I had the chance this afternoon to speak with John Ziegler, a documentary filmmaker and former radio talk show host who built the website HowObamaGotElected.com and is promoting a forthcoming documentary of the same name.
Ziegler was responsible for commissioning a Zogby International survey of Barack Obama supporters, which took the form of a multiple choice political knowledge test, stating a "fact" to the respondent and asking them which of the four major candidates (Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin) the statement applied to. Because I believe that many of the statements on the survey are questionable or false but are misleadingly presented as factual to the respondent, I characterized the survey as a "push poll" in an article posted early this morning.
Ziegler had contacted me by e-mail, asking if I'd like to interview him; the interview itself was conducted by telephone. Ziegler asked, among other conditions, that I post a full transcript of the interview, which I have. The transcript below is intended to be representative as possible from my shorthand transcript, with the exception of two or three rapid-fire ad-hominem exchanges being edited out. The transcript, however, is not safe for work.
Nate Silver [NS]: Were only Obama supporters interviewed for the [Zogby] survey, or was everyone interviewed?
John Ziegler [JZ]: The reason why I interviewed Obama supporters only is because I’m doing a documentary on the media coverage of the campaign and how the media coverage of the campaign impacted what Obama supporters knew or thought they knew about the campaign. I had planned from day one because I knew that no one would take seriously any random sampling of interviewees that I was going to commission a scientific poll of these questions. I also knew that it would be a lot cheaper for me to do a nationwide survey of Obama voters than the nation as a whole because basically I’d only have to do half the number of people to get a representative sample. When I went on FOX last night, I made a deal that if anyone on the left -- you're more than willing to take me up on this -- wants to ask the exact same deal of the McCain supporters and you get examples that are equal to or worse than the Obama supporters, then I’ll pay for your expense. The point here was not to show that Obama supporters were idiots -- there are plenty of idiots on both sides of the aisle -- but what information they got from the media that they were able to consume.
NS: Do you stand by all the statements in the survey as being unambiguously true?
JZ: I stand one hundred percent by the notion that there is absolutely zero ambiguity as to what the right answer is to any of the questions. With the one exception of the Palin-Russia-Alaska question which we asked the way we did for a very specific purpose which was to try and gauge the Tina Fey Effect which I think we did in a very effective manner which was what was actually said by Tina Fey, everyone attributed to Sarah Plain. But for purposes of scoring Obama supporters’ answers we counted Palin as a correct response.
NS: What was the right answer to that [Palin] question?
JZ: The technically accurate question [sic] is that none of the four people said that, but we counted it as correct if they said Sarah Palin.
NS: Why would you commission a survey question with no correct response?
JZ: The purpose of the question, you pinhead, was we wanted to determine the Tina Fey Effect.
NS: Were the interviews conducted by telephone or online?
JZ: How can you ask a question like that and pretend that you have any clue what you're writing about! That's unbelievable that someone could write what you did! That is unbelievable that you wouldn't know that it's a telephone or an online poll and that you went on my summaries of the questions before the questions were even released!
NS: We’ve heard reports from our readers that very similar questions had been asked in an online format. There was no online component at all?
JZ: That is correct, which you would have known if you had looked at the information. Before you called this a push poll -- you don't seem to know the definition of a push poll. How do you have this website?
NS: Is the complete interview available anywhere -- complete results for the interview?
JZ: Yeah if you had done your research it is all online, every question, all the cross-tabs. Man, you're never going to post this [transcript], are you?
NS: Were the respondents informed of the 'correct' response during the telephone interviews?
JZ: No.
NS: Did Zogby have a chance to preview the questions before agreeing to accept your business?
JZ: John Zogby himself or the company?
NS: Either/Or.
JZ: I am quite certain that if I asked a question they deemed inappropriate they would have not allowed the question to be asked.
NS: What questions were removed from the survey?
JZ: We didn't remove any, we edited some.
NS: What questions were edited?
JZ: Nothing was substantially edited but there was some wording on some that we went over with them. For instance, I think I had inadvertently said “See Russia from my home” instead of “See Russia from my house”. There was a distinction about Obama talking about energy prices versus electricity prices so we corrected that. That’s all that I can recollect.
NS: What did Zogby charge you -- what did you pay for this survey?
JZ: I'm not going to tell you that, I'm not a fucking idiot.
NS: Did he charge you at his usual rates or did he ask you for extra?
JZ: You'll have to ask them. I'm not going to respond how much money I paid for this. It was substantial but I’m not going to say anything more than that.
NS: In the Youtube video, how were the Obama supporters identified for the Youtube video?
JZ: I had nothing to do with it. I had a person who was working with me who happens to be a black female since you seem to think I’m a racist who was the one that chose all of the respondents based on conversations we’d had prior, people who were well-spoken, thought they were informed, willing to come on camera and [who] voted for Barack Obama.
NS: What was the location of the polling place where the interviews were conducted?
JZ: They were both in Los Angeles.
NS: Okay, that's what I kind of guessed. How many Obama supporters did you speak with in total?
