in history as the greatest demonstration for freedom in the history of our nation.

Jerry056 said...

Virginia now O50, M49!

79% reporting

Sedi said...

I hate that OH was the state that put Obama over the top, but I'll take any win. Now let's go ahead and get a big win, not a modest one.

Rocchio said...
This post has been removed by the author.
weinerdog said...

Amazing!!!! Yes we did!!!!

cane said...

Two concepts, three words

Katrina
Abu Ghraib

disembodied head said...

Dear America/Planet Earth,

Sorry about last time. We finally got our shit together.

Sincerely,

The State of Ohio.


**In all seriousness, you do great work Nate and the rest of the people that work on this site. Have fun celebrating in Grant Park.

-Eric M

G-Man said...

NY (12% in) and CA vote counts will fix the popular vote tilt.

hybrid said...

WHOO! SO HAPPY!!!

Elena said...

Thanks to every deity out there! (Believe me, I've prayed to them all this campaign season.)

Richard said...

Hear hear!

LivingMinimal said...

Barack Obama as the 44th President is GREAT NEWS for JOHN MCCAIN!!!!!!!!!

GUD Magazine said...

don't play with us--what cinched it for you? :D

wv: psive -- p(en)sive, here.

wv: glinufi - what I'm feeling with all these attempts to submit a comment

wv: baliders -- the folks doing all the counting tonight.

Tyson said...

Joe the Plumber

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

Thank You PA and OH

Librocrat said...

Barack Obama!!!

Reporter said...

That's right!...now we can wipe all the narrow-mnded racists clean off this planet!

-Republican Family for Obama

Bush Whacked said...

YES WE DID!

William said...

OBAMA leading in VA now!

beamman said...

OH, BUT PLEASE KEEP VOTING IN THE WEST!!!! SO MANY IMPORTANT THINGS STILL AT ISSUE IN CA AND ELSEWHERE!!!!!

Congratulations, Barack! So sorry your grandmother didn't make it to today, but I'm sure she couldn't have been prouder....

mglito3 said...

I remembered as soon as I saw Ohio projected for Obama -- "wait! Nate's models for a McCain victory required that Ohio go red." say hello to President Obama.

Eric said...

It's time for tomorrow, spelled O-B-A-M-A. Great post, Nate.

GayIthacan said...

Gee - where's PeteKent??????????

It is SO FUCKING GREAT to see both OHIO and PA in BLUE!!!!!

And to watch FL and VA about to do the same!!!!!!!

Jeff said...

The end of an 8 year nightmare!

No on 8!

Emily said...

yea!!!!!

Renee said...

Yaaaaahhhh!

capehorn said...

California gets called in 1 hour 4 minutes. That will be it!

pfellah said...

Yes we DID!

Tomorrow, the real work starts.

mbot said...

I'm a Canadian who is proud of America once again!

Quin Wilde's Dad said...

We did it! Now comes the hard work of getting things back on track. yes we can!

maykay said...

How eloquent.
I am absolutely estatic at this moment.
(:

Matt said...

Raise your hand if you're surprised.

Not to say I'm not releived

Drew M said...

Nate, you have provided the best election coverage this cycle. Thank you.

El Oso said...

I love you guys! I love my country! And for the first time in 8 years, I LOVE MY PRESIDENT!!!!!

Charlene said...

:D :D :D

David said...

we did it, man

Bill said...

Yay! Go'bama!!!


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sVGVcOWrUes

Turgid said...

third?

Becky Sharp said...

Indiana looking good!!! Some Blue NorthWest counties still got lots of votes to count

NC got a shout, VA looking good, Arizona??? :-)

Will said...

There IS such a thing as a Presidential Prospect!

bamaObama said...

I have stopped crying, and have thanked God that I lived long enough to see this day. I even went outside and kissed the ground.

God bless us all.

God bless President-elect Barack Hussein Obama.

And God bless America.

I love you all.

And.........
for the first time in my adult life I am proud of my country.

Dukie2010 said...

cnn can't add, they have it at 199 for obama right now lol

andrew said...

Never underestimate the wisdom and courage of the American people. Yes we can!!

igwespike said...

Lake county, IN is reporting fast and furious. Now with 414/561 precincts in, Obama 70 - McCain 29, which is a 65000 vote differential. Check: http://www.lakecountyin.org/cms-host/voters/microvote/2008ElectionResults/LakeElecSumm%20.htm

John said...

Oh yeah! I got a bottle of Asti and it needs to be opened, I can't wait till he takes the stage!!!

Mark said...

America - the world thanks you :)

koolherc73 said...

