Four Democratic pickups have been called: Warner (VA), Shaheen (NH), Udall (NM) and Hagan (NC). That gets Democrats 55.
Mark Udall in Colorado looks very strong. Ted Stevens, convicted felon, will lose. Jeff Merkley is heavily favored in the Oregon race, but those results aren't in yet.
Al Franken leads Norm Coleman in very early returns. However, Mary Landrieu looks like she's in a tight race in Louisiana, with a small lead over John Kennedy there. Roger Wicker leads Ronnie Musgrove in Mississippi.
If Udall, Begich, Merkley and Franken can win their races, and Mary Landrieu hold hers, Democrats will sit at 59 Senate seats. Then Democrats need to either keep Chambliss under 50% (some big Democratic counties are outstanding) or somehow pull off the Musgrove-Wicker upset, another race that has not been called.
Before I forget:
How come Joe the Plumber didn't work? That was such a nifty idea.
11.04.2008
The Drama of the Night is Now the Senate
@ 10:19 PM
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and praise jesus for tonight!!!!
what a moment. I can't wait for the speech!
When we see numbers for Indiana/Virginia, does that include early and absentee ballots? If not, I don't see how those two can get called tonight.
How many people would have guessed that Obama would win the election...thanks to the Hispanic vote?
I like icing.
Thanks Sean.
Love ya Nate and crew - you guys have been simply outstanding at defining the way WE'VE taken back our own country - I have never been this hopeful for our world as now
So.. any predictions on when the Repulicans start saying Obama "stole" the election? LOL
--
Wondering what to do after the election?
I am starting a new board for discussing politics, current events and other interesting topics. It is a spin-off of the blog that some of you know about; you can read an overview of the forum here.
If interested, follow the instructions at the bottom to contact me. Brain-dead right-wing trolls need not apply. :)
Anyone see Joe the Plumber get roasted by Rick Sanchez of CNN? HILARIOUS
When do they count early and absantee voters?
Joe the plumber getting roasted by Rick Sanchez was classic. Forgive me for sounding naive but how many seats is needed to be filibuster proof?
But? Say it ain't so Joe the Plummer?
Joe wants to run for election himself. Ho! He! He!
"It's a sea change in the nation."
Keithe Olbermann
I'm still fretting over the 6th Minnesota Congressional District; the early returns have that nut Bachmann in the lead.
Will you be posting commentary on how accurate different pollsters were this election, after things die down?
Joe the Plumber was nifty in 1950. Welcome to the future Joe.
so when does McCain concede? When he loses VA I'm guessing
You need 60 votes to escape a filibuster
Nate, Thanks for all your work this year. I've used your site religiously.
--Barbara Gordon
republicansforobama.org
Joe the Plumber didn't work because he was too busy being an idiot. And to Sean, I saw him get spanked by Sanchez, and it was a beautiful moment.
The old GOP tricks have finally stopped working. America is sick of all the B.S.
Proposition 8 could still be pretty dramatic, and much more important than any single U.S. Senate race.
Any updates?
LA's senate seat is looking a lot closer than anticipated: http://staticresults400.sos.louisiana.gov/110408state.htm
Wow...Missouri is tumbling
13,000 votes difference and 0% counted in St Louis county!!!!!!!!!!!
Could we, possibly, conceivably, flip AZ???
The Joe the Plumber gambit was definitive evidence that the McCain-Palin campaign was in the toilet.
wv: soricit (?) What kind of question is that??? Yes, it is sore.
Joe the plumber didn't work because, as McCain said, (he's) rich. As soon as I found out he was in the top tax bracket, I really didn't care about how he felt about getting taxed another 5%.
Nancy Pfotenhauer
You can leave Fake Virginia anytime now and move to real Virginia!!!
Here we come to vote for Obama. Feel our new political power!!!!
Solon,
I'm MN's 6th district and I voted against her. :)
But thank you guys for this website. It's been interesting and helpful, and I (we) appreciate your talents and energy that you have put into it.
Dammit. CALL FLORIDA ALREADY!!