JZ: All twelve we spoke with are in the video.
NS: Was there any significance to the fact that in the YouTube video, seven of the twelve Obama supporters were black?
JZ: [Laughs]. The reason why we had more black supporters – that might surprise some of the people that we spoke to -- if we go by your apparent ability to determine race -- the first location happened to be in a black section of town and we were able to get our interviews faster there because of they way that was set up, because of the logistics. We had a second location but it got dark and we didn't have any lights. So, that's it, it was no grand racial conspiracy.
NS: How did you represent yourself to John Zogby?
JZ: As private company, Death-of-Free-Speech-dot-inc which is the name of a book that I wrote.
NS: Did Zogby give you sign-off on the press release that he released on his website?
JZ: I'm not sure what you mean by sign-off. The press release I had input into, yes.
NS: Did you have financing for the project or was it paid for out of pocket?
JZ: It is not self-financed.
NS: Who paid for it?
JZ: You think I'm going to tell you that? When you've already shown yourself to be the enemy?
NS: Was it paid for by the RNC?
JZ: [Laughs]. In your world, the question that I would ask you is what question [in the survey] is there any ambiguity as to what the answer is?
NS: Well, that Obama 'launched his career' at the home of two former members of the Weather Underground --
JZ: That happens to be one of the questions that Obama supporters did the best on! They did better on that question than on any other Obama-related answers! And here you’re telling me that it’s not true?
NS: What do you mean by "launched his career"?
JZ: The first campaign as told by the person whose position he took in the State Senate, as told by her admission, his first campaign event was in the home of Bill Ayers and his wife. [Laughs] Unless you live in the Obama kool-aid world! That is astonishing to me that you would not accept that! And by the way, when you're given four responses to that question, what else was the response going to be? Sarah Palin?
NS: Well, her husband was a member of a secessionist party.
JZ: You are such a hack! That's a very good analogy.
NS: Do you think that certain types of voters are less well informed?
JZ: I think anyone that looks rationally at these poll results would have to conclude that Obama voters are incredibly poorly informed about major issues that occurred during the campaign -- my guess is because McCain voters got their information from different types of media than Obama voters did.
NS: What types of media would you consider credible?
JZ: I think you need a variety of sources, but I do not accept the notion that if it's not in the New York Times it's not true and if it is in the New York Times it is. Just because Sean Hannity says something doesn't mean it’s not true.
NS: What is Barack Obama’s religion?
JZ: You'll have to ask him. But I do know that he never claimed to be a Christian until he met Reverend Wright. And I do believe -- and I’ve never held this against him -- that it would have been highly unlikely for him not to have been registered as a Muslim as a child in Indonsesia but who cares. He did change his website based on that reality –- he was far more ambiguous about that issue on Fight The Smears. I’m an agnostic so I couldn't care less what his religion is. I just care that he lied about it.
NS: When do you think Obama was a Muslim?
JZ: I think he was likely -- registered as a Muslim between the ages of 6 and 10 while he was going to school in Indonesia. It would have been highly unusual for him not to be.
NS: But would you personally consider Obama a Muslim?
JZ: No, because he was a child. We're talking about two totally different things. There's what religion you're born into and there's what religion you become because of your own decisions
NS: Would you consider Obama a Christian?
JZ: You'd have to ask him. There was never any evidence that he was a Christian until he decided to join the church of a racist hate-monger for political purposes.
NS: Would you not believe Barack Obama if he told you he was a Christian?
JZ: Does he believe that Jesus Christ was the son of God who died and was raised from the dead later?
NS: Do you think he’s a believer in Jesus Christ?
JZ: I have no way of knowing that. I don't think there's any evidence that he is, either.
NS: Do you have doubts about Barack Obama's birth certificate?
JZ: I couldn’t care less about that. I accept he was born in Hawaii.
NS: Would you consider yourself well-informed
JZ: I’d consider myself extremely well-informed.
NS: Who are the two senators from South Dakota
JZ: Thune and, uh, Johnson.
NS: Very good. South Carolina?
JZ: Go fuck yourself. I'm done with this interview if you're going to ask me stupid questions like that. Obviously I know who Lindsay Graham is.
NS: Well, since you’re running a website calling people misinformed, I’d like to see if -- there are certain things you’ve said that I would consider misinformed.
JZ: Misinformed? You're a piece of work! You are never going to have the guts to post a representative transcript on your website! I thought you actually ran a legitimate website!
NS: Thank you, have a good day.
JZ: Go fuck yourself.
11.18.2008
An Interview with John Ziegler on the Zogby "Push Poll"
by Nate Silver @ 7:53 PM...see also push polling, zogby
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I've neverd heard of Sen. Go Fuck Yourself of South Carolina. Is he or she a Democrat or a Republican?
Nate, you rock my world.
The most interesting thing is that he repeatedly questions whether the interview will be published. It seems that he is under the impression that he's "winning" the conversation. He is oblivious to the fact that his swearing and ranting does not make him look strong and informed, but rather just biased and angry.
