Quantcast FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Is Dixville Notch Predictive?

11.04.2008

Is Dixville Notch Predictive?

In a word: No. There's no historical relationship between the performances of the two major-party candidates In Dixville Notch and their performances in the rest of New Hampshire -- never mind the rest of the country:



Still, you'd rather be up 15-6 than down, wouldn't you?