Lets run up the score now! I'll take what we got, but Barack needs the mandate!

Nate Silver will you have a Hot Dog with me? said...

NATE SILVER F***ING PROJECTS!!!!!!!!!!! THAT'S AS GOOD AS IF IT CAME STRAIGHT FROM GOD'S MOUTH!!!!!!!

mikehuntisgrate said...

YES!

none said...

Google/Blogger ate my first ever comment on this site, too. Which was: MSNBC just called Ohio for Obama!

wv: mulgic, possibly some kind of mold remover. Possibly Google should try some on their *$&$^%ing servers.

John said...

thank you 538 for all that you do...love your site. hope you're back for an obama reelection.

YES WE CAN!

Kizyr said...

Dammit, let's call Virginia already! I know, I know, I shouldn't be so worried given the probability of the outcome. But I gotta know that Obama won my own state before I'll get any sleep tonight! KF

JF Isher said...

OBAMA!!!

Nate, you're the hero at a watercooler in the middle of Alabama, just generally in how you present yourself (you've gotten more personable on camera) and in how much effing genius you've got.

Just letting you know.

Robin said...

Breathing in for the first time in a long time. I will sleep well tonight.

Thanks, Nate, for the best post I have read tonight!

NomenNescio said...

cograts to the USA from germany.
This is an amazing day for the whole world.

And Virginia is turning, too :-)

BarbLibrarian said...

Nate - fabulous work! Followed you for months.

Folks, the work starts NOW!!

Barb

Zack said...

Nate - a most sincere thank you! Your efforts are ever appreciated by us all.

Glad to see blogger stopped bogging out.

Davy said...

@ Nathaniel

Add the west coast numbers and you break 270.

A new day for America!

wv: resess What we can do now that this is done

disconformity said...

Yes. We. Have.

:: doris said...

Breath in.. breath out... breath in...

This is very, very good and much needed news. I'm so glad to see change coming for this country - and the world.

Thank you Nate, Sean and Brett for your excellent work with this site!

Wa7th said...

Are we socialist yet? Are we socialist yet? Are we socialist yet?

samule said...

Big up from a half German half Algerian living in France...balls explode!!

Any news from Real Joe?? Thought there was a surprise to be revealed!

wv: provac...that's what McGramps and especially Cindy are gonna need

88 said...

THANK ZEUS YOU'RE BACK!

WE HAVE DONE IT!

Now we must defeat Prop 8!!

Raymond said...

And he's taken the lead in Virginia!

Shit just got real.

macrowiz49 said...

OBAMA FTW!!!!!!!!111

madamerica said...

I am calling IN for Obama once more. I called it almost 2 hours ago.

Brian said...

Ok, I had to do it. I ventured onto the Freeptard site to get a laugh and see what the mood is over there. Here's a direct quote.

"Remember, win respectively, loose respectively, don't put your whining comments on this board."

This is a really good example of the type of person that frequents their boards. They don't know the difference between respectfully and respectfully or lose and loose. Classic.

Congratulations President Barack Hussein Obama!!!

Barbara said...

Finally!!! I feel like I haven't been able to breathe for eight years.

The scenes from Grant Park are unbelievable. Almost time to open the champagne.

Thanks, Nate, Sean, and Brett. Good luck to you guys!

x0lani said...

Can it be?

matt said...

Yes we did!

El Oso said...

YES WE CAN! YES WE DID!

OMG I'M SO FUCKING HAPPY!!

Buckeye said...

Barack Won Ohio???

THAT IS GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!

MCCAIN SURGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

McCain has him just where he wants him!

sunznut said...

ZERO.POINT.ZERO

John McCain is my Love Child! said...

Where oh where has my little Real Joe gone?

someperson718 said...

I tend to forget Nate is a dyed in the wool Obama supporter. YES!!!!!!!!!!!

Scott Gunn said...

This is old news. Called it earlier.

owlman407real said...

Jubilance!

Karan said...

Barack Obama - The dawn of a new era. Leader of the free world!

Congratulations from Singapore

Sarah said...

Thank you, Nate. You've been a consistent voice of reason throughout this campaign. You've risen above the rest.

brittnell said...

A beautiful and incredible moment in history.

cranky investor said...

Good Luck Barak; you're gonna need it!

Lindsay said...

To make it to 270, he only needs California, Hawaii and Washington...always easily won by the Dems! Nate...thank you for declaring while all the news stations are dragging it out!

Fizz Byers said...

It must be my birthday!
Free funderoos for everybody!
http://www.funderoos.com

Alex said...

I want to second whoever said Nate is the best person on the Internet.

