Just looking at some of the places where we have results in so far. Obama is substantially outperforming Kerry -- which is what he needs to do to win the state, of course, but the differences are pretty substantial.
Steuben: Kerry 34%, Obama 42%
DeKalb: Kerry 31%, Obama 38%
Knox: Kerry 36%, Obama 54%
Marshall: Kerry 31%, Obama 50%
11.04.2008
Indiana...
@ 6:45 PM
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NICE!
Yay!
Nate, you guys are the best! Talk about responsiveness!
Thanks!
You misspelled "Safe Electoal Votes" over your new pie chart
what is going on in KY? hehehe
1 minute.
I've come to love Nate's misspellings.
Nate,
Is there a place online where the county-by-county results for the 2004 election are freely available?
Where is everyone????
Go Indiana
wv - spoll, Google is spolling tonight
its looking very likely obama will win indiana.
>> edwina monsoon said...
>> what is going on in KY? hehehe
The state was called when a witnesses reported seeing Jim Crow rise up from the Frankfort Cemetery and head for a nearby polling station.
@sweetjazz: http://scoreboard.dailykos.com/map/
more...
Knox: Kerry 36%, Obama 50%
Vigo: Kerry 46%, Obama 57%
Sullivan: Kerry 40%, Obama 51%
I am in FL and just had a heart attack on the intial VA, FL and GA votes. GOD....
@sweetjazz: http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html. On the left, you can choose the year you want to see, then zoom in by clicking on a state, and browse the counties.
Ggggrrrr!!! Can't post!!
I'll make it.
Did we blow up the commenting function?
@christopher wreh: Still waiting in line?
That's my question really - from a UK citizen who's watching with interest - how long are the lines still to vote in states where the polls have 'closed', and how could that affect the results even for states that the networks have already called?
Obama out pacing Kerry is IN, but question is will it be enough?
I think these numbers suggest IN will be part of the Obama landslide scenario.
right
Nate, thanks for the fascinating and brilliant analysis.
Not to be to bold, but I'd suggest changing "Projected" in your example chart to "+ Projected" for clarity of understanding, since that row shows projected additional electoral votes, not a projected total.
Looking forward to your reports as results are finalized. Fired up!
And we're back!!!
Blogger is dying on me...
NBC has shown Indiana with Barack Obama with a slight lead at 1 percent of the count done.
Please answer a poll on universal health care at http://poll.democratz.org
You can watch Countdown with Keith Olbermann at
http://liberal.democratz.org
You can watch The Young Turks Liberal talk show after you watch Countdown by clicking on the link that reads Watch the Young Turks, near the top of the page.
Look for the live chat box at the bottom of the page.
Obama winning Indiana is Great News For JOHN McCAIN!:
If Obama really does win Indiana, McCain can give his concession speech early, and have a nice long nap!
Am I the only one who keeps getting a server error after trying to post? I've attempted posting 10 times since 5:52 PM but no dice!
sogie -- McCain's hopes are "sogie" at this point.
Can't post comments. This is a test
county by county for indiana
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPIN
msnbc.com has county by county if you click on the states, readily available.
i am getting desperate. this blog is just not making it tonight(*&(&*(!!!
and i really need it too
WV not called immediately.
Looks like blogger is back.
Nate,
before things get busy, I wanted to thank you for all of your hard work and amazing information. I have learned a great deal from your website and have been lucky to have a couple people here in the office who can explain the parts of your polling that are over my head.
I'll be looking for your polls as the years progress.
P.S. As for the person who is looking county by county, try the MSNBC website. Here is the one for Virginia - http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25381424
We're back! Hurray!
Where is everyone? over 25 and a Democrat terrified seemed like a good idea but I think blogger is running crazy again tonight
Nate,
You're the best. Those IN numbers are huge. Conditional on that, surely this significantly improves Obama's chances in GA and NC and many others.
http://maps.google.com/help/maps/elections/#historical_results
helpful also -- just click on a state & then select "county" on the popup
@Christopher Wreh
My guess is DailyKos, but everyone's bandwidth is throttled.
http://politicalwire.com/aggregator/electionresults.html
county by county results...only bad thing is the counties show the road system...would be better if just the counties.
MSNBC just stated how Obama outperforming Kerry in the Indiana counties listed here....
