In Missouri, John McCain leads Barack Obama by 6 points and Hillary Clinton by 2. These numbers are actually an improvement for both Democrats from Rasmussen's previous poll of the state. Nevertheless, Missouri certainly looks to us like a stronger state for
In Georgia, John McCain leads Obama by 14 points and Clinton by 11. Our regression model insists that Barack Obama should be able to do somewhat better than this in Georgia. It's a very young state, and it has higher education levels and more of a white professional class than other states in its region. But so far, those results have not shown up in the polling.
Also, in Texas, a Research 2000 poll conducted on behalf of Daily Kos has John McCain leading Barack Obama by 13 and Hillary Clinton by 15. Overall, it's not a particularly good polling day for the Democrats in the Southern states.
Finally, I'd like to thank Mark Blumenthal of the National Journal and Pollster.com and Meteor Blades at Daily Kos for their kind words today.