Dave-london said...

Dear America,

Well done on getting this one right, much love.

81% VA in BO now ahead by 13,000

I wonder how many of us there were trying to post Oh recalled for BO!

Julian said...

OHHHH YEEAAAAAAAAAHHH

Jamie Knits said...

No one else will call it yet, but with the west coast conceded well in advance, it's clear you've called it right.

Hope this doesn't decrease the California turnout in the last hour, since we have some key races up for grabs (gay marriage, anti-abortion).

Becky Sharp said...

I bet Iowa get called instantly!!!

Deborah said...

Nate, thank you for the most beautiful exclamation point in American history!

Kelson said...

Hope.

Hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope hope.

And then some.

ogers said...

you betcha

Alamala said...

/group hug
/smooch
<3 <3 <3
:)

Davy said...

Where the hell are all our trolls?

HOW YOU LIKE US NOW?

JJ said...

Thank God.

Congratulations to the United States of America From Ireland

The Dark valley has past.

The sun is almost in view.

Now lets make this poor long suffering world a little better.

Thanks God and you all, that got out and voted and made a difference.

matt said...

Congratulations America, the rest of the world is excited :)

Jason said...

I can't wait to see the victory speech with 500,000 people filling the plaza in Chicago!

Way to go Obama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Adam Spektor said...

Let me just say that fivethirtyeight never failed to give me hope when nothing else did.

And it may be a little early but...

We did it!

Knut said...

WOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!

Francis Deblauwe said...

8 long, bleak years of bloodshed, greed and immorality finally over! Hallelujah!

NOLA58 said...

Thank you Lord!

Thank you Nate!

Brian N. said...

WHOOT! THANK YOU OHIO!

One last thing to say... thanks for everything Nate, I've been addicted to your website for over a month now...

I'll be back to talk baseball in the spring!

- Best, Brian

Sophia said...
This post has been removed by the author.
Tyson said...

Fox News is AWESOME right now!!!!!!!!

William said...

Come gather 'round people
Wherever you roam
And admit that the waters
Around you have grown
And accept it that soon
You'll be drenched to the bone.
If your time to you
Is worth savin'
Then you better start swimmin'
Or you'll sink like a stone
For the times they are a-changin'.

Come writers and critics
Who prophesize with your pen
And keep your eyes wide
The chance won't come again
And don't speak too soon
For the wheel's still in spin
And there's no tellin' who
That it's namin'.
For the loser now
Will be later to win
For the times they are a-changin'.

Come senators, congressmen
Please heed the call
Don't stand in the doorway
Don't block up the hall
For he that gets hurt
Will be he who has stalled
There's a battle outside
And it is ragin'.
It'll soon shake your windows
And rattle your walls
For the times they are a-changin'.

Come mothers and fathers
Throughout the land
And don't criticize
What you can't understand
Your sons and your daughters
Are beyond your command
Your old road is
Rapidly agin'.
Please get out of the new one
If you can't lend your hand
For the times they are a-changin'.

The line it is drawn
The curse it is cast
The slow one now
Will later be fast
As the present now
Will later be past
The order is
Rapidly fadin'.
And the first one now
Will later be last
For the times they are a-changin'.

Joe Prime said...

Oh thank whatever diety you believe in!!!

:)

:)

:)

2much2lose said...

YES WE DID!!!!!

liforcerenewal said...

what do You guys think about Baracka for a girl??? Seriously, Partying here in Cuyahoga County!!! I told You guys OH was BLUE all along!
Back to my work for ending global warming!!!
~Special advocate for the Trees...

Chris said...

Come on Fairfax County, VA!

John said...

We did our job in New Mexico --- Obamanos! We're waiting for Virginia, the mother of presidents, to come in for Obama! Come on VA, where are you?

Bex of Ambridge said...

Oh you fabulous Americans. You are all wonderful.

(PS Any other Brits on here the BBC coverage is hilarious! Nobody really seems to know what the fuck they're talking about... it was up earlier that South Carolina was a major battleground state. I mean, Jesus.)

Felix said...

It's late in the UK, but not too late to celebrate. sweet news.

Stanley said...

Hell. Yeah.

Igor said...

I love you AMERICA!!!!!!!
WE WON!!!!!!!!!!
The new dawn is here!!!!

Probably a lot of you have heard this already, but this is what I've heard recently:
Rosa sat so Martin could walk,
Martin walked so Barack could run,
Barack is runing so our children can fly...

And I mean all of our children!!!

Obe from Cali said...

The 44th POTUS Barack Obama!!!

YES WE CAN!!!!