Joe the Plumber was an insult to most of the middle class: the idea that one guy somehow represented an entire demographic. McCain even called him "an American hero" in one of his speeches. That's a pretty huge load of BS to swallow.
Why are we still focused on whether Dems get to the "filibuster-proof" magic number of 60 when that count includes Joe Lieberman. He has already publicly stated that a filibuster-proof Senate would be the worst thing ever, a national tragedy, yadda.
Does anyone really think that Democrats can rely on Joe Lieberman to back a progressive agenda?
Has anyone checked in with the freeptards?
Hopefully they are taking it well.
To echo some other comments, thanks so much for your efforts all year Nate, Sean, and Bret. This has been a fantastic site, and I hope you continue your efforts over the next few years.
Dumb and Plumber 2012!
Who will the D's blame for failed policies now?
speaking of VA... keep an eye on VA-5. Tom Perriello is a dynamite young politician and is leading grade-a bigot Virgil Goode by 659 votes with 96% in....
OH MY GOD NE IS SPLIT AT THE MOMENT!!!
Plus, come on MO.
Becky - I emailed you!
wv is squing - sounds like the excited noise I would make tonight...
I don't think it's much of a stretch to predict Joe Lieberman will caucus with the Republicans.
JOE THE FAKE PLUMBER CAN KISS MY ARSE!!!
North Carolina just went red. :(
I don't think McCain will concede (sp?) before California closes. Maybe he'll even wait for Alaska out of courtesy to Palin. (Or do these close at the same time?)
Joe the plumber didn't work because very little sympathy can be felt for the economic woes of someone making over 250,000 grand a year. Even though he wasn't...
I did the same, Tyler, but the results do not look good for Tinklenberg. This district is full of idiots.
icing on pie?
Denver Post has called Udall's race, and the state of Colorado for Obama. 56.
Joe the plumber and Sarah the Mayor of Moosesnot are going to run together in 2012. Starting their own party -- The Know Nothing Party.
Becky Sharp, thank you for your contributions to these threads. I have enjoyed them.
Are you reading this in the GEO office?
Obama winning in Nebraska 2.
I think he's going to flip Omaha.
Change McCain's Win Percentage Pie Chart to 0.0% ??
Please !!
surely this is a joke, by someone here?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2125314/posts
For me, the "big drama" is whether NC turns blue (I am waiting with bated breath...), which is what I have been volunteering toward for weeks, including canvassing in the rain today. Pleeeeeeez?!
I wouldn't be surprised if Joe Lieberman becomes a Republican. he might as well, since the Democrats hate him and the Republicans don't like him much either. He's a politican without a home.
The Republican's problem is they are too White. As this country moves more towards a multi-cultural country, a party who primarily caters to just one race, and mainly White Males, I just don't see how they are going to compete Nationally in the future, especially if they keep up the anti-immigration rhetoric, which some Hispanic perceives as racist. When McCain loses 35% of the Cuban vote in Florida, that is a bad sign, because there was a time not so long ago, there weren't any Cuban Americans who would vote Democratic. That time wa sonly about 4 years ago. (Granted those 35% were the young Cuban American voters)
Joe the Plumber might have worked if he had been:
1. Introduced as a campaign gimmick earlier, before Obama was a near-lock,
2. Closer to median income,
3. Charismatic,
4. Able to explain how he would benefit from a McCain administration,
5. Able to explain how anyone else would benefit from a McCain administration,
6. An actual licensed plumber.
Mere Creetur: NC still probably too close to call, but looking good for Obama with 87% reporting.
YES WE DID IT!!!!!!!
NATE,
A LITTLE WORRIED EARLY LAST NIGHT AS THE POLLS SLOWLY CAME IN BUT KEPT COMING BACK TO 538 SITE TO DOUBLE CHECK AND I WAITED FOR THE POLLS TO CATCH UP TO YOUR PREDICTIONS-I KNEW AND HOPED BEYOND HOPE YOU WERE RIGHT-YOU WERE DEAD ON
THANKS
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