|FL||Quinnipiac||****||3/28||McCain +9||Clinton +2|
|OH||Quinnipiac||****||3/28||Obama +1||Clinton +9|
|PA||Quinnipiac||****||3/28||Obama +4||Clinton +8|
While these polls aren't bad news for Obama -- his Florida result is poor, but that is a state in which we'd already projected an uphill battle for him -- these are nevertheless exactly the sort of numbers that Clinton is going to want to see if she is to make a credible case about electability to the superdelegates.
The caution is that polling in each of these states has been fairly abundant, and we have Quinnipiac rated as a good-but-not-great pollster, so they don't move the state-by-state estimates all that much. Still, every little bit counts in big states like these. On the strength of these numbers, Hillary's win percentage has improved from 53% to 59% in Ohio; from 47% to 52% in Pennsylvania, and from 37% to 41% in Florida. Obama's win percentage has fallen from 20% to 17% in Florida, but risen from 37% to 39% on Ohio, and from 45% to 47% in Pennsylvania.