Wait, Kerry's running?
I don't really care how well Obama does vs. Kerry.
How well he does vs. McCain is all that matters.
We're back!!!!!!!!!
All hopes on Gary and Indianapolis. Well, I'm sure B'ton will throw its few votes Obama's way...
Virginia - looks good in CNN exit polls but who knows.....
Obama currently 2/1 ON in Indiana on Betfair. Looking interesting.
@sweetjazz3poque:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/president/
For 2004 county results from Indiana:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/IN/P/00/county.002.html
Obama's up 64-35 with 33% reporting in St. Joseph, where Bush won by 3. The vote count seems to be exactly one-third of 2004 voting; if we anticipate increased turnout (there was a line at 6.15AM), then it's likely the more populated city precincts are still out.
Someone at Google pressed the 'Turbo' button on the server :o)
WASHINGTON (AP) — John McCain carried Kentucky, and Barack Obama countered with a victory in Vermont on Tuesday night as he bid to become the first black president. Democrats gained a Senate seat, the first of several they had in their sights in a country at war and anything but prosperous.
Can anybody corroborate the dems really picked up the McConnell seat?!!
SO.FUCKING.NERVOUS
Go McBush...rural vote will win it for him
Real Joe's surprise: breaking blogger.
Nate...when are you going to start updating your map? The major networks have called KY and VT. My head is about to explode!
I'm so freakin nervous.
I think everyone is glued to televisions, out at campaign rallies, and out at bars.
It's a night for booze to ease the tension and stress of waiting.
I'm on rum and coke number 2
If Obama is elected, the likliehood of my Army Reserve unit being called back to Iraq in 2 years goes down substantially.
If McCain is elected, my fiance and I have to face the possibility of postponing or changing our wedding plans because of 100 years in Iraq McCain.
We have tickets to the Missouri Democratic celebration in Kansas City. I'm getting drunk tonight either in celebration for not having to go into harm's way again or to drown my sorrows.
Please pray for our future. Thank you.
can we finally post again? i'm going to have a heart attack if i cant comment on here and read everyone elses' comments.
Has Gary, IN reported yet?
Could Indiana go to Obama?!
I think I'm going to be sick...
For county results from 2004:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/VA/P/00/county.001.html
Change VA to any state you want.
I guess this site is having problems.
McCain pulling away in Indiana :(
I am not sure which is slower, watching the precints report or trying to get Google to upload a comment.
Any new polls?
With Gary, Indianapolis and Bloomington not yet counted in IN, Obama is looking good.
CNN's Jessica Yellin: Save me, Obi-Wan Kenobi. You're my only hope."
Awesome Data! INDIANA close that is bad new for McCain? Or no?
Johnkel24-
I'm on Red Stripe number 3 and ready for a Bloody Mary. This might be the most important even of my 31 years.
I am not sure which is slower, watching the precints report or trying to get Google to upload a comment.
i dont know how much of this i can take. i am hoping a big state victory will stop me from having a nervous breakdown.
this blog breaking down DOES NOT HELP!
PA called immediately for Obama
BOOYAH
Sheer nerve wracking count down for next poll closings. MSNBC was showing PA for Barack as a win up in their corner but they never commented on it so I think it was an error. Then gone
This not being able to post is making me crazy but its funny cause everything I go to say becomes irrelevant b4 I can say it. Still---I think I might puke and no I havent been drinking....but it might not be a bad idea. ...........god my nerves!!!!!!!!!
Real Joe's surprise:
Denial of Service attack on blogger...
Real Joe, where are you?
REAL JOE, WHERE ARE YOU?
YEAHHH!!! GOBAMA! GOBAMA! GOBAMA! :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :)
Just saying, it's 2.20 am here in amsterdam and I'm still up watching your elections. I've been lucky enough to study in the USA for a year and to travel cross country.
There's no denying the greatness of the US. And if this is really, actually happening, and Obama is president elect by tomorrow morning, I congratulate you all! Well done. And thanks Nate, for all your work,
YEAHHH! GOBAMA! GOBAMA! GOBAMA! :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :)
On location reporter at the beeb just said that estimated AA turnout in Georgia is 97%!
FOX CALLS OH FOR OBAMA
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