Nate, What is your response to the facts about your conversation with John Ziegler? Why didn't you print the entire interview? Why didn't you tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth?
What is your response to what actually transpired between you and Ziegler below?
Frankly, I was stunned by his lack of basic knowledge he possessed and the lack of research he had done regarding this issue. I learned that he wrote this hit piece without even knowing BASIC FACTS like whether the Zogby poll was done by phone or on the web (it was clearly done by phone) or having even read the actual questions which were laid out on both our websites for all the world to see.
His agenda was so obvious and his credibility so laughable that as the interview wore on I stopped caring about my responses and really just let him have it. Finally when he started quizzing me about little known U.S. Senators (questions I got right, btw) I decided to end the interview. If he deserved any respect I would feel badly that I acted unprofessionally in ending it with a profanity, but he obviously does not, so I don't.
Here is the (significantly altered though still mostly accurate) transcript that Silver ended up posting. For the record, his transcript leaves out huge chunks of the ending sequence (including him acknowledging that his basis for claiming that I was misleading people was only that he disagreed with me politically), but I was surprised it wasn't even more of a hatchet job.
Ziegler, you are completely unaware that he was testing your knowledge of those Senators in order to offer a converse example of your "polling", not to pick on you personally or insult you. And how did you respond, Big Boy? Does it take a degree in Jerkism to be an AM Radio nitwit?
NS: Would you consider yourself well-informed
JZ: I’d consider myself extremely well-informed.
NS: Who are the two senators from South Dakota
JZ: Thune and, uh, Johnson.
NS: Very good. South Carolina?
JZ: Go fuck yourself. I'm done with this interview if you're going to ask me stupid questions like that. Obviously I know who Lindsay Graham is.
NS: Well, since you’re running a website calling people misinformed, I’d like to see if -- there are certain things you’ve said that I would consider misinformed.
JZ: Misinformed? You're a piece of work! You are never going to have the guts to post a representative transcript on your website! I thought you actually ran a legitimate website!
NS: Thank you, have a good day.
JZ: Go fuck yourself.
All that matters about this "survey" is that he did not interview McCain supporters! And beyond that, the sample was not at all representative of the population at large. There was no sample selection based on demographics. They CHOSE people likely to be less informed.
Regardless, everyone knows that most Americans are not well informed. Congratulations, shocking result!
Tto say that Obama supporters are less informed than McCain supporters on the basis of this "survey", without interviewing any McCain supporters, is the worst kind of spin mongering. Zogby should be ashamed.
Wow, you guys are all idiots. I wonder if any of his questions were posed with sarcastic tone of voice or outright disrespect, since he controls how the questions "look." The questions the poll asked are obviously relevant to how informed a voter was, especially considering that over 50% of the people said the Republicans were in charge of congress! Not for almost 2 YEARS NOW! What he was trying to show, and apparently you all ARE too stupid to see is that those same people who couldn't name which political party was in charge of congress knew about the ever so important 150,000 dollar wardrobe, or the oh-so-significant "see Russia from my home". The media was so successful in brainwashing these morons that they believed anything that was said that was stupid was Sarah Palin, even if it was Der Kommissar Obama who said that he had campaigned in 57 states with one more to go. Douchebags...
And that belies the fact, Jamie, that Nate was courteous and civil, and the Ziegmeister was Mr. Asinine AM Radio Jerky Boy. Nate won't bite back like that. But the rest of us will, I'll guarantee you that. But really, that we are even paying attention to you is rather pathetic on our part. I suppose this is all just for sport- I'm really more interested in Franken putting asswipe Coleman away, then let's see what Jim Martin can do in the runoff against Saxby "Son of the South" Chambliss- every I hear that name I picture Boss Hogg from The Dukes of Hazzard.
Oh, and Obama Cabinet appointments, etc...
Der Kommissar Obama, oh boy, here we go with more Cold War mindlessness...
Common Sense, you are not getting the "representative" part, as in, accurately representative of all Obama supporters. You are just viewing this charade at face value, which might appear to be common sense, yet when you look deeper into it, it makes no sense whatsoever. Were the Ziegmeister to sample different demographic groups more representative of the cross-section of Obama supporters, then maybe he would have something to go on. As it is, it is just another Frank Lutz type of snow job.
Yet, actually, Ziegler's Folly has some importance: it exposes itself for what it is and it is good practice for all to pick it apart and get to the bottom of why it is utter bullshit. I do not pretend to be a statistician or polling expert, yet I know there are many on this site and around the web (ie, not just the same sources that you conservatives pretend we use like Kos) that can elucidate the fractured reasoning of such half-baked schemes as this.
mandk wrote:
"The majority of the responses prove Ziegler's point. Nate Silver is a total ignoramous regarding polls..."
Then what is your hypothesis on why Nate's predictions regarding the election were so much closer to reality than most anyone else?