Aaahhhhhhhhhhh!

craig said...

woot!

thanks to Nate, Sean, and Brett for all the great work at 538.

Painting said...

Obama victory song!

http://www.thesixtyone.com/#/paintingtasters/collection/item/33472/?autoplay_song

Here's to a better four years!

El Oso said...

This is GREAT NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!

CloudyFuture said...

gotta love fox news with Obama will ruin this country and Obama will be useless and Pelosi will be the one actually running the country as she will run laps around him....sad sad tone coming from fox....I almost feel sorry for them...

bigdayqueen said...

Where is Real Joe with his surprise?????

Alexander said...

Hallelujah!

Mossback Meme said...

Suckers. Your nightmare is just beginning.

[ tyler curtain ] said...

YAY! Yay President-elect Obama!

Sophia said...

8 long, horrible years finally over! Thank you, President Obama!

Aaron said...

WOOT! SO excited!

Becky Sharp said...

Hi Bex!!!!!!!! Come over here and join us!!!!!!

Told you IA would get called instantly

beehive maiden said...

from John McCain is my Love Child:
"Blogger raining on my victory parade.


I'm in a very crowded Union office, about 60 people dancing all over the place. And I remain F5ing 538 on my laptop..."

FUNNIEST THING I HAVE READ IN A LONG TIME!

Marge said...

Greetings from Canada!

Congratulations America! You have shown that there is hope after all, and that most of you do not have bigoted Stone Age minds and saw through the Palin-McCain nonsense.

Here's to a great next 8 years.

Rachel said...

Shivers...Yeah!

Sedi said...

You're welcome world. We did our best.

P.S. I think that VA is going to pull through for Obama. We here in Harrisonburg did our part.

M. said...

YES!!!!!!!

America is SO DOING THIS!! We're going to turn it up!!

El Oso said...

MCCAIN SURGRE!!!

Crito said...

Way to go, O-Hi-O!

Also, Iowa.

Infinite Lawn said...

Thanks for a fantastic resource to watch from Scotland a truly historic moment in the story of this new century

"Be the change you want to be in the world"
Gandhi

Obe from Cali said...

OHIO WE LOVE YOU!!!

TomA said...

It's 4AM in Berlin, but what a wonderful, wonderful moment to have seen.

This is so amazing. Thank God -- now let's hope for a *very solid* win for the sake of governance.

Kzoos said...

Virginia just tipped Obama!

Miss M said...

CRLIndoland said...

two years of stress...TWO YEARS. Almost over. I am going to get very drunk now. Thank you President Obama!
---------------------------------
Friend, you are SO far behind! *hic*

And it can't be said enough: thank you Nate et al for everything you've done in the name of an informed populace.

WV: cuscesc - the way to pronounce "success" when you've been toasting Obama all night long.

criscantu said...

the sweetest of victories! the Republicloud is finally clearing after eight dark years . . .

One$Earned said...

O is the the next president

Truly a historic day, month, year in
the history of our republic. I'm
proud!

FiveThirtyEight made it fun and this
was my first time ever blogging.

Cosmin said...

Drudge, eat your heart out, hope you sink in ratings, "idiot with a modem".

Lani said...

davy and all

petekent and the rest will NOT be here tonight.

Thank goodness!

Mary said...

God Bless You, America!!!
dishiste - dis is history, people!!! I'm so excited.

Linda said...

So this is what it feels like to root for the winning team, huh... It feels SWEET!

Great projections so far Nate!

pjd said...

Nate: thanks for taking us along on this extraordinary journey. Bless our nation and may our good acts make it a guiding light for the world.

Yumicho said...

Hopey! Thanks Nate for all your work.

laura said...

this is my favorite post! i don't think it will truly sink in for a while, though.

cheers to you all!

eve said...

joy joy joy joy joy joy

The progressive era of Obama begins.



We are done with Bush and the neocons. finally

Palin can stay in Alaska.

LAT said...

Go Obama!

news in ohio--when your read this: thank you now you are now good news in ohio.

By the way---is PPP the most accurate pollster of the night?

Steve said...

you people have no idea what you've done.

enjoy it.

Mr said...

President-elect Barack Obama.
That sounds good!

House of Atreus said...

Congratulations, President Obama on behalf of the Disabled community.

Now it is time to get to work to make America the inclusionary society that it started out to be all those years ago.

And nowhere is the matter more poignant than the legal profession: a need to finally end discrimination within the legal ranks as nobly illustrated by BetterLegalProfession.org.

America will not be great until it becomes, at long last, an inclusionary society...at long last.

- Carl J. Roeder, Esq.