Nate, you asked some of the dumbest questions at the end of the transcript. Citizens aren't required to know every senator and congressman in order to be "well-informed." All of your questions were "gotcha" questions, and still Ziegler answered them correctly. The singular point is this: there is a HUGE left-leaning bias in the mainstream media. The End.
wow, someone's bitter. aww, poor john.
nate, if you keep this kind of thing up, you will attract fangirls. And probably also fanboys. Just a friendly warning.
Jeez Nate....besides being a first class statistician, you are a great reporter. One can only wonder how this boozo ever challenged you to post this interview...as you had nothing to loose...too funny.
Thanks for all you have contributed to the 2008 election cycle...and congrats on the book deal (although you probably did not get paid enough). I am still laughing about this interview...and today we need all the humor we can get.
KUDOS!!!!!!!!!
I don't agree with Ziegler's mannerisms, but you'd be pissed too, if you had to interview with someone as misinformed and arrogant as "Nate."
To read your comments is almost equivalent to digging a spork into my eyes.
It's very frustrating to think that you don't find this information pertinent to the recent election and even current events.
How can you believe that someone knows anything about what's going on in politics, if they don't even know who the Senate Majority Leader or Speaker of the House are?
They and several other Senators and congressmen/women are at the forefront of political news.
There's a word for you people: ridiculous.
rynato - Just wanted to give a shoutout to your list up there. Great push poll questions, all of them.
Wow, I just found the liberal sympathizer's club. Enjoy the fireworks. None of you seem to get it at all. History repeats itself. The last time the world saw a leader who's life and career almost *perfectly* parallels Barrack's, his name was Adolph Hitler. Look it up, study the facts and study your history. If Barrack and the super-majority in congress have their way, your freedom of speech -- and indeed other constitutional rights your ancestors fought and died for which you now take for granted will vaporize before your very eyes. You small-minded, apathetic people who pander to the likes of the buffoon Obama and his uber-buffoon running mate will get exactly what you deserve -- a gag and a ring in your nose.
So was his goal to come off sounding completely unhinged?
I'm quite puzzled as to why he agreed to do the interview in the first place.
If there was any question that this was a liberal front website, it died with this article.
Pollster John Zogby has rejected a conservative commentator’s offer to sponsor a poll to test the knowledge of people who voted for John McCain.
The commentator was proposing to mirror a poll of Obama voters that caused a political uproar when it suggested that Obama supporters didn’t know what they were voting for.
John Ziegler, a Burbank-based documentary filmmaker, had commissioned the poll of 512 Obama voters. The results delighted the right and inflamed the left, drawing widespread coverage on the Web, cable news and radio.
Zogby International said in its summary of the results: “Just 2 percent of voters who supported Barack Obama on Election Day obtained perfect or near-perfect scores on a post-election test which gauged their knowledge of statements and scandals associated with the presidential tickets during the campaign, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows.”
Ziegler posted the results and a video of Obama voter interviews at HowObamaGotElected.com.
See Also
* Arizonan will head Homeland Security
* Pritzker turns down Commerce
* Waxman dethrones Dingell as chairman
John Zogby said in a statement defending the poll: “We reject the notion that this was a push poll because it very simply wasn't. … In this case, the respondents were given a full range of responses and were not pressured or influenced to respond in one way or another. This poll was not designed to hurt anyone, which is obvious as it was conducted after the election.”
Zogby told Politico in a telephone interview that the volume of reaction was in the top 10 percent he had received to his 24 years of polling.
This week, Ziegler proposed to pay for a similar poll of McCain voters. But Zogby told Politico he will not do the poll the same way.
“I am happy to do a poll of both Obama voters and McCain voters, with questions that I formulated and sponsored either by an objective third party or by someone on the left, in tandem with a John Ziegler on the right — but poll questions that have my signature,” Zogby said.
“I believe there was value in the poll we did,” Zogby added. “I also believe it was not our finest hour. This slipped through the cracks. It came out critical only of Obama voters.”
Ziegler responded: "I am shocked by John's statement that he would do another poll but not an exact duplication. What is the point of that? Not their finest hour? This a was great poll. This didn't fall through any 'cracks,' they just got scared. ... The point of the poll was for my documentary on the media's impact on voter knowledge."
Ziegler had e-mailed Karen Scott, managing editor of Zogby International: “I am writing because there is great interest in commissioning the same poll of McCain voters, and I have obtained the money to do so. If done right I think this can be a win/win for everyone. Please advise me as to the company's thinking on this.”
Scott e-mailed Ziegler in response: “Thank you for being in touch with us; I am sorry no one got back to you yesterday. Your request has been reviewed here at all levels, and we are not interested in this project at this time.”
Ziegler told Politico: “I’m outraged. I find this amazing. There was nothing wrong with the original poll. I’m the exact same person I was last week. The left-wing blogosphere basically demanded this.”
Well there you go. Even Zogby won't stand by this tripe!
Thanks for the laugh...Nate
Ziegler is an idiot and those that finance him are idiots squared.
Depends what you mean by "push poll" but I don't see how this possibly counts as one. A push poll is meant to sway the opinions of those polled. This is _clearly_ not doing that; it's trying to sway the opinions of others by demonstrating the stupidity of some voters.
I mean, this is clearly a stunt, unscientific, and rather meaningless on the whole, but it's not a push poll.
Does Zeigler truly believe that Obama said he would bankrupt the coal industry? I've read the exact quote. He says nothing of the kind. Essentially he said he's never been a "coal booster" and that he would impose a firm cap-and-trade system for limiting greenhouse gas emissions that would bankrupt anyone who builds a coal-powered plant without including technology to recover the gas emissions.
Unless "none of the above" was a choice to every single question... Palin denied spending $150,000 on clothes. Obama did not "launch his political career" at Ayer's house, although he did have a fundraiser there. Zogby has printed a defense of his firm's actions but he, too, takes as a given that these were fair questions with legitimate answers. I've already removed myself from his online polling list...
"slipped through the cracks" "not our finest hour" nuff said eh JZ?
If you want some awful fodder for your Mr. Z hating, visit his website or click here to go to his editorial on David Foster Wallace's suicide. I'd say read David Foster Wallace's article in the Atlantic, too, but at 23 wonderful pages it does not work well for casual surfing. Also, it is much to rational for the tizzy Ziegler has gotten me into.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. This interview made my day, thank you. Simply golden.
Future interview tip to JZ: if the interviewer asks you an 'obvious' question, it doesn't necessarily mean that the interviewer did no preparation. It might simply mean that he wants to get your answers on record for readers who aren't in the know. He even want to impeach your answer Tim Russert style. Either way, there's no reason to not reply politely.
But it seems that JZ flew into a rage at the point he thought NS was just some ignorant rube who was out to get him and make him look bad. The logical thing then would have been to hang up instead of hanging on and making himself look like a fool.
Wow, Sir. That was an amazing interview. I was going to make my own post about his sham of a documentary. But I think I'm just going to provide the link to this interview. Thanks, Nate.
Well, Ziegler is now claiming, over on his site, that Zogby was *cowed* into not making another poll.....
"Ziegler believes that there is little if any doubt that the Zogby company has been frightened into submission by that left-wing nuts that rule much of the internet media. In his most recent statement ,Zogby has made several comments that are both apparently factually inaccurate as well as in direct contradiction to his original statement in which he totally stood by the poll (as opposed to the "half-Obama" throwing under the bus that he is currently performing on his own poll) ."
...and it was US "left wing nuts the rule much the internet" that done it!
Who knew our photons possessed so much power than other's photons? You heard the man: we RULE the Internet!
That was beautiful, Nate. I have never heard of this douchebag before until I logged into the Alan Colmes site. Where does FOX finds these pompous jerks?
It amazes me how one's bias distorts input to the brain. JZ clearly exposed NS as wholly uninformed about the survey. This seems to have been missed by the commenters above.
The very characterization as a "push Poll" involving 500+ respondents is oximoronic. Of course it was not a "push poll," which is done BEFORE elections -- to PUSH. Duh! But bias makes reality change to adjust to the bias. Most of your readers seem to suffer the same ability to distort.
What the poll shows to an objective observer is that Obama voters were aware of negative aspects of the McCain/Palin ticket and were willing to ascribe negative Obama aspects to McC/P as well. They did not know the facts because their sources for news had failed to report fairly. They were left ignorant. As for questions like what party controls Congress, who Pelosi, Franks and Reid are, the results are depressing. No American can regard this as good for our country -- unless dumbing down America fits a political agenda. Would Republicans fare any better? It is my hope you will take JZ's offer to pay for that survey should Republicans fare the same or worse. But my guess is that survey is the last thing you want to have made -- because you know in your pocket that Republicans are not that ignorant (and have superior sources for news) and you'd end up paying for both surveys. If my assertion is wrong, then take his offer -- it costs you nothing to prove it. Or ANY of your commenters. DZ will front the money. So anyone caring to respond to this comment can do more than voice an opinion, they can prove it by taking DZ's offer. Failure to do so expresses/reveals a truth in your pocket that never makes its way to your mouth. "Just words, just speeches" as Obama said. Like most accusations from the left, it applies to the left.
That was hilarious.
That made my day. What a knob job! I will crack this man's teeth out if I meet him. Not the greatest response, but hey, neither is being a sore loser about an election and trying to put the blame on either but your failed ideology.
Republicans are such a bunch of losers. Except of course when they're winners (usually by cheating), when they're just DANGEROUS. Shame on 57m Americans who voted McPalin!
People seem to have forgot the basic rule of contemporary life: don't feed the trolls. Ziegler is just the talk radio version of an internet troll, and making a living at it.
Hint from a professional journalist: Go buy yourself a recorder that you can plug into your phone. That way you don't have to worry about how accurate your shorthand is.
But that was fun. Maybe someday the right will figure out that anger and fear only work for so long as a campaign platform.
Bozo,
Nothing's worse than a guy who can't spell oxymoron yet brands others as such.
What your cerebral amputee managed to conveniently overlook is the majority of people do not live in an echo chamber of Reich wing tent. The questions were designed to solely demonstrate that the left media does not adhere to the same failed standards of right which perpetually amplifies the same old drollery of gratuitous falsehood to drive a wedge and appeal to impressionable minds of devout acolytes. So excuse any of us who live outside of this bubble of right wing zealotry, dare to utilize the critical thinking and not tune into details of feigned guilt-by-associate of Ayers and other impertinent topics. Just because one does not lend time to digest auditory cancer of media garbage, it does not automatically make him/her "uninformed." The question that seeks to test the population's knowledge on political "pop-culture" and smarmy "gossip" hissy fit for AM radio segments does not constitute a valid measure for a well erudite and percipient mind.
You asked the same parallel of questions from the Republican voters to identify who the senate and house minority leaders are and the result would be more abysmal than 50%. Reverting back to my previous gist, this is a clear example of the purpose these questions were designed to convey which goes back to understanding of how the right wing media operates. It is not a day that goes by that Pelosi, Reid, and other "liberals" are not being lambasted by the talk radio blowhards for which any person with an ensemble of intellectual integrity can detect a personal agenda, yet they expect the rest of population to follow on the same path of mass-gullibility. The questions are faulty, the premise and conclusion are specious, and the whole documentary is based on political hucksterism which deserves no rational response.
Go easy on the guy, he forgot his Effexor that day.
The fact that so many of you can think that Nate "won" this argument or pwnd Ziegler speaks volumes to the level of intelligence of the far left when it comes to political dialogue.
It would have been nice if they had done an identical poll with McCain voters. That would have given us a much better look at things, but to simply dismiss this outright is naive at best.
If those were people voting for my candidate, I would be very, very ashamed.
Try taking the quiz at this site:
Americancivilliteracy.org. This will give you a better idea if you really know something about the political structure of your country.
I wish you all the best. I'm somewhat perplexed about the level of anger that is coming from the side that won!
Peace!
Hilarious, thanks for committing your time to conducting an interview with a Grade A jackass.
John Ziegler destroyed this guy.
I believe the profanity was unnecessary, however it sure seems that the veracity of the poll and responses leave little doubt as to the basic premise. Did the media effect type of knowledge voters had available? Most definitely! Come on, when a statement made by a comedienne are attributed to a political candidate as a quote, there can be no question. And when people say they get their 'news' from Stewart and Colbert, that speaks volumes about the sources and factual nature of the information voters used as the basis of their decision.
Silver acted like a POS here, he clearly doesn't like that Ziegler is getting at the facts and he digs him on how well informed Ziegler is? I'm sure that Silver's tone was anything but cordial throughout this interview.
It doesn't help that Silver went to the University of Chicago (so did I) and has obvious leanings. If you are trying to see who is biased, there is no question, Silver.
Silver can do good work, but his media relations have been a stroke-job since I exposed lies about his prediction system in the media (White Sox related).
Obama supporters should be happy that their guy won, but to say that there aren't 10 media outlets to 1 that prefer Obama and have for 2 years, is just lying to yourself.
KWRegan, can you honestly say that people knew about Obama's strategies to get his first foe kicked off the ballot? Did Jon Stewart play the video of Obama's 57 states? If it were an honest mistake, fine, but in the past, they make the Republicans look like idiots on mistakes, and NEVER OBAMA. FACT. Stewart's a hack too. Ha, even claims he's not partisan. Silver and Stewart have more than one thing in common.
The poll has no validity, even if it were a pre-election push poll or not.
When a poll is privately purchased, when the funding source is not disclosed, when it is purchased to demonstrate a 'pre-conceived' point, it has no empirical merit. No poll conducted in that manner ever does - even if an election poll.
Thus the Zogby faux pas can not be reversed engineered to claim autobiographical/anecdotal significance about any person interviewed, much less Obama supporters.
The only significance of the poll? It demonstrates the frailties of Zogby, those who privately commission any poll, and privately commissioned polls generally.
A tempest in a tea kettle concerning a lesson that should have been well-known and learned long ago. It's 'Polling 101' kids and no one did their homework.
From an empirical point of view, the above interview is more useful than the poll. I think you can safely use it in future research as authoritive demonstration of personal bias on part of a person connected with a supposedly unbiased poll. It is first hand authority.
Outside of that, the Zogby poll is what many private companies have come to understand about privately commissioned polls - something to be taken with a grain of salt as they can be, and have been, entirely useless at any given moment even when performed under the highest of 'standards'. Useless meaning 'wrong'.
The New Coca-Cola versus Old Coca-Cola versus 'does it really matter how much sugar we put in Coca-Cola?' is a good example of what can go wrong...or right in wrong directions.
The Zogby poll, polls generally, are also good indicia that humans tend to like economy of intellectual effort particularly when it is self-satiating in some format. If that were not the case, FiveThirtyEight.com would never have been born out of need. Polls, individually, are prone to errors of convenience both on part of the pollster and those polled.
The tempest does strike a resonance with organized corporate crime operations and legal industry organized crime operations: the reality parsing, flip-flop alternative appeals to generalizations/appeals to a specific as a generalization are, collectively, a common defense mechanism in corporate embezzlement/legal industry embezzlement operations.
So, in that latter sense, the interview deterioration into personal attack is predictable. Destroying the credibility of the observor is a key defense tactic in organized corporate crime. No reason exists why that human trait is barred from migrating outside the corrupt orginazation into other realms.
In fact, a mature inhabitant of modern Democracy will expect as much rather calmly.
All generalizations being equal, it is fair to suspect the Zogby poll's funders - paired with the interview behavior - have some knowledge of less than exemplary institutional behavior and have employed the tactics in the past. At least, that's what fairly is being implied. Note the ease in shift to intimidation tactics, the attempts to devalue.
Classic organized corporate crime behavior on recess playing in the larger world? It hints of something along those lines.
Or is it just the kids not sharing and playing nice? Fighting over the colored handles on the group walk rope?
Anyone want to conduct a poll on it?
- Carl J. Roeder, Esq.
umm, Nate, you are the one that looks like an idiot. You were asking him very leading questions to set him off (which he shouldn't have let a little terd like yourself to do). You are claiming the same of his poll when you are doing the same here.
haha - its really bugging you libs that you are being exposed for the fraud that you have perpetuated. I'm having so much fun looking at these idiotic comments and becoming unglued at the fact that there is an anectodal survey that supports the liberal media bias claim as if this hasn't been proven already.
God help us all if there is one conservative thought that reaches the masses! ...and we are the close minded ones - oh brother.
Liberal fascists - stop your whining and grow up. Its called personal responsibility. The only hate that exists is that which comes with disagreeing with a liberal. God forbid.
NS - you are still an idiot, in case I forgot. Get off your a** and conduct your own polls and get out more often. Your Markov chains are becoming unhinged.
oh yeah, you like that dude on American Pie that couldn't take a crap in public...looks like you are still having troubles.
The truth hurts - Obama voters really are idiots.
Question for everyone:
How many of you really think that that this interview text is was transcribed word for word? I'm not saying that the guy (JZ) interviewed was misrepresented, because it seems pretty consistent with what I've seen from him before. But the interviewer Nate? I doubt he was as calm, collected, and vanilla on the phone. I have listened to Ziegler in the past (radio) and he would not get heated up over plain old interview questions like the ones here. From what I understand, neither the NS nor JZ had equipment capable of recording the telephone conversation.
Second, I'm reading a lot of comments on how this interview is "the best yet, awesome" and basically how off-his-rocker JZ is. Apart from this interview showing him as being a complete ass, why is this so awesome? What do you all think about the actual issue, asses aside? If these 11 Obama voters got most of their info from channels like CNN or papers like the NY times(as stated), what does this say about these sources and what topics they chose to focus on? Honest comments on this appreciated. witty, well-crafted insults are not :) thanks!
- a right-wing, bigoted, closed-minded, and um I-forget-what-else conservative nut-job. oh and also hack.
@Taryn: I think people are congratulating Nate for the interview precisely because he remained calm. Perhaps the interview is misrepresented, but I doubt it; after all, two people were involved. JZ would probably (rightfully) complain if the text above misrepresented the interview.
Secondly, I think the idea that the polls expose the flawed sources is false, for two reasons:
First, some of the "correct" answers are just plain wrong (Obama "launched his career in the home of a terrorist") or ambiguous (The "Tina Fey" effect idea; "Palin" seems like a reasonable answer to the question even if she did not say the exact quote). At any rate, if you accept the Obama answer as true, then the Palin answer should be accepted as well. So the questions were obviously set up to get Obama voters to fail. It would have been more interesting to only see objective questions with obvious answers and without political bias, such as "what is the electoral college."
Second, in my experience as a non-American not living in the United States, most Americans are surprisingly uninformed about their own country's political system, regardless of their political leaning and regardless of the sources they use. If anything, this poll doesn't expose flawed sources, it exposes uninterested Americans.
In fact, people with non-centrist political sources (like the O'Reilly Factor on the right and Countdown on the left) seem to be better informed than others despite their sources' possible bias or selective reporting (presumably, they are better informed because they are more interested). Unfortunately, those are also the people who tend to needlessly vilify their "opponents" (as evidenced by this very poll and many of the comments in this thread). If somebody disagrees with you, thinking of him as an "idiot" is the easy way out, because it means you don't have to question your own ideas. Don't fall into that trap.
In conclusion, as somebody without any stakes in the race, form the outside looking in, I see two obvious problems with this poll: The questions are mostly biased and sometimes wrong, and if the results mean anything anything at all, it's probably that Americans in general are uninformed (about politics - I'm sure they're well informed about Paris Hilton), not that Obama voters specifically are uninformed.
the truly hilariously ironic thing about all this is the fact that NS calmly provided JZ with all the rope needed to hang himself by giving him precisely what he requested -- a full, unedited transcript of the interview. Had he NOT requested same (and had NOT the interview degenerated into a series of ad hominem attacks), NS might have reported the interview in a less damaging, edited-for-younger-viewers fashion. But, nooooo, JZ wanted the full, unfiltered, account of his hate-filled, sore-loserish vitriol out there for all to enjoy.
and we have enjoyed it, so thanks!
Gee Nate! I'm trying real hard to find any negative comments about you regarding your interview with Ziegler. What a coincidence, everyone agrees with you!
Just for fun, I'll join the lemming circus train for a short ride.
"Great Job Nate!"
"You've OUTDONE yourself Nate!"
"WOW Nate, you've BROKEN NEW GROUND!"
"The next Barbara Walters!"
"Nate for President!"
"You are the man Nate!"
"VERY impressive Nate!"
"BE LIKE NATE!"
"I LIVE EACH DAY FOR NATE'S BLOG!"
and the most laughable one:
"Awesome nate, you have shown yourself ot be a true journalist!"
LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL man I just can't stop laughing at that one. What a fucking tool!
There's almost no difference between what Palin said to Charlie Gibson about being able to see Russia "from land here in Alaska" and Tina Fey saying she could see Russia "from my house." I mean, really. Give me a break. Both statements are just a silly and meaningless in regards to Palin's foreign policy credentials.
Wow, you are a hack...sad thing is you know it, and you continue to try and prove otherwise.
Kudos for posting it, but shame on you for not knowing what a Push Poll is.
as well, shame on those left wing kool-aid drinkers that are enabling this.
Try doing your research before calling yourself a Journalist.
The bottom line here is that this poll proves that this election (like perhaps all of our elections) was illegitimate and based almost entirely on the news media deciding it wanted (for various reasons) Barack Obama to be President.
It still shocks me to see that so many people are selectively blind. It is as if people want to believe so bad that they fool themselves. I am not a McCain fan, I am a Democrat, however it is simply foolish to say that what Ziegler has brought to light is untrue. Anyone who honestly has an open mind and is well informed with a hint of education can see that. Obama won a poularity contest and this country will pay for it. I am ashamed of my party for turning into sheep.
The sad part is that all of you really think Nate "won" the interview. Nate was the one who was losing so he started asking irrelevant questions to try and invoke an angry response which would have angered anyone who thought they were being interviewed by a serious journalist, only to find out Nate Silver has the mind of a small retarded child. You all obviously share Silver's 5th grade intellect. Do your mommies know you were on the computer while you were supposed to be at school?
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I absolutely LOVE John Zeigler. This is just one reason why. I listened to him religiously when he was with KFI. Wish I could pick up his show now. The man knows his stuff and isn't afraid to take the gloves off with liberal Kool Aide drinkers like this interviewer. Hannity should take notes. Keep up the good work JZ!
-David
john Ziegler is right on the mark and your ridiculous questions just prove his point
Man, How Rude! Wash his mouth out with soap!
All those expletives... Nothing the man said was factually incorrect nor off base. His people skills lack greatly- no doubt on that!
Post the interview in audio form. I would love to him the rage in the man's voice and perhaps the snotty tone in yours Nate from that back and forth. :-P
Zeigler was not wrong- just very abusive in his choice of language. What a poor showing (character wise) for an other wise correct presentation.
Perhaps if you people commenting were well informed of why he was upset by the set of questions is because Nate was being a smart ass about who are and aren't senators. John is obviously well educated in Government, and Nate is not.
Scary how many people still think Obama voters knew why they were voting for him and his policies, but couldnt answer a few simple questions concerning important facts in political parties...
There was a survey done by a news reporter in the New York Times and it is known that Obama got more positive press release and publicity than McCain and the media went over Sarah Palin with a fine tooth comb, while Biden had little press...
At least republicans will admit when they are wrong. Listen to more Talk Radio and Fox News along with mainstream media and get the facts to form your own views and opinions. This is just proof of how influenced we are by the mainstream media...
I pray God watches out for us all...
Okay, this was ridiculous. Nate, it was clear you were intent on asking John questions until he finally gave a wrong answer solely in an effort to discredit him. You went COMPLETELY of the issue at hand and began asking him the names of senators from each state. I would not be surprised if our President or our President elect couldn't name both senators from every state. So, you think he was asking loaded questions? Fine! Let’s do a little 12 question challenge of our own. You come up with 6 questions; I'll come up with 6 questions. Anytime you'd like to discuss parameters, I'm ready and willing! My email: mdjabaley@aol.com
John Zeigler is a fraud!!! This chump is the biggest proponent for fraudulent Anti-Obama statements ever!! This is the same chump pushing his hateful rhetoric on howobamagotelected.com, I read on his site some hateful rant about how "If Obama was a silver-plated turd, people voted for the silver plating". This pathetic excuse of a man should be charged with treason and sentenced to death in a court of law!!
Does John Zeigler ever finish an interview on MSNBC or CNN without going into his childish about how MSNBC or CNN is beating him up with their "left-wing socialist agenda"? I mean this cry baby is so full of shit, someone needs to change his diaper!
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^^ nice blog!! ^@^
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^^ very nice
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thanks\